Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 22, 2004

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $38.5200 (-2.23%) ($38.4000 - $38.8000) on Wed. Sep. 22, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.35% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $38.5200(-2.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    EEM(75%)    EWG(74%)    EWY(71%)    EWI(69%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.675% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-7%)    REMX(1%)    LQD(18%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.675% (StdDev 1.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

Resistance Level   $39.64
5 Day Moving Average   $39.14(-1.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.41(-2.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.64(-2.83%)
To recent high   -9.3%
To recent low   2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.14% (three month std-dev: 1.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20041022

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_22_2004	39.63	39.64	39.41	39.14	39.04	38.94	38.52(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-28	-30	-19	-54	1.42	35%	-0.05	-3.5	1.35%	0	-2.5	42	0
2	Sep_21_2004	39.65	39.7	39.58	39.29	39.23	39.2	39.4(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-14	-10	-5	-39	1.71	37%	-0.05	24.7	1.32%	0	-0.8	46	0
3	Sep_20_2004	39.67	39.68	39.68	39.44	39.27	39.15	39.16(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-17	-30	-15	-24	1.2	37%	-0.03	42.6	1.33%	0	-1.3	47	0
4	Sep_17_2004	39.68	39.7	39.69	39.57	39.51	39.27	39.24(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	-50	-12	-24	0.8	37%	-0.05	73.5	1.33%	0	-1.2	46	0
5	Sep_16_2004	39.7	39.68	39.78	39.66	39.7	39.39	39.4(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-50	-18	-17	0.74	37%	-0.05	78.7	1.32%	0	-0.7	48	0

6	Sep_15_2004	39.72	39.65	39.83	39.72	39.77	39.76	39.24(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-17	0	-18	-13	0.81	42%	-0.08	74.4	1.32%	0	-0.9	46	0
7	Sep_14_2004	39.75	39.61	39.9	39.9	39.85	40.01	40.16(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	20	5	11	0.7	42%	-0.08	68.5	1.33%	0	0.9	56	0
8	Sep_13_2004	39.78	39.51	39.9	39.98	39.87	39.78	39.8(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	11	-20	7	24	1.02	42%	-0.08	65.4	1.36%	0	0.5	59	0
9	Sep_10_2004	39.81	39.42	39.85	39.82	39.97	39.69	39.68(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-6	-40	-12	11	0.85	46%	-0.1	51.1	1.37%	0	0.4	53	0
10	Sep_9_2004	39.85	39.35	39.86	39.92	39.87	39.97	39.72(-1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	10	-13	25	0.61	43%	-0.08	54	1.41%	0	0.5	59	0

11	Sep_8_2004	39.88	39.3	39.88	39.94	39.96	40.25	40.16(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	50	20	52	0.7	43%	-0.05	55.1	1.43%	0	1.1	63	0
12	Sep_7_2004	39.9	39.21	39.82	39.9	39.86	39.77	40.52(3.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	-20	13	62	1.3	49%	-0.13	49.5	1.42%	0	1.7	70	0
13	Sep_3_2004	39.95	39.09	39.66	39.72	39.73	39.67	39.04(-2.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-2	-10	-18	48	0.76	41%	-0.08	35.6	1.43%	0	-0.1	62	0
14	Sep_2_2004	39.98	39.04	39.71	39.88	39.83	39.96	40.16(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	31	20	12	87	0.67	44%	-0.07	31.2	1.44%	0	1.4	78	0
15	Sep_1_2004	40.01	38.93	39.57	39.79	39.67	39.79	39.84(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	10	2	86	0.64	44%	-0.1	24.7	1.43%	0	1.2	68	0

16	Aug_31_2004	40.05	38.88	39.46	39.8	39.7	39.71	39.92(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-10	9	89	0.82	44%	-0.12	25.4	1.44%	0	1.4	60	0
17	Aug_30_2004	40.1	38.84	39.29	39.73	39.67	39.54	39.64(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-30	2	81	0.69	44%	0	22.8	1.44%	0	1.1	61	0
18	Aug_27_2004	40.1	38.83	39.15	39.59	39.58	39.69	39.84(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	20	1	74	2.16	46%	-0.1	20	1.45%	0	1.5	66	0
19	Aug_26_2004	40.14	38.79	38.95	39.52	39.49	39.79	39.72(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	50	22	79	1.05	46%	-0.12	19	1.46%	0	1.4	68	0
20	Aug_25_2004	40.19	38.75	38.79	39.32	39.28	39.48	39.88(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	34	30	22	70	0.94	49%	-0.1	2.5	1.47%	0	1.8	66	0

21	Aug_24_2004	40.23	38.7	38.67	39.08	39.08	39.2	39.56(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	20	19	54	2.05	49%	-0.12	-14	1.48%	0	1.5	53	0
22	Aug_23_2004	40.28	38.68	38.55	38.79	38.86	39.08	38.96(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	50	14	28	0.98	47%	-0.15	-40	1.47%	0	0.5	46	0
23	Aug_20_2004	40.34	38.69	38.47	38.63	38.64	38.96	39.48(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	26	60	30	12	0.66	47%	-0.1	-57.1	1.47%	0	1.4	46	0
24	Aug_19_2004	40.38	38.67	38.3	38.29	38.32	38.63	38.72(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	7	60	19	-29	0.59	47%	-0.12	-78.1	1.46%	0	0.1	42	0
25	Aug_18_2004	40.43	38.73	38.22	38.18	38.1	38.32	38.68(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-4	30	10	-47	0.73	51%		-79.8	1.49%	0	-0.1	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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