Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 9, 2004

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $38.9200 (-0.82%) ($38.6000 - $39.3200) on Fri. Jan. 9, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.42% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $38.9200(-0.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(75%)    SPY(75%)    EWG(73%)    EWY(71%)    IWM(69%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.71% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-6%)    REMX(1%)    LQD(18%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.71% (StdDev 1.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.18(-0.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.76(0.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.78(3.02%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   13.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.89% (three month std-dev: 1.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_9_2004	36.41	37.78	38.76	39.18	39	39	38.92(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	29	-10	-2	121	1.41	48%	0.17	68.2	1.42%	0	1	70	NAN
2	Jan_8_2004	36.35	37.61	38.56	39.16	39.17	38.98	39.24(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	38	-30	6	132	1.41	46%	0.19	60.7	1.42%	0	1.5	77	NAN
3	Jan_7_2004	36.28	37.45	38.38	39.02	39.09	39	38.92(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	26	-10	-8	128	1.23	46%	0.17	54.7	1.43%	0	1.3	70	NAN
4	Jan_6_2004	36.22	37.33	38.21	38.92	39.01	39.37	39.24(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	70	20	144	1.61	46%	0.22	51.8	1.43%	0	1.7	75	NAN
5	Jan_5_2004	36.14	37.19	37.95	38.66	38.78	39.19	39.6(2.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	68	80	43	141	2.88	46%	0.22	53.6	1.43%	0	2.3	76	NAN

6	Jan_2_2004	36.06	37.05	37.67	38.27	38.33	38.65	38.8(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	54	60	31	123	1	48%	0.39	58.3	1.42%	0	2	76	NAN
7	Dec_31_2003	35.92	36.94	37.41	37.88	37.99	38.38	38.56(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	49	80	30	106	0.58	53%	0.22	63.5	1.44%	0	2.2	78	NAN
8	Dec_30_2003	35.84	36.84	37.22	37.64	37.61	38	38.4(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	43	70	26	92	0.79	53%	0.22	71.8	1.53%	0	2.4	68	NAN
9	Dec_29_2003	35.76	36.75	37.01	37.39	37.36	37.61	37.96(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	38	40	25	77	0.96	53%	0.22	93.1	1.53%	0	2.3	61	NAN
10	Dec_26_2003	35.68	36.64	36.86	37.14	37.18	37.22	37.64(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	24	10	13	57	0.33	53%	0.39	102.3	1.53%	0	2.1	57	NAN

11	Dec_24_2003	35.54	36.55	36.71	36.98	36.98	37.12	36.84(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	14	30	6	38	0.42	49%	0.2	107.9	1.52%	0	0.6	48	NAN
12	Dec_23_2003	35.47	36.48	36.59	36.86	36.88	37.14	37.36(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	21	50	20	25	0.52	49%	0.23	96.5	1.52%	0	1.7	53	NAN
13	Dec_22_2003	35.39	36.38	36.46	36.73	36.6	36.84	37.16(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	40	15	10	0.99	47%	0.2	96.5	1.52%	0	1.5	55	NAN
14	Dec_19_2003	35.32	36.27	36.46	36.58	36.48	36.62	36.68(-0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	6	20	10	-5	0.72	47%	0.2	69.1	1.53%	0	0.7	46	NAN
15	Dec_18_2003	35.25	36.16	36.46	36.54	36.5	36.36	36.84(1.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	-30	6	-1	1.45	49%	0.17	43.4	1.54%	0	1	60	NAN

16	Dec_17_2003	35.19	36.06	36.38	36.4	36.45	36.35	36.28(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3	-20	-3	-1	1.08	47%	0.17	24.5	1.55%	0	0.3	57	NAN
17	Dec_16_2003	35.13	35.98	36.43	36.26	36.36	36.64	36.68(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	60	11	10	0.9	52%	0.14	11.6	1.55%	0	0.9	65	NAN
18	Dec_15_2003	35.08	35.89	36.42	36.14	36.14	36.55	36.4(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	80	15	15	2.05	52%	0.17	-3	1.65%	0	0.6	61	NAN
19	Dec_12_2003	35.02	35.89	36.47	36.17	36.03	36.09	36.52(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	0	10	35	0.56	52%	0.17	-8.7	1.65%	0	0.8	68	NAN
20	Dec_11_2003	34.96	35.86	36.41	36.2	36.05	35.73	36.12(1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-70	-18	39	1.46	52%	0.14	-7.9	1.66%	0	0.3	69	NAN

21	Dec_10_2003	34.91	35.87	36.41	36.37	36.3	35.98	35.56(-1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-6	-70	-27	56	1.74	51%	0.17	-8.1	1.65%	0	-0.4	61	NAN
22	Dec_9_2003	34.85	35.89	36.38	36.63	36.64	36.38	36.12(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-50	-14	85	1.36	51%	0.14	-10.4	1.65%	0	0.3	68	NAN
23	Dec_8_2003	34.8	35.91	36.33	36.73	36.82	36.62	36.52(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-30	-13	100	1.19	52%	0.17	-10.1	1.65%	0	0.7	70	NAN
24	Dec_5_2003	34.74	35.93	36.16	36.81	36.89	36.91	36.68(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	28	10	3	103	0.89	52%	0.2	-6.9	1.65%	0	0.9	56	NAN
25	Dec_4_2003	34.67	35.92	35.95	36.64	36.82	37.03	36.96(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	50	18	81	2.12	52%		-17.6	1.66%	0	1.2	50	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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