Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Oct. 31, 2003

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $36.9600 (-1.91%) ($36.8000 - $37.1600) on Fri. Oct. 31, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.61% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $36.9600(-1.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(75%)    SPY(75%)    EWG(73%)    EWY(71%)    IWM(69%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.805% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-15%)    REMX(1%)    LQD(18%)    XLU(51%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.805% (StdDev 1.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

Resistance Level   $37.67
5 Day Moving Average   $37.36(-1.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.39(-1.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.67(-1.88%)
To recent high   -4.6%
To recent low   25.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.86% (three month std-dev: 1.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20031201

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_31_2003	33.29	37.67	37.39	37.36	37.5	37.36	36.96(-1.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-10	-8	-48	1.41	69%	0.24	27.4	1.61%	0	-1	41	0
2	Oct_30_2003	33.21	37.72	37.51	37.21	37.48	37.8	37.68(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	6	80	23	-44	2.42	68%	0.27	39.9	1.59%	0	-0.1	47	0
3	Oct_29_2003	33.12	37.7	37.56	36.92	37.09	37.63	37.76(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	7	120	26	-51	0.77	68%	0.27	41.8	1.61%	0	0.1	54	0
4	Oct_28_2003	33.03	37.64	37.58	36.86	36.59	37.16	37.6(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-7	90	9	-54	1.47	68%	0.27	38.5	1.62%	0	-0	55	0
5	Oct_27_2003	32.94	37.53	37.68	37.1	36.66	36.56	36.8(1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-12	-50	-2	-40	1.33	67%	0.27	37.9	1.61%	0	-0.7	44	0

6	Oct_24_2003	32.85	37.48	37.84	37.45	37.09	36.01	36.2(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-44	-230	-47	-34	2.64	67%	0.24	43.5	1.61%	0	-1.1	41	0
7	Oct_23_2003	32.77	37.44	38.05	37.85	37.66	36.77	36.24(-3.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-56	-180	-68	-18	3.98	67%	0.24	45.3	1.61%	0	-1	40	0
8	Oct_22_2003	32.69	37.39	38.19	38.26	38.28	38.16	37.48(-3.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-7	-20	-19	28	2.03	72%	0.34	46.5	1.55%	0	0.1	55	0
9	Oct_21_2003	32.58	37.29	38.18	38.37	38.43	38.55	38.76(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	30	7	54	0.95	77%	0.34	46.2	1.48%	0	1.1	71	0
10	Oct_20_2003	32.47	37.15	38.08	38.36	38.43	38.41	38.56(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	24	10	5	81	1.66	77%	0.37	45.4	1.49%	0	1.1	78	0

11	Oct_17_2003	32.35	37	37.99	38.3	38.35	38.32	38.2(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-0	1	98	1.27	74%	0.34	49.6	1.5%	0	1	71	0
12	Oct_16_2003	32.24	36.89	37.95	38.29	38.36	38.29	38.32(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	35	-10	5	126	1.17	71%	0.34	56.2	1.54%	0	1.2	73	0
13	Oct_15_2003	32.13	36.8	37.84	38.1	38.27	38.38	38(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	41	30	8	140	2.57	71%	0.34	63.5	1.57%	0	1	74	0
14	Oct_14_2003	32.02	36.7	37.7	37.94	38.09	38.42	38.72(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	54	70	21	152	1.88	73%	0.22	68.4	1.55%	0	1.7	74	0
15	Oct_13_2003	31.95	36.57	37.35	37.75	37.75	38.16	38.28(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	49	80	20	137	0.96	73%	0.38	72.2	1.55%	0	1.5	65	0

16	Oct_10_2003	31.83	36.38	37.08	37.63	37.58	37.76	38.12(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	46	30	17	131	0.82	69%	0.35	72.8	1.56%	0	1.6	66	0
17	Oct_9_2003	31.72	36.22	36.79	37.58	37.47	37.34	37.4(0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	27	-30	-2	112	1.42	68%	0.35	76.7	1.57%	0	1.1	57	0
18	Oct_8_2003	31.61	36.07	36.53	37.54	37.55	37.4	37.16(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	23	-30	-1	94	1.21	68%	0.35	74	1.57%	0	1	52	0
19	Oct_7_2003	31.5	35.92	36.35	37.41	37.52	37.6	37.8(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	20	24	93	1	73%	0.35	69.3	1.55%	0	1.7	61	0
20	Oct_6_2003	31.39	35.77	36.14	36.86	37.13	37.69	37.68(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	39	130	32	58	0.98	73%	0.35	58.8	1.64%	0	1.8	57	0

21	Oct_3_2003	31.28	35.6	35.92	36.42	36.58	37.45	37.88(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	55	180	56	52	1.67	73%	0.32	55.3	1.65%	0	2.3	67	0
22	Oct_2_2003	31.18	35.4	35.73	35.88	35.94	36.58	37.2(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	47	130	52	33	1.32	74%	0.32	51.8	1.65%	0	2	63	0
23	Oct_1_2003	31.08	35.26	35.65	35.39	35.45	35.7	36.48(4.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	22	50	24	15	1.25	75%	0.32	48.9	1.73%	0	1.6	63	0
24	Sep_30_2003	30.98	35.17	35.58	35.15	35.19	35.3	35.04(-1.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	30	-4	6	2.66	73%	0.26	53.4	1.69%	0	-0.2	58	0
25	Sep_29_2003	30.9	35.16	35.71	35.32	35.29	35.2	35.52(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-20	-0	31	1.46	73%		72.9	1.68%	0	0.5	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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