Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Oct. 30, 2003

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $37.6800 (-0.21%) ($37.5200 - $37.9600) on Thu. Oct. 30, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.59% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $37.6800(-0.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(75%)    SPY(75%)    EWG(73%)    EWY(71%)    IWM(69%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.795% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-15%)    REMX(1%)    LQD(18%)    XLU(51%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.795% (StdDev 1.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

Resistance Level   $37.72
5 Day Moving Average   $37.21(1.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.51(0.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.72(-0.11%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   27.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.83% (three month std-dev: 1.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20031130

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_30_2003	33.21	37.72	37.51	37.21	37.48	37.8	37.68(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	6	80	23	-44	2.42	68%	0.27	39.9	1.59%	0	-0.1	47	0
2	Oct_29_2003	33.12	37.7	37.56	36.92	37.09	37.63	37.76(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	7	120	26	-51	0.77	68%	0.27	41.8	1.61%	0	0.1	54	0
3	Oct_28_2003	33.03	37.64	37.58	36.86	36.59	37.16	37.6(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-7	90	9	-54	1.47	68%	0.27	38.5	1.62%	0	-0	55	0
4	Oct_27_2003	32.94	37.53	37.68	37.1	36.66	36.56	36.8(1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-12	-50	-2	-40	1.33	67%	0.27	37.9	1.61%	0	-0.7	44	0
5	Oct_24_2003	32.85	37.48	37.84	37.45	37.09	36.01	36.2(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-44	-230	-47	-34	2.64	67%	0.24	43.5	1.61%	0	-1.1	41	0

6	Oct_23_2003	32.77	37.44	38.05	37.85	37.66	36.77	36.24(-3.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-56	-180	-68	-18	3.98	67%	0.24	45.3	1.61%	0	-1	40	0
7	Oct_22_2003	32.69	37.39	38.19	38.26	38.28	38.16	37.48(-3.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-7	-20	-19	28	2.03	72%	0.34	46.5	1.55%	0	0.1	55	0
8	Oct_21_2003	32.58	37.29	38.18	38.37	38.43	38.55	38.76(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	30	7	54	0.95	77%	0.34	46.2	1.48%	0	1.1	71	0
9	Oct_20_2003	32.47	37.15	38.08	38.36	38.43	38.41	38.56(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	24	10	5	81	1.66	77%	0.37	45.4	1.49%	0	1.1	78	0
10	Oct_17_2003	32.35	37	37.99	38.3	38.35	38.32	38.2(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-0	1	98	1.27	74%	0.34	49.6	1.5%	0	1	71	0

11	Oct_16_2003	32.24	36.89	37.95	38.29	38.36	38.29	38.32(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	35	-10	5	126	1.17	71%	0.34	56.2	1.54%	0	1.2	73	0
12	Oct_15_2003	32.13	36.8	37.84	38.1	38.27	38.38	38(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	41	30	8	140	2.57	71%	0.34	63.5	1.57%	0	1	74	0
13	Oct_14_2003	32.02	36.7	37.7	37.94	38.09	38.42	38.72(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	54	70	21	152	1.88	73%	0.22	68.4	1.55%	0	1.7	74	0
14	Oct_13_2003	31.95	36.57	37.35	37.75	37.75	38.16	38.28(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	49	80	20	137	0.96	73%	0.38	72.2	1.55%	0	1.5	65	0
15	Oct_10_2003	31.83	36.38	37.08	37.63	37.58	37.76	38.12(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	46	30	17	131	0.82	69%	0.35	72.8	1.56%	0	1.6	66	0

16	Oct_9_2003	31.72	36.22	36.79	37.58	37.47	37.34	37.4(0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	27	-30	-2	112	1.42	68%	0.35	76.7	1.57%	0	1.1	57	0
17	Oct_8_2003	31.61	36.07	36.53	37.54	37.55	37.4	37.16(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	23	-30	-1	94	1.21	68%	0.35	74	1.57%	0	1	52	0
18	Oct_7_2003	31.5	35.92	36.35	37.41	37.52	37.6	37.8(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	20	24	93	1	73%	0.35	69.3	1.55%	0	1.7	61	0
19	Oct_6_2003	31.39	35.77	36.14	36.86	37.13	37.69	37.68(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	39	130	32	58	0.98	73%	0.35	58.8	1.64%	0	1.8	57	0
20	Oct_3_2003	31.28	35.6	35.92	36.42	36.58	37.45	37.88(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	55	180	56	52	1.67	73%	0.32	55.3	1.65%	0	2.3	67	0

21	Oct_2_2003	31.18	35.4	35.73	35.88	35.94	36.58	37.2(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	47	130	52	33	1.32	74%	0.32	51.8	1.65%	0	2	63	0
22	Oct_1_2003	31.08	35.26	35.65	35.39	35.45	35.7	36.48(4.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	22	50	24	15	1.25	75%	0.32	48.9	1.73%	0	1.6	63	0
23	Sep_30_2003	30.98	35.17	35.58	35.15	35.19	35.3	35.04(-1.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	30	-4	6	2.66	73%	0.26	53.4	1.69%	0	-0.2	58	0
24	Sep_29_2003	30.9	35.16	35.71	35.32	35.29	35.2	35.52(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-20	-0	31	1.46	73%	0.29	72.9	1.68%	0	0.5	56	0
25	Sep_26_2003	30.81	35.05	35.63	35.34	35.44	35.09	35.16(1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-7	-60	-18	27	1	73%		65.4	1.68%	0	0.1	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.