Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 9, 2003

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $37.4000 (0.65%) ($37.3600 - $37.7600) on Thu. Oct. 9, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.57% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $37.4000(0.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(75%)    SPY(75%)    EWG(73%)    EWY(71%)    IWM(69%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.785% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-15%)    REMX(1%)    LQD(18%)    XLU(51%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.785% (StdDev 1.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.58(-0.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.79(1.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.22(3.26%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   26.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 3.01% (three month std-dev: 1.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_9_2003	31.72	36.22	36.79	37.58	37.47	37.34	37.4(0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	27	-30	-2	112	1.42	68%	0.35	76.7	1.57%	0	1.1	57	NAN
2	Oct_8_2003	31.61	36.07	36.53	37.54	37.55	37.4	37.16(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	23	-30	-1	94	1.21	68%	0.35	74	1.57%	0	1	52	NAN
3	Oct_7_2003	31.5	35.92	36.35	37.41	37.52	37.6	37.8(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	20	24	93	1	73%	0.35	69.3	1.55%	0	1.7	61	NAN
4	Oct_6_2003	31.39	35.77	36.14	36.86	37.13	37.69	37.68(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	39	130	32	58	0.98	73%	0.35	58.8	1.64%	0	1.8	57	NAN
5	Oct_3_2003	31.28	35.6	35.92	36.42	36.58	37.45	37.88(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	55	180	56	52	1.67	73%	0.32	55.3	1.65%	0	2.3	67	NAN

6	Oct_2_2003	31.18	35.4	35.73	35.88	35.94	36.58	37.2(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	47	130	52	33	1.32	74%	0.32	51.8	1.65%	0	2	63	NAN
7	Oct_1_2003	31.08	35.26	35.65	35.39	35.45	35.7	36.48(4.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	22	50	24	15	1.25	75%	0.32	48.9	1.73%	0	1.6	63	NAN
8	Sep_30_2003	30.98	35.17	35.58	35.15	35.19	35.3	35.04(-1.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	30	-4	6	2.66	73%	0.26	53.4	1.69%	0	-0.2	58	NAN
9	Sep_29_2003	30.9	35.16	35.71	35.32	35.29	35.2	35.52(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-20	-0	31	1.46	73%	0.29	72.9	1.68%	0	0.5	56	NAN
10	Sep_26_2003	30.81	35.05	35.63	35.34	35.44	35.09	35.16(1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-7	-60	-18	27	1	73%	0.26	65.4	1.68%	0	0.1	56	NAN

11	Sep_25_2003	30.73	34.95	35.61	35.55	35.58	35.37	34.76(-1.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-13	-40	-31	43	1.42	73%	0.26	64.4	1.68%	0	-0.2	58	NAN
12	Sep_24_2003	30.65	34.88	35.59	35.94	35.89	35.79	35.28(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	13	-20	-8	76	1.86	71%	0.29	73.9	1.67%	0	0.4	57	NAN
13	Sep_23_2003	30.56	34.78	35.5	36.06	36.13	35.78	35.88(0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-60	-9	79	1.4	73%	0.3	77.2	1.68%	0	1	57	NAN
14	Sep_22_2003	30.47	34.63	35.4	36.14	36.14	36	35.6(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	15	-30	-9	86	1.9	73%	0.33	79.4	1.68%	0	0.9	56	NAN
15	Sep_19_2003	30.37	34.5	35.29	35.95	36.23	36.47	36.24(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	70	22	102	1.78	75%	0.33	80.2	1.66%	0	1.5	70	NAN

16	Sep_18_2003	30.27	34.34	35.06	35.67	35.83	36.28	36.68(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	51	100	34	103	1.71	75%	0.4	86.4	1.65%	0	2.1	74	NAN
17	Sep_17_2003	30.15	34.13	34.82	35.2	35.35	35.99	35.92(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	52	140	39	92	2.78	74%	0.37	89.6	1.64%	0	1.8	70	NAN
18	Sep_16_2003	30.04	33.97	34.7	34.86	34.9	35.38	36.28(4.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	51	100	38	89	1.56	74%	0.37	95.1	1.63%	0	2.4	72	NAN
19	Sep_15_2003	29.93	33.75	34.53	34.57	34.52	34.7	34.64(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	30	10	88	1.26	71%	0.34	104.2	1.53%	0	1	69	NAN
20	Sep_12_2003	29.83	33.6	34.4	34.54	34.56	34.42	34.84(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-30	11	90	1.09	71%	0.34	102.7	1.54%	0	1.3	67	NAN

21	Sep_11_2003	29.73	33.41	34.22	34.36	34.49	34.34	34.32(0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	9	-20	-12	70	1.07	72%	0.3	92.9	1.53%	0	0.8	62	NAN
22	Sep_10_2003	29.64	33.24	34.11	34.38	34.47	34.7	34.24(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	50	-2	82	2.41	72%	0.3	90.3	1.54%	0	0.8	65	NAN
23	Sep_9_2003	29.55	33.07	34.02	34.38	34.47	34.64	34.8(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	40	13	105	1.95	75%	0.31	91.1	1.52%	0	1.3	71	NAN
24	Sep_8_2003	29.46	32.85	33.81	34.5	34.44	34.64	34.48(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	35	-40	9	114	1.17	75%	0.17	90.5	1.52%	0	1.2	73	NAN
25	Sep_5_2003	29.41	32.63	33.66	34.24	34.47	34.25	33.96(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	27	-20	-1	112	1.98	74%		81.1	1.51%	0	0.9	75	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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