Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 24, 2017

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $25.6100 (0.35%) ($25.5400 - $25.6800) on Fri. Mar. 24, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.04% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $25.6100(0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(90%)    EWP(90%)    IVE(77%)    IWD(77%)    VT(77%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.52% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-26%)    VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-21%)    DIA(-2%)    XHB(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.52% (StdDev 1.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.4(0.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.22(1.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.72(3.6%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   10.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.79% (three month std-dev: 1.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.09%(58%) Average negative next day return: -0.72%(42%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 2.24%(54%) Average negative next three day return: -1.65%(46%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 2.43%(62%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.88%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170424

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_24_2017	23.67	24.72	25.22	25.4	25.48	25.54	25.61(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	41	30	12	127	1.97	54%	0.17	69.5	1.04%	0	1.3	70	INF
2	Mar_23_2017	23.63	24.6	25.13	25.4	25.4	25.54	25.52(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	10	1	122	1.27	56%	0.17	63.6	1.05%	0	1.3	64	INF
3	Mar_22_2017	23.59	24.5	25.03	25.36	25.38	25.41	25.4(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	10	8	136	0.98	56%	0.13	61.3	1.06%	0	1.3	69	INF
4	Mar_21_2017	23.56	24.4	24.9	25.26	25.39	25.39	25.23(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	47	20	19	132	1.37	56%	0.13	57.8	1.06%	0	1.3	68	INF
5	Mar_20_2017	23.53	24.33	24.8	25.1	25.22	25.35	25.23(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	50	10	122	1.07	56%	0.09	51.7	1.06%	0	1.4	71	INF

6	Mar_17_2017	23.51	24.25	24.7	25.01	25.01	25.4	25.4(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	58	110	31	137	1.26	56%	0.13	51.2	1.05%	0	1.9	73	INF
7	Mar_16_2017	23.48	24.17	24.61	24.87	24.84	25.08	25.52(2.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	71	60	43	154	1.33	56%	0.13	51.3	1.06%	0	2.4	79	INF
8	Mar_15_2017	23.45	24.08	24.45	24.66	24.65	24.62	24.94(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	48	-10	19	136	1.04	52%	0.13	51.8	1.02%	0	1.9	70	INF
9	Mar_14_2017	23.42	24.03	24.36	24.48	24.56	24.59	24.43(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	20	2	123	0.94	43%	0.09	49.7	0.99%	0	1	66	INF
10	Mar_13_2017	23.4	24	24.29	24.43	24.47	24.68	24.78(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	45	60	19	123	0.92	51%	0.09	50.3	1.01%	0	1.9	65	INF

11	Mar_10_2017	23.38	23.94	24.18	24.34	24.34	24.53	24.68(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	40	50	17	107	1	51%	0.13	41.9	1.04%	0	2	63	INF
12	Mar_9_2017	23.35	23.89	24.03	24.31	24.25	24.27	24.46(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	-0	13	86	1.17	51%	0.09	42	1.05%	0	1.7	57	INF
13	Mar_8_2017	23.33	23.85	23.93	24.31	24.26	24.14	24.04(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	12	-30	-4	61	0.9	47%	0.09	36.5	1.03%	0	0.6	54	INF
14	Mar_7_2017	23.31	23.82	23.88	24.22	24.24	24.24	24.21(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	16	0	3	55	0.55	52%	0.09	32.3	1.03%	0	1.3	54	INF
15	Mar_6_2017	23.29	23.79	23.83	24.11	24.21	24.38	24.32(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	27	60	21	44	0.87	59%	0.13	22.1	1.07%	0	1.8	58	INF

16	Mar_3_2017	23.26	23.78	23.76	23.98	24.05	24.24	24.53(2.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	34	60	34	33	1.05	59%	0.13	9	1.18%	0	2.6	64	INF
17	Mar_2_2017	23.23	23.75	23.7	23.71	23.83	24.03	24(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	16	70	21	-1	0.56	56%	0.09	-28.7	1.16%	0	1	53	INF
18	Mar_1_2017	23.21	23.74	23.67	23.6	23.62	23.85	24.03(1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	13	70	21	-11	1.34	56%	0.09	-62.4	1.16%	0	1.2	57	INF
19	Feb_28_2017	23.19	23.74	23.66	23.49	23.5	23.63	23.65(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	3	40	10	-20	0.72	56%	0.09	-100	1.19%	0	-0.3	55	INF
20	Feb_27_2017	23.17	23.72	23.66	23.51	23.42	23.4	23.67(2.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-6	-20	-1	-19	1.06	56%	0.09	-121.5	1.22%	0	-0.2	51	INF

21	Feb_24_2017	23.15	23.76	23.67	23.53	23.46	23.37	23.2(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-22	-40	-17	-36	1.51	53%	0.04	-108.3	1.2%	0	-2.2	29	INF
22	Feb_23_2017	23.14	23.82	23.74	23.68	23.59	23.45	23.45(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-14	-50	-12	-20	1.42	53%	0.04	-92	1.2%	0	-1.4	40	INF
23	Feb_22_2017	23.13	23.89	23.76	23.75	23.69	23.55	23.48(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-17	-50	-17	-15	1.22	55%	0.09	-62.7	1.2%	0	-1.2	47	INF
24	Feb_21_2017	23.11	23.95	23.77	23.85	23.79	23.73	23.73(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6	-30	-6	-4	0.81	55%	0.13	-45.9	1.2%	0	-0.6	51	INF
25	Feb_17_2017	23.08	24	23.76	23.86	23.83	23.83	23.77(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1	-0	-0	-2	0.74	51%		-40	1.24%	0	-0.5	51	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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