Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 27, 2016

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $22.6800 (0.62%) ($22.6500 - $22.8000) on Thu. Oct. 27, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.16% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $22.6800(0.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(89%)    EWP(89%)    IVE(76%)    IWD(76%)    VT(76%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-26%)    VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-21%)    IPO(-3%)    DIA(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.58% (StdDev 1.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.54(0.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.36(1.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.13(2.49%)
To recent high   -3.2%
To recent low   5.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.54% (three month std-dev: 1.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 41 Average positive next day return: 0.65%(56%) Average negative next day return: -0.65%(44%) Sample size 41 Average positive next three day return: 0.8%(54%) Average negative next three day return: -0.92%(46%) Sample size 41 Average positive next weekly return: 1.11%(49%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.27%(51%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_27_2016	22.17	22.13	22.36	22.54	22.59	22.64	22.68(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	20	12	89	0.62	37%	-0.09	56.5	1.16%	0	1.6	65	INF
2	Oct_26_2016	22.19	22.08	22.25	22.49	22.49	22.52	22.54(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	10	2	71	1.13	37%	-0.09	47.9	1.16%	0	1.5	61	INF
3	Oct_25_2016	22.21	22.05	22.17	22.46	22.45	22.54	22.5(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	30	8	63	0.55	37%	-0.09	44.9	1.16%	0	1.5	59	INF
4	Oct_24_2016	22.23	22.01	22.1	22.42	22.41	22.46	22.56(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	10	17	63	0.43	37%	-0.04	43.2	1.17%	0	1.9	68	INF
5	Oct_21_2016	22.24	21.96	22.05	22.28	22.33	22.36	22.42(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	20	14	51	0.47	37%	-0.09	33.1	1.16%	0	1.8	61	INF

6	Oct_20_2016	22.26	21.94	22	22.14	22.21	22.35	22.44(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	24	50	20	35	0.62	37%	-0.09	27.2	1.16%	0	2	56	INF
7	Oct_19_2016	22.28	21.93	21.95	21.97	22.06	22.29	22.38(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	25	90	25	23	0.63	37%	-0.09	8.6	1.16%	0	2	63	INF
8	Oct_18_2016	22.3	21.91	21.92	21.84	21.86	22.07	22.28(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	18	70	21	7	0.32	37%	0	-10.4	1.17%	0	1.8	54	INF
9	Oct_17_2016	22.3	21.91	21.92	21.74	21.86	21.84	21.88(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	40	5	-13	0.28	28%	-0.09	-38.5	1.15%	0	0	54	INF
10	Oct_14_2016	22.32	21.88	21.86	21.79	21.72	21.64	21.74(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5	-40	-4	-7	0.69	28%	-0.13	-52.1	1.14%	0	-0.7	50	INF

11	Oct_13_2016	22.35	21.87	21.89	21.84	21.81	21.59	21.56(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-16	-70	-19	-7	1.3	28%	-0.13	-68.3	1.15%	0	-1.4	43	INF
12	Oct_12_2016	22.38	21.91	21.9	21.93	21.93	21.79	21.72(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-16	-40	-18	-9	0.28	44%	-0.13	-80	1.15%	0	-0.9	40	INF
13	Oct_11_2016	22.41	21.93	21.9	22	22.02	22.02	21.78(-1.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-1	0	-2	4	0.55	44%	-0.09	-91	1.22%	0	-0.7	45	INF
14	Oct_10_2016	22.43	21.96	21.92	21.99	22.07	22.06	22.14(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	10	8	7	0.28	48%	-0.04	-80.3	1.21%	0	0.6	58	INF
15	Oct_7_2016	22.44	21.99	21.92	21.94	21.96	22.03	21.98(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3	30	-2	-5	0.62	60%	-0.09	-76.1	1.32%	0	-0	52	INF

16	Oct_6_2016	22.46	22.03	21.88	21.95	21.92	22.08	22.04(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	50	14	11	0.41	60%	-0.04	-56.9	1.34%	0	0	57	INF
17	Oct_5_2016	22.47	22.09	21.91	21.86	21.88	21.89	22.08(1.75%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	5	10	7	-1	0.44	50%	-0.09	-49.1	1.34%	0	-0	46	INF
18	Oct_4_2016	22.49	22.14	21.91	21.86	21.81	21.77	21.7(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6	-20	-4	-10	0.89	46%	-0.09	-41.4	1.42%	0	-0.8	44	INF
19	Oct_3_2016	22.51	22.2	21.91	21.84	21.85	21.87	21.88(-0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	10	3	-18	0.38	46%	-0.09	-36.6	1.43%	0	-0.6	45	INF
20	Sep_30_2016	22.53	22.25	21.9	21.84	21.79	21.86	22.04(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	20	2	-39	0.77	52%	-0.09	-32.8	1.42%	0	-0.4	39	INF

21	Sep_29_2016	22.55	22.29	21.86	21.82	21.76	21.83	21.62(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	10	-6	-63	0.8	47%	-0.13	-30.7	1.44%	0	-1.2	35	INF
22	Sep_28_2016	22.58	22.34	21.93	21.96	21.82	21.71	21.96(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-19	-50	-3	-67	0.69	58%	-0.09	-24.8	1.44%	0	-0.7	32	INF
23	Sep_27_2016	22.6	22.36	21.95	21.96	21.96	21.69	21.68(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-28	-90	-10	-81	0.76	52%	-0.09	-24.9	1.49%	0	-1.3	33	INF
24	Sep_26_2016	22.62	22.4	22	21.98	22.06	21.94	21.78(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-30	-10	-93	0.29	52%	-0.13	-25.6	1.53%	0	-1.2	36	INF
25	Sep_23_2016	22.65	22.43	22.11	21.99	22.04	22.24	22.04(-1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-10	70	5	-56	0.33	40%		-23.4	2.41%	0	-0.8	39	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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