Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $22.3200 (-0.89%) ($22.0500 - $22.3600) on Fri. Feb. 19, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.74% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $22.3200(-0.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(89%)    VT(76%)    IVE(75%)    IWD(75%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    UUP(-27%)    TLT(-23%)    IPO(-4%)    URA(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.87% (StdDev 1.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

Resistance Level   $23.05
5 Day Moving Average   $22.54(-0.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.3(0.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.05(-3.17%)
To recent high   -23.1%
To recent low   3.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 4.08% (three month std-dev: 1.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.42%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.03%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.32%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.83%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.72%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.55%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160319

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_19_2016	27.26	23.05	22.3	22.54	22.65	22.51	22.32(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-30	-0	-72	0.39	31%	-0.26	-52.2	1.74%	0	-0.8	36	0
2	Feb_18_2016	27.33	23.15	22.41	22.38	22.58	22.84	22.52(-2.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	110	10	-86	0.7	31%	-0.22	-63.2	1.74%	0	-0.7	41	0
3	Feb_17_2016	27.39	23.2	22.41	22.32	22.27	22.79	23.06(1.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	1	160	33	-97	0.42	32%	-0.18	-77.3	1.72%	0	-0.1	41	0
4	Feb_16_2016	27.44	23.27	22.47	22.02	22.09	22.31	22.68(2.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-15	80	28	-145	0.89	32%	-0.22	-89.2	1.7%	0	-0.6	36	0
5	Feb_12_2016	27.5	23.37	22.59	21.9	21.82	21.75	22.14(2.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-54	-30	-13	-176	1.22	29%	-0.25	-92.7	1.66%	0	-1.2	37	0

6	Feb_11_2016	27.57	23.56	22.78	22.05	21.86	21.87	21.52(-2.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-68	-20	-30	-182	1.93	26%	-0.22	-82.8	1.63%	0	-1.8	28	0
7	Feb_10_2016	27.63	23.76	23.01	22.45	22.26	21.89	22.18(2.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-51	-140	-16	-155	2.13	27%	-0.25	-78.9	1.59%	0	-1.5	35	0
8	Feb_9_2016	27.7	23.95	23.21	22.66	22.53	21.85	21.56(-2.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-75	-230	-50	-149	1.35	23%	-0.29	-76.5	1.54%	0	-2.2	38	0
9	Feb_8_2016	27.78	24.17	23.51	22.98	22.9	22.62	22.08(-3.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-66	-100	-47	-121	1.43	24%	-0.25	-81.5	1.53%	0	-2	35	0
10	Feb_5_2016	27.85	24.36	23.71	23.37	23.21	23.21	22.9(-2.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-20	-17	-91	1.16	26%	-0.29	-84.9	1.48%	0	-1.5	36	0

11	Feb_4_2016	27.93	24.51	23.88	23.62	23.41	23.18	23.52(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-100	-8	-87	1.12	26%	-0.21	-88.3	1.45%	0	-1.1	33	0
12	Feb_3_2016	27.99	24.65	23.96	23.68	23.6	23.21	23.24(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-50	-130	-29	-113	3.3	26%	-0.25	-93	1.45%	0	-1.4	34	0
13	Feb_2_2016	28.06	24.83	24	23.85	23.8	23.65	23.14(-3.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-58	-50	-32	-136	0.9	26%	-0.21	-89	1.45%	0	-1.6	31	0
14	Feb_1_2016	28.12	25.03	24.14	24.12	24.01	23.99	24.06(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-20	0	-124	0.86	28%	-0.21	-86.1	1.39%	0	-0.9	38	0
15	Jan_29_2016	28.18	25.19	24.21	24.1	24.11	23.96	24.14(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-43	-40	-9	-146	1.2	28%	-0.21	-90.3	1.39%	0	-1	38	0

16	Jan_28_2016	28.24	25.37	24.38	24.2	24.13	24.03	23.8(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-49	-40	-17	-145	1.58	26%	-0.21	-81.7	1.38%	0	-1.4	33	0
17	Jan_27_2016	28.3	25.59	24.56	24.28	24.33	24.26	24.1(-1.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-29	-10	8	-138	1.8	26%	-0.18	-72.8	1.38%	0	-1.2	33	0
18	Jan_26_2016	28.35	25.79	24.74	24.18	24.29	24.23	24.5(2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-43	-0	-1	-170	1.16	27%	-0.14	-67.8	1.37%	0	-1	31	0
19	Jan_25_2016	28.39	25.97	24.86	24.16	24.1	24.39	23.96(-2.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-60	80	-12	-202	0.91	23%	-0.18	-64	1.34%	0	-1.4	25	0
20	Jan_22_2016	28.44	26.19	25.04	24.35	24.17	24.36	24.62(1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-51	30	3	-213	1.16	25%	-0.18	-63.3	1.3%	0	-1.2	26	0

21	Jan_21_2016	28.49	26.35	25.18	24.61	24.25	23.8	24.24(2.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-86	-170	-35	-238	2.21	22%	-0.18	-57.2	1.29%	0	-1.5	19	0
22	Jan_20_2016	28.54	26.52	25.38	24.89	24.7	23.99	23.56(-3.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-125	-220	-75	-274	2.14	16%	-0.21	-52.4	1.22%	0	-2.2	9	0
23	Jan_19_2016	28.6	26.73	25.73	25.38	25.3	24.7	24.44(-1.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-108	-180	-59	-254	1.92	18%	-0.21	-49.9	1.15%	0	-1.9	14	0
24	Jan_15_2016	28.66	26.9	26	25.64	25.69	25.41	24.88(-4.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-91	-70	-40	-244	1.45	23%	-0.21	-51.5	1.13%	0	-1.9	15	0
25	Jan_14_2016	28.72	27.07	26.26	25.82	25.91	25.9	25.92(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-66	10	-6	-244	2.39	25%		-53	1.05%	0	-1.2	19	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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