Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 1, 2016

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $24.0600 (-0.33%) ($23.7400 - $24.1200) on Mon. Feb. 1, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.39% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $24.0600(-0.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(88%)    VT(76%)    IVE(75%)    IWD(75%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.695% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    UUP(-27%)    TLT(-23%)    IPO(-3%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.695% (StdDev 1.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $16.17(-32.79%)
Resistance Level   $25.03
5 Day Moving Average   $24.12(-0.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.14(-0.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.03(-3.88%)
To recent high   -19.5%
To recent low   2.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 4.23% (three month std-dev: 1.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.08%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 6.36%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 9.35%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160301

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_1_2016	28.12	25.03	24.14	24.12	24.01	23.99	24.06(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-20	0	-124	0.86	28%	-0.21	-86.1	1.39%	0	-0.9	38	0
2	Jan_29_2016	28.18	25.19	24.21	24.1	24.11	23.96	24.14(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-43	-40	-9	-146	1.2	28%	-0.21	-90.3	1.39%	0	-1	38	0
3	Jan_28_2016	28.24	25.37	24.38	24.2	24.13	24.03	23.8(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-49	-40	-17	-145	1.58	26%	-0.21	-81.7	1.38%	0	-1.4	33	0
4	Jan_27_2016	28.3	25.59	24.56	24.28	24.33	24.26	24.1(-1.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-29	-10	8	-138	1.8	26%	-0.18	-72.8	1.38%	0	-1.2	33	0
5	Jan_26_2016	28.35	25.79	24.74	24.18	24.29	24.23	24.5(2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-43	-0	-1	-170	1.16	27%	-0.14	-67.8	1.37%	0	-1	31	0

6	Jan_25_2016	28.39	25.97	24.86	24.16	24.1	24.39	23.96(-2.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-60	80	-12	-202	0.91	23%	-0.18	-64	1.34%	0	-1.4	25	0
7	Jan_22_2016	28.44	26.19	25.04	24.35	24.17	24.36	24.62(1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-51	30	3	-213	1.16	25%	-0.18	-63.3	1.3%	0	-1.2	26	0
8	Jan_21_2016	28.49	26.35	25.18	24.61	24.25	23.8	24.24(2.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-86	-170	-35	-238	2.21	22%	-0.18	-57.2	1.29%	0	-1.5	19	0
9	Jan_20_2016	28.54	26.52	25.38	24.89	24.7	23.99	23.56(-3.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-125	-220	-75	-274	2.14	16%	-0.21	-52.4	1.22%	0	-2.2	9	0
10	Jan_19_2016	28.6	26.73	25.73	25.38	25.3	24.7	24.44(-1.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-108	-180	-59	-254	1.92	18%	-0.21	-49.9	1.15%	0	-1.9	14	0

11	Jan_15_2016	28.66	26.9	26	25.64	25.69	25.41	24.88(-4.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-91	-70	-40	-244	1.45	23%	-0.21	-51.5	1.13%	0	-1.9	15	0
12	Jan_14_2016	28.72	27.07	26.26	25.82	25.91	25.9	25.92(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-66	10	-6	-244	2.39	25%	-0.1	-53	1.05%	0	-1.2	19	0
13	Jan_13_2016	28.75	27.17	26.45	25.84	25.91	25.97	25.64(-1.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-66	20	-6	-245	1.4	23%	-0.14	-54.9	1.04%	0	-1.6	24	0
14	Jan_12_2016	28.79	27.26	26.71	25.96	25.96	25.91	26(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-71	-10	-19	-228	1.08	24%	-0.07	-62.4	1.03%	0	-1.4	30	0
15	Jan_11_2016	28.81	27.34	26.92	26.16	26.04	25.94	25.74(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-74	-40	-32	-200	2	24%	-0.14	-68.7	1.03%	0	-2	30	0

16	Jan_8_2016	28.85	27.46	27.17	26.43	26.31	26.02	25.8(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-69	-90	-37	-166	1.34	24%	-0.14	-72.9	1.03%	0	-2.3	28	0
17	Jan_7_2016	28.89	27.58	27.42	26.77	26.56	26.13	26(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-80	-140	-61	-136	1.49	24%	-0.17	-72.4	1.04%	0	-2.5	26	0
18	Jan_6_2016	28.94	27.69	27.61	27.15	26.96	26.6	26.28(-2.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-68	-110	-60	-93	1.1	25%	-0.14	-76.8	1.04%	0	-2.8	35	0
19	Jan_5_2016	28.98	27.81	27.76	27.56	27.4	26.99	27(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-42	-120	-44	-37	1.02	27%	-0.17	-74.5	0.99%	0	-2.1	48	0
20	Jan_4_2016	29.03	27.91	27.81	27.79	27.74	27.32	27.08(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-39	-110	-48	-12	3.06	27%	-0.21	-55.1	1.01%	0	-2.2	48	0

21	Dec_31_2015	29.09	27.99	27.89	28.01	28.01	27.81	27.48(-1.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-19	-50	-30	16	0.83	36%	-0.14	-33.1	1.06%	0	-1.2	45	0
22	Dec_30_2015	29.13	28.04	27.96	28.16	28.16	28.15	27.92(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-0	-1	45	0.56	43%	-0.14	-21.3	1.05%	0	-0.3	46	0
23	Dec_29_2015	29.17	28.08	27.95	28.14	28.15	28.2	28.34(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	10	16	43	0.74	45%	-0.1	-15.9	1.07%	0	0.6	53	0
24	Dec_28_2015	29.2	28.1	27.85	27.99	28.01	28.16	28.14(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	40	16	5	0.56	42%	-0.17	-17.5	1.07%	0	0.1	42	0
25	Dec_24_2015	29.25	28.13	27.78	27.84	27.89	28.1	28.18(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	7	60	21	-37	0.14	42%		-21.9	1.1%	0	0.1	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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