Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 14, 2016

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $25.9200 (1.09%) ($25.6000 - $26.0000) on Thu. Jan. 14, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.05% (three month average)
RSI   19
Latest Price   $25.9200(1.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -4.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(88%)    VT(76%)    IVE(75%)    IWD(75%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.525% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    UUP(-26%)    TLT(-23%)    SHY(-1%)    GDXJ(2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.525% (StdDev 1.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $19.31(-25.5%)
Resistance Level   $27.07
5 Day Moving Average   $25.82(0.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.26(-1.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.07(-4.25%)
To recent high   -15.6%
To recent low   1.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 3.51% (three month std-dev: 1.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 0.94%(30%) Average negative next day return: -1.41%(70%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 2.23%(80%) Average negative next three day return: -2.04%(20%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 3.11%(70%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.18%(30%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_14_2016	28.72	27.07	26.26	25.82	25.91	25.9	25.92(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-66	10	-6	-244	2.39	25%	-0.1	-53	1.05%	0	-1.2	19	INF
2	Jan_13_2016	28.75	27.17	26.45	25.84	25.91	25.97	25.64(-1.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-66	20	-6	-245	1.4	23%	-0.14	-54.9	1.04%	0	-1.6	24	INF
3	Jan_12_2016	28.79	27.26	26.71	25.96	25.96	25.91	26(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-71	-10	-19	-228	1.08	24%	-0.07	-62.4	1.03%	0	-1.4	30	INF
4	Jan_11_2016	28.81	27.34	26.92	26.16	26.04	25.94	25.74(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-74	-40	-32	-200	2	24%	-0.14	-68.7	1.03%	0	-2	30	INF
5	Jan_8_2016	28.85	27.46	27.17	26.43	26.31	26.02	25.8(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-69	-90	-37	-166	1.34	24%	-0.14	-72.9	1.03%	0	-2.3	28	INF

6	Jan_7_2016	28.89	27.58	27.42	26.77	26.56	26.13	26(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-80	-140	-61	-136	1.49	24%	-0.17	-72.4	1.04%	0	-2.5	26	INF
7	Jan_6_2016	28.94	27.69	27.61	27.15	26.96	26.6	26.28(-2.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-68	-110	-60	-93	1.1	25%	-0.14	-76.8	1.04%	0	-2.8	35	INF
8	Jan_5_2016	28.98	27.81	27.76	27.56	27.4	26.99	27(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-42	-120	-44	-37	1.02	27%	-0.17	-74.5	0.99%	0	-2.1	48	INF
9	Jan_4_2016	29.03	27.91	27.81	27.79	27.74	27.32	27.08(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-39	-110	-48	-12	3.06	27%	-0.21	-55.1	1.01%	0	-2.2	48	INF
10	Dec_31_2015	29.09	27.99	27.89	28.01	28.01	27.81	27.48(-1.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-19	-50	-30	16	0.83	36%	-0.14	-33.1	1.06%	0	-1.2	45	INF

11	Dec_30_2015	29.13	28.04	27.96	28.16	28.16	28.15	27.92(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-0	-1	45	0.56	43%	-0.14	-21.3	1.05%	0	-0.3	46	INF
12	Dec_29_2015	29.17	28.08	27.95	28.14	28.15	28.2	28.34(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	10	16	43	0.74	45%	-0.1	-15.9	1.07%	0	0.6	53	INF
13	Dec_28_2015	29.2	28.1	27.85	27.99	28.01	28.16	28.14(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	40	16	5	0.56	42%	-0.17	-17.5	1.07%	0	0.1	42	INF
14	Dec_24_2015	29.25	28.13	27.78	27.84	27.89	28.1	28.18(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	7	60	21	-37	0.14	42%	-0.1	-21.9	1.1%	0	0.1	38	INF
15	Dec_23_2015	29.28	28.14	27.75	27.76	27.73	27.85	28.22(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-8	30	10	-63	1.07	42%	-0.1	-26.4	1.1%	0	0.2	44	INF

16	Dec_22_2015	29.31	28.13	27.74	27.74	27.7	27.67	27.8(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-18	-10	1	-75	0.96	35%	-0.1	-29.2	1.09%	0	-0.7	43	INF
17	Dec_21_2015	29.34	28.16	27.76	27.73	27.79	27.6	27.6(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-40	-4	-89	1.04	35%	-0.1	-30.5	1.14%	0	-1.1	36	INF
18	Dec_18_2015	29.37	28.18	27.86	27.69	27.81	27.74	27.42(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-0	-10	-101	1.84	32%	-0.1	-33.5	1.13%	0	-1.6	35	INF
19	Dec_17_2015	29.4	28.24	28.01	27.7	27.77	27.97	27.74(-1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-18	60	4	-84	1.03	33%	-0.1	-32.7	1.22%	0	-1.1	38	INF
20	Dec_16_2015	29.43	28.27	28.1	27.74	27.68	27.88	28.12(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-10	40	12	-76	1.54	34%	-0.1	-35.5	1.21%	0	-0.3	47	INF

21	Dec_15_2015	29.46	28.28	28.13	27.75	27.7	27.56	27.78(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	-40	-3	-78	1.43	31%	-0.07	-43	1.21%	0	-1.2	48	INF
22	Dec_14_2015	29.48	28.31	28.23	27.81	27.81	27.48	27.38(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-44	-80	-33	-77	1.51	28%	-0.14	-45.5	1.21%	0	-2.3	41	INF
23	Dec_11_2015	29.52	28.35	28.37	28.06	27.98	27.83	27.46(-1.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-40	-50	-38	-45	0.96	28%	-0.1	-48.8	1.22%	0	-2.5	44	INF
24	Dec_10_2015	29.55	28.38	28.51	28.38	28.24	27.83	27.98(-0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-9	-40	-12	1	0.74	30%	-0.1	-41.5	1.2%	0	-1.3	46	INF
25	Dec_9_2015	29.58	28.42	28.56	28.5	28.42	28.14	28.16(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-8	-80	-15	14	2.24	30%		-37.3	1.22%	0	-0.9	49	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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