Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 13, 2015

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $31.2600 (-0.13%) ($31.1600 - $31.4000) on Thu. Aug. 13, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.77% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $31.2600(-0.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(88%)    VT(77%)    IVE(75%)    SPY(74%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.885% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    UUP(-24%)    TLT(-24%)    SHY(-1%)    IGOV(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.885% (StdDev 1.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.4(-0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.18(0.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.99(0.87%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   11.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.1% (three month std-dev: 1.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.55%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.35%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.26%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.58%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 3.16%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.4%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150913

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_13_2015	30.69	30.99	31.18	31.4	31.36	31.19	31.26(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-40	-2	44	1.91	54%	0.03	63.6	1.77%	0	0.8	57	INF
2	Aug_12_2015	30.68	30.97	31.12	31.36	31.33	31.32	31.3(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-10	-3	38	1.47	54%	0.03	86.4	1.78%	0	1	54	INF
3	Aug_11_2015	30.67	30.93	31.05	31.3	31.31	31.53	31.48(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	50	14	39	2.72	54%	0.07	112.4	1.78%	0	1.6	55	INF
4	Aug_10_2015	30.65	30.88	30.99	31.14	31.18	31.33	31.76(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	20	40	16	30	0.55	54%	0.07	133.6	1.78%	0	2.6	57	INF
5	Aug_7_2015	30.63	30.8	30.83	30.98	30.97	31.09	31.2(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	4	30	4	5	0.39	55%	0.07	180.2	1.79%	0	1.4	50	INF

6	Aug_6_2015	30.61	30.77	30.77	30.93	30.93	31.03	31.04(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	20	9	3	0.37	56%	0.07	115.4	1.79%	0	0.6	53	INF
7	Aug_5_2015	30.59	30.68	30.76	30.84	30.91	31.03	31.02(1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	-10	4	-4	0.51	53%	0.1	65.4	1.8%	0	0.5	51	INF
8	Aug_4_2015	30.56	30.54	30.75	30.77	30.8	30.84	30.66(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	10	-5	-8	0.47	53%	0.03	42.6	1.82%	0	0.1	53	INF
9	Aug_3_2015	30.55	30.43	30.78	30.82	30.78	30.98	30.96(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	12	40	13	8	0.77	53%	0.1	31.7	1.82%	0	0.5	59	INF
10	Jul_31_2015	30.52	30.31	30.79	30.65	30.72	30.77	30.96(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	20	10	4	0.7	54%	0.07	11.8	1.83%	0	0.7	60	INF

11	Jul_30_2015	30.5	30.25	30.78	30.6	30.55	30.58	30.62(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-5	0	-6	-3	0.67	54%	0.07	4	1.84%	0	0.4	51	INF
12	Jul_29_2015	30.48	30.23	30.81	30.66	30.62	30.67	30.66(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	6	10	0	22	0.78	54%	0.07	-0.3	1.84%	0	0.4	70	INF
13	Jul_28_2015	30.46	30.18	30.8	30.72	30.73	30.52	30.92(2.79%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	10	-50	-3	48	1.03	54%	0.07	-9.1	1.84%	0	0.8	78	INF
14	Jul_27_2015	30.44	30.12	30.75	30.74	30.77	30.57	30.08(-2.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-40	-21	68	2.43	52%	0.07	-19.7	1.81%	0	-0	75	INF
15	Jul_24_2015	30.42	30.19	30.79	30.95	30.95	30.94	30.7(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	26	-0	-3	112	0.65	54%	0.03	-10.9	1.79%	0	0.5	79	INF

16	Jul_23_2015	30.41	30.21	30.78	30.95	31.04	30.94	30.94(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	32	-10	1	124	0.74	54%	0.07	-8.2	1.8%	0	0.7	58	INF
17	Jul_22_2015	30.39	30.23	30.61	30.98	31.04	30.97	30.96(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	29	-0	-0	115	0.41	54%	0.03	-2.8	1.8%	0	0.7	55	INF
18	Jul_21_2015	30.38	30.27	30.34	30.89	30.99	31.1	31.04(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	30	9	99	0.7	54%	0.03	1.4	1.8%	0	0.7	59	INF
19	Jul_20_2015	30.37	30.31	30.06	30.77	30.86	31.01	31.12(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	40	13	78	0.63	54%	0.07	4.4	1.8%	0	0.7	60	INF
20	Jul_17_2015	30.35	30.31	29.79	30.61	30.64	30.88	30.84(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	60	8	34	0.39	52%	0.03	0.5	1.79%	0	0.5	44	INF

21	Jul_16_2015	30.34	30.3	29.68	30.56	30.54	30.71	30.94(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	40	24	24	0.99	52%	0.03	-3.3	1.81%	0	0.5	46	INF
22	Jul_15_2015	30.33	30.3	29.59	30.17	30.43	30.41	30.52(0.33%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	15	20	25	-14	0.52	52%	0.03	-17.3	1.8%	0	0.2	42	INF
23	Jul_14_2015	30.32	30.3	29.5	29.7	30.07	30.37	30.42(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	110	24	-66	0.8	52%	0.03	-28.9	1.81%	0	0.1	39	INF
24	Jul_13_2015	30.31	30.26	29.42	29.24	29.52	30.45	30.32(-0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	6	250	44	-110	1.49	52%	0	-40.1	1.81%	0	0.1	37	INF
25	Jul_10_2015	30.31	30.3	29.51	28.84	28.9	29.77	30.6(5.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	2	220	46	-130	2.94	52%		-47.6	1.81%	0	0.3	47	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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