Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 23, 2015

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $29.9200 (0.88%) ($29.7600 - $30.0400) on Mon. Mar. 23, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.74% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $29.9200(0.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(88%)    VT(77%)    IVE(75%)    SPY(73%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-31%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-24%)    SHY(-2%)    IGOV(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.87% (StdDev 1.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.21(2.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.95(3.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.19(2.5%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   16.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.71% (three month std-dev: 1.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.79%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.06%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.22%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150423

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_23_2015	28.34	29.19	28.95	29.21	29.25	29.76	29.92(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	27	130	30	19	1.13	51%	0	-16.4	1.74%	0	1.5	53	INF
2	Mar_20_2015	28.34	29.18	28.86	29	28.94	29.2	29.66(3.2%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.3	19	60	27	-5	1.32	51%	0	-19.7	1.72%	0	0.9	46	INF
3	Mar_19_2015	28.34	29.19	28.76	28.76	28.74	28.73	28.74(-0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-10	-0	1	-44	1.54	48%	0	-21.7	1.69%	0	-0.9	38	INF
4	Mar_18_2015	28.34	29.22	28.81	28.79	28.68	28.68	28.98(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-11	-10	0	-45	1.8	48%	-0.04	-5.8	1.69%	0	-0.5	42	INF
5	Mar_17_2015	28.35	29.25	28.83	28.72	28.71	28.75	28.74(-0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-10	10	5	-54	0.62	48%	0	4.2	1.7%	0	-1	38	INF

6	Mar_16_2015	28.35	29.27	28.9	28.65	28.69	28.68	28.86(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-17	0	-0	-68	1.11	50%	-0.04	16.2	1.69%	0	-0.8	37	INF
7	Mar_13_2015	28.36	29.28	28.99	28.7	28.6	28.67	28.48(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	10	-5	-66	1.94	48%	-0.04	30.5	1.71%	0	-1.6	35	INF
8	Mar_12_2015	28.37	29.3	29.12	28.75	28.73	28.69	28.88(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-16	-10	0	-65	1.03	46%	0.04	39.4	1.71%	0	-0.9	35	INF
9	Mar_11_2015	28.36	29.25	29.19	28.85	28.76	28.53	28.66(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-70	-14	-62	1.6	46%	-0.04	34.8	1.74%	0	-1	44	INF
10	Mar_10_2015	28.37	29.23	29.3	28.96	28.94	28.77	28.38(-2.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-27	-40	-18	-54	1.25	45%	0	31.9	1.74%	0	-1.3	40	INF

11	Mar_9_2015	28.37	29.19	29.46	29.18	29.11	28.99	29.12(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-40	-11	-31	0.81	47%	0.04	34	1.73%	0	-0.1	51	INF
12	Mar_6_2015	28.36	29.13	29.53	29.32	29.21	29.11	28.72(-2.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-16	-40	-16	-14	1.43	47%	0.04	38.2	1.72%	0	-0.5	51	INF
13	Mar_5_2015	28.35	29.12	29.67	29.53	29.44	29.23	29.36(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-60	-7	17	0.92	50%	0.04	48.2	1.71%	0	0.3	61	INF
14	Mar_4_2015	28.34	29.05	29.68	29.58	29.55	29.32	29.24(-0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-60	-15	35	0.9	49%	0.04	53.6	1.73%	0	0.2	71	INF
15	Mar_3_2015	28.33	29.03	29.71	29.68	29.67	29.64	29.44(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-10	-9	61	1.23	49%	0	62.3	1.74%	0	0.5	70	INF

16	Mar_2_2015	28.33	28.95	29.69	29.78	29.73	29.79	29.86(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	26	10	3	95	0.82	49%	0.07	62.8	1.73%	0	1	79	INF
17	Feb_27_2015	28.31	28.83	29.59	29.76	29.75	29.71	29.76(0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	27	-10	-1	109	0.98	49%	0	62.2	1.71%	0	1	73	INF
18	Feb_26_2015	28.31	28.73	29.5	29.83	29.73	29.67	29.6(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	29	-20	-2	120	0.47	49%	0	65.5	1.72%	0	1	61	INF
19	Feb_25_2015	28.31	28.61	29.33	29.78	29.75	29.79	29.74(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	32	10	3	119	0.9	49%	0	59.1	1.72%	0	1.2	66	INF
20	Feb_24_2015	28.31	28.51	29.16	29.73	29.68	29.8	29.96(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	20	11	113	0.85	49%	0	63.9	1.72%	0	1.6	58	INF

21	Feb_23_2015	28.31	28.4	28.91	29.57	29.55	29.71	29.76(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	40	14	102	0.92	49%	-0.04	70.6	1.72%	0	1.6	64	INF
22	Feb_20_2015	28.32	28.28	28.7	29.39	29.38	29.56	30.1(2.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	40	19	96	2.43	51%	0	75.5	1.74%	0	2.2	69	INF
23	Feb_19_2015	28.32	28.16	28.51	29.13	29.16	29.4	29.36(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	60	23	88	1.59	49%	-0.07	92.2	1.72%	0	1.7	60	INF
24	Feb_18_2015	28.34	28.07	28.37	28.8	28.95	29.19	29.46(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	40	70	27	78	1.36	49%	-0.07	97.8	1.72%	0	2.2	66	INF
25	Feb_17_2015	28.36	27.95	28.28	28.5	28.54	28.93	29.16(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	36	100	26	67	2.05	49%		104.8	1.73%	0	2.1	57	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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