Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $30.1000 (2.52%) ($29.1600 - $30.1800) on Fri. Feb. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.74% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $30.1000(2.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(88%)    VT(77%)    IVE(75%)    SPY(73%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-31%)    UUP(-25%)    TLT(-24%)    SHY(-2%)    IGOV(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.87% (StdDev 1.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.39(2.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.7(4.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.28(6.44%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   17.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.86% (three month std-dev: 1.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0.44%(43%) Average negative next day return: -2.21%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.53%(71%) Average negative next three day return: -4.81%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 4.77%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.02%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150320

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_20_2015	28.32	28.28	28.7	29.39	29.38	29.56	30.1(2.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	40	19	96	2.43	51%	0	75.5	1.74%	0	2.2	69	0
2	Feb_19_2015	28.32	28.16	28.51	29.13	29.16	29.4	29.36(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	60	23	88	1.59	49%	-0.07	92.2	1.72%	0	1.7	60	0
3	Feb_18_2015	28.34	28.07	28.37	28.8	28.95	29.19	29.46(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	40	70	27	78	1.36	49%	-0.07	97.8	1.72%	0	2.2	66	0
4	Feb_17_2015	28.36	27.95	28.28	28.5	28.54	28.93	29.16(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	36	100	26	67	2.05	49%	-0.18	104.8	1.73%	0	2.1	57	0
5	Feb_13_2015	28.41	27.82	28.13	28.14	28.25	28.7	28.88(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	36	120	33	45	1.28	49%	-0.07	97.6	1.72%	0	1.9	56	0

6	Feb_12_2015	28.43	27.68	27.98	27.9	27.87	28.15	28.78(3.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	19	70	17	24	1.89	47%	-0.11	74	1.72%	0	1.7	60	0
7	Feb_11_2015	28.46	27.54	27.89	27.82	27.69	27.8	27.72(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4	10	1	12	0.87	43%	-0.14	66.9	1.68%	0	0.3	49	0
8	Feb_10_2015	28.5	27.46	27.89	27.88	27.82	27.6	27.94(2.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-4	-60	-7	6	0.9	43%	-0.11	65.7	1.68%	0	0.6	53	0
9	Feb_9_2015	28.53	27.35	27.83	28.04	27.89	27.57	27.38(-1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-12	-100	-23	22	0.72	41%	-0.17	65.5	1.66%	0	0	53	0
10	Feb_6_2015	28.58	27.28	27.88	28.1	28.2	28.05	27.7(-2.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-30	-2	51	1.24	41%	-0.17	55.4	1.66%	0	0.5	59	0

11	Feb_5_2015	28.63	27.21	27.84	28.05	28.14	28.21	28.38(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	30	4	67	0.7	43%	-0.14	48	1.64%	0	1.3	67	0
12	Feb_4_2015	28.67	27.08	27.79	27.95	27.95	28.35	27.98(-2.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	38	100	19	93	1.12	43%	-0.14	37.9	1.63%	0	1	66	0
13	Feb_3_2015	28.71	26.96	27.76	27.77	27.84	28.06	28.74(3.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	49	60	29	107	2.02	43%	-0.14	22.2	1.61%	0	1.9	71	0
14	Feb_2_2015	28.75	26.81	27.59	27.6	27.55	27.54	27.72(1.09%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	21	-10	-6	103	1.17	39%	-0.17	7.3	1.57%	0	1	69	0
15	Jan_30_2015	28.8	26.78	27.49	27.64	27.63	27.62	27.42(-1.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	33	-0	3	123	1.08	42%	-0.17	4.4	1.59%	0	0.7	67	0

16	Jan_29_2015	28.85	26.77	27.36	27.6	27.68	27.56	27.9(3.1%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	28	-20	-2	118	1.37	41%	-0.14	-0.6	1.58%	0	1.3	65	0
17	Jan_28_2015	28.89	26.73	27.17	27.62	27.58	27.64	27.06(-3.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	22	10	-12	123	1.1	41%	-0.21	-2.6	1.55%	0	0.4	63	0
18	Jan_27_2015	28.95	26.73	27.07	27.73	27.68	27.8	27.92(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	53	20	19	153	2.09	41%	-0.17	0.6	1.55%	0	1.4	75	0
19	Jan_26_2015	29	26.73	26.85	27.57	27.53	27.53	27.88(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	45	-0	14	137	1	41%	-0.17	-3.6	1.58%	0	1.4	70	0
20	Jan_23_2015	29.05	26.75	26.63	27.32	27.37	27.56	27.26(-2.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	39	50	18	101	1.03	42%	-0.21	-8.9	1.57%	0	0.6	48	0

21	Jan_22_2015	29.11	26.77	26.52	27.05	27.13	27.53	27.96(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	48	110	39	76	2.06	45%	-0.14	-15.4	1.55%	0	1.4	54	0
22	Jan_21_2015	29.15	26.77	26.3	26.65	26.69	27.18	27.62(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	34	130	38	23	3.05	47%	-0.17	-23.7	1.55%	0	1	49	0
23	Jan_20_2015	29.2	26.75	26.09	26.31	26.34	26.73	27.14(1.95%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	19	110	36	-33	1.66	45%	-0.17	-32.1	1.56%	0	0.4	42	0
24	Jan_16_2015	29.25	26.78	25.95	26.03	26.07	26.2	26.62(2.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	40	20	-91	1.28	44%	-0.17	-41	1.56%	0	-0.2	32	0
25	Jan_15_2015	29.3	26.82	25.99	25.85	25.9	25.95	25.92(-0.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0.1	-34	20	-2	-129	1.37	39%		-48.6	1.54%	0	-0.9	22	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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