Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $27.1400 (1.95%) ($26.9000 - $27.1800) on Tue. Jan. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.56% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $27.1400(1.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(88%)    VT(77%)    IVE(74%)    SPY(73%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.78% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    UUP(-25%)    TLT(-25%)    SHY(-2%)    TIP(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.78% (StdDev 1.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.31(3.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.09(4.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.75(1.46%)
To recent high   -9.5%
To recent low   6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 3.33% (three month std-dev: 1.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.18%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.13%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 3.89%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_20_2015	29.2	26.75	26.09	26.31	26.34	26.73	27.14(1.95%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	19	110	36	-33	1.66	45%	-0.17	-32.1	1.56%	0	0.4	42	INF
2	Jan_16_2015	29.25	26.78	25.95	26.03	26.07	26.2	26.62(2.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	40	20	-91	1.28	44%	-0.17	-41	1.56%	0	-0.2	32	INF
3	Jan_15_2015	29.3	26.82	25.99	25.85	25.9	25.95	25.92(-0.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0.1	-34	20	-2	-129	1.37	39%	-0.24	-48.6	1.54%	0	-0.9	22	INF
4	Jan_14_2015	29.37	26.9	26.11	25.91	25.86	25.93	25.94(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-32	10	2	-133	1.35	39%	-0.2	-55.6	1.55%	0	-1	26	INF
5	Jan_13_2015	29.43	26.96	26.25	25.89	25.92	25.85	25.94(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-30	-20	7	-140	1.58	39%	-0.24	-69.2	1.55%	0	-1.1	28	INF

6	Jan_12_2015	29.5	27.04	26.41	25.82	25.87	25.78	25.74(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-46	-20	-9	-155	1.36	39%	-0.2	-84.5	1.55%	0	-1.5	26	INF
7	Jan_9_2015	29.56	27.16	26.64	25.85	25.9	26	25.72(-1.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-50	30	-15	-155	1.5	37%	-0.2	-95.1	1.55%	0	-1.7	25	INF
8	Jan_8_2015	29.62	27.3	26.88	26.16	25.97	25.95	26.2(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-38	-30	-10	-120	1.87	40%	-0.13	-96.9	1.61%	0	-1.4	35	INF
9	Jan_7_2015	29.66	27.43	27.05	26.36	26.27	25.8	25.86(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-48	-140	-28	-107	1.82	39%	-0.2	-94.1	1.63%	0	-2	32	INF
10	Jan_6_2015	29.72	27.61	27.25	26.67	26.67	26	25.6(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-58	-180	-49	-83	1.2	39%	-0.2	-87.1	1.65%	0	-2.6	38	INF

11	Jan_5_2015	29.78	27.81	27.48	27.08	27.1	26.74	25.88(-5.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-46	-90	-45	-50	1.4	39%	-0.17	-79	1.65%	0	-2.6	35	INF
12	Jan_2_2015	29.83	27.97	27.7	27.53	27.45	27.35	27.26(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-30	-16	-9	1.78	41%	-0.17	-72	1.53%	0	-1	39	INF
13	Dec_31_2014	29.88	28.09	27.74	27.7	27.67	27.45	27.2(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-11	-60	-13	-5	0.83	41%	-0.1	-62.8	1.55%	0	-1.2	35	INF
14	Dec_30_2014	29.91	28.2	27.77	27.84	27.83	27.55	27.42(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-16	-70	-16	-14	1.18	41%	-0.13	-58.1	1.56%	0	-1	32	INF
15	Dec_29_2014	29.95	28.3	27.74	27.92	27.93	27.88	27.64(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-10	-9	-35	1.1	41%	-0.1	-55.5	1.56%	0	-0.8	30	INF

16	Dec_26_2014	29.98	28.4	27.74	27.94	27.98	28.11	28.12(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	40	9	-54	0.35	44%	-0.1	-47.9	1.55%	0	-0.3	31	INF
17	Dec_24_2014	30.01	28.49	27.72	27.9	27.86	27.97	28.1(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	20	10	-67	0.24	43%	-0.13	-43.6	1.58%	0	-0.4	40	INF
18	Dec_23_2014	30.05	28.58	27.74	27.79	27.81	27.84	27.94(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	10	9	-90	0.67	42%	-0.17	-41.4	1.59%	0	-0.7	34	INF
19	Dec_22_2014	30.1	28.67	27.83	27.7	27.68	27.75	27.82(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-20	20	9	-105	0.73	42%	-0.17	-38.6	1.59%	0	-0.9	33	INF
20	Dec_19_2014	30.15	28.76	27.97	27.52	27.57	27.78	27.74(-0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-24	60	9	-121	0.6	41%	-0.17	-39.3	1.59%	0	-1	33	INF

21	Dec_18_2014	30.2	28.82	28.14	27.47	27.57	27.62	27.92(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-28	40	6	-128	2.16	41%	-0.17	-39.7	1.6%	0	-0.9	31	INF
22	Dec_17_2014	30.25	28.89	28.25	27.52	27.47	27.36	27.54(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-44	-30	-10	-144	1.67	41%	-0.2	-34.6	1.59%	0	-1.5	25	INF
23	Dec_16_2014	30.31	28.98	28.44	27.69	27.7	27.31	27.46(1.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-58	-100	-28	-146	1.47	41%	-0.23	-29.7	1.59%	0	-1.7	24	INF
24	Dec_15_2014	30.38	29.06	28.65	27.99	28.02	27.58	26.94(-1.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-70	-110	-46	-141	1.65	39%	-0.23	-21.7	1.57%	0	-2.7	17	INF
25	Dec_12_2014	30.45	29.15	28.92	28.48	28.43	28.08	27.48(-2.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-56	-90	-39	-108	1.5	40%		-6.4	1.55%	0	-2.6	27	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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