Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 22, 2014

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $28.7600 (-1.03%) ($28.7400 - $29.1700) on Wed. Oct. 22, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.42% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $28.7600(-1.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(88%)    VT(76%)    SPY(73%)    EEM(71%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.71% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-33%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-24%)    SHY(-2%)    BNDX(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.71% (StdDev 1.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $20.89(-27.36%)
Resistance Level   $29.54
5 Day Moving Average   $28.46(1.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.57(0.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.54(-2.64%)
To recent high   -15.7%
To recent low   4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 4.1% (three month std-dev: 1.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 6%(33%) Average negative next day return: -2.92%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 11.72%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -8.93%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 9.42%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.24%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_22_2014	32.59	29.54	28.57	28.46	28.64	28.93	28.76(-1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	90	23	-102	0.88	39%	-0.18	-64.9	1.42%	0	-0.6	37	0
2	Oct_21_2014	32.65	29.68	28.7	28.35	28.28	28.64	29.06(2.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-17	80	18	-123	0.62	38%	-0.21	-70	1.43%	0	-0.5	34	0
3	Oct_20_2014	32.72	29.78	28.73	28.28	28.07	28.35	28.44(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-32	50	10	-159	0.83	35%	-0.21	-73.2	1.41%	0	-1.1	25	0
4	Oct_17_2014	32.79	29.94	28.9	28.33	28.18	27.92	28.38(2.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-45	-80	-3	-172	2.2	35%	-0.21	-73.3	1.43%	0	-1.2	27	0
5	Oct_16_2014	32.86	30.12	29.08	28.41	28.33	27.8	27.66(-1.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-83	-140	-44	-201	2.62	35%	-0.21	-72.9	1.43%	0	-1.9	17	0

6	Oct_15_2014	32.93	30.35	29.34	28.68	28.71	28.45	28.22(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-77	-60	-40	-187	2.07	36%	-0.21	-71.8	1.46%	0	-1.7	29	0
7	Oct_14_2014	33	30.56	29.62	29.09	29.02	28.87	28.72(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-53	-40	-17	-159	2.22	37%	-0.12	-68.1	1.45%	0	-1.6	28	0
8	Oct_13_2014	33.04	30.74	29.88	29.25	29.32	28.97	28.66(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-57	-80	-26	-151	1.4	37%	-0.18	-69	1.45%	0	-1.8	31	0
9	Oct_10_2014	33.1	30.92	30.13	29.57	29.51	29.17	28.8(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-63	-90	-37	-139	1.63	36%	-0.12	-68.2	1.45%	0	-2	30	0
10	Oct_9_2014	33.14	31.1	30.41	29.85	29.84	29.67	29.02(-4.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-45	-40	-21	-116	1.84	36%	-0.15	-70.5	1.46%	0	-2.1	30	0

11	Oct_8_2014	33.19	31.28	30.62	30.09	30.02	29.85	30.24(2.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-40	-50	-14	-119	2.25	37%	-0.09	-73.7	1.39%	0	-1.2	32	0
12	Oct_7_2014	33.22	31.39	30.74	30.23	30.11	30.01	29.54(-2.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-56	-40	-32	-129	1.12	32%	-0.12	-70.8	1.38%	0	-2.2	24	0
13	Oct_6_2014	33.26	31.54	30.92	30.6	30.44	30.01	30.26(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-37	-70	-14	-107	0.93	34%	-0.12	-63.9	1.38%	0	-1.7	30	0
14	Oct_3_2014	33.3	31.66	31.06	30.78	30.68	30.2	30.2(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.8	-54	-120	-36	-109	1.18	34%	-0.09	-55.4	1.39%	0	-1.9	31	0
15	Oct_2_2014	33.33	31.8	31.23	31.06	30.93	30.68	30.2(-2.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-46	-70	-30	-93	1.83	34%	-0.12	-43.6	1.39%	0	-2.3	30	0

16	Oct_1_2014	33.37	31.93	31.44	31.21	31.2	31.16	30.96(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-10	-6	-76	0.99	38%	-0.12	-42	1.37%	0	-1.6	33	0
17	Sep_30_2014	33.41	32.01	31.59	31.33	31.21	31.17	31.38(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	-20	-2	-69	1.16	38%	-0.09	-39	1.37%	0	-1.1	36	0
18	Sep_29_2014	33.44	32.04	31.66	31.3	31.25	31.24	31.18(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10	-6	-77	0.68	38%	-0.12	-42	1.37%	0	-1.6	33	0
19	Sep_26_2014	33.48	32.09	31.76	31.39	31.31	31.25	31.6(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-23	-20	-5	-77	1.37	38%	-0.12	-35.8	1.36%	0	-1	35	0
20	Sep_25_2014	33.52	32.11	31.83	31.44	31.41	31.26	30.94(-1.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-40	-40	-23	-91	1.35	34%	-0.12	-30.1	1.33%	0	-2.3	18	0

21	Sep_24_2014	33.56	32.19	31.99	31.72	31.65	31.37	31.54(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-35	-70	-21	-75	0.64	35%	-0.12	-2.3	1.32%	0	-1.5	28	0
22	Sep_23_2014	33.6	32.23	32.08	31.89	31.89	31.56	31.22(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-38	-70	-29	-66	1.33	35%	-0.15	23.1	1.31%	0	-2.6	31	0
23	Sep_22_2014	33.65	32.23	32.21	32.08	32.18	31.92	31.64(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-24	-50	-18	-40	0.86	36%	-0.12	56.6	1.31%	0	-2	49	0
24	Sep_19_2014	33.69	32.27	32.31	32.18	32.24	32.23	31.86(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-15	0	-12	-24	0.98	36%	-0.15	69.5	1.31%	0	-1.2	52	0
25	Sep_18_2014	33.74	32.26	32.42	32.27	32.25	32.43	32.32(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	40	6	4	5.65	38%		79.1	1.3%	0	0.2	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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