Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 2, 2014

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $30.2000 (-2.45%) ($29.9000 - $30.5800) on Thu. Oct. 2, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.39% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $30.2000(-2.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(88%)    VT(76%)    SPY(73%)    EEM(71%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.695% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-33%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-24%)    SHY(-2%)    BNDX(2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.695% (StdDev 1.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $27.02(-10.53%)
Resistance Level   $31.8
5 Day Moving Average   $31.06(-2.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.23(-3.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.8(-5.03%)
To recent high   -15%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.2% (three month std-dev: 1.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 0.53%(20%) Average negative next day return: -1.52%(80%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 1.18%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -1.78%(60%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 1.42%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.28%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141102

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_2_2014	33.33	31.8	31.23	31.06	30.93	30.68	30.2(-2.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-46	-70	-30	-93	1.83	34%	-0.12	-43.6	1.39%	0	-2.3	30	0
2	Oct_1_2014	33.37	31.93	31.44	31.21	31.2	31.16	30.96(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-10	-6	-76	0.99	38%	-0.12	-42	1.37%	0	-1.6	33	0
3	Sep_30_2014	33.41	32.01	31.59	31.33	31.21	31.17	31.38(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	-20	-2	-69	1.16	38%	-0.09	-39	1.37%	0	-1.1	36	0
4	Sep_29_2014	33.44	32.04	31.66	31.3	31.25	31.24	31.18(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10	-6	-77	0.68	38%	-0.12	-42	1.37%	0	-1.6	33	0
5	Sep_26_2014	33.48	32.09	31.76	31.39	31.31	31.25	31.6(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-23	-20	-5	-77	1.37	38%	-0.12	-35.8	1.36%	0	-1	35	0

6	Sep_25_2014	33.52	32.11	31.83	31.44	31.41	31.26	30.94(-1.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-40	-40	-23	-91	1.35	34%	-0.12	-30.1	1.33%	0	-2.3	18	0
7	Sep_24_2014	33.56	32.19	31.99	31.72	31.65	31.37	31.54(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-35	-70	-21	-75	0.64	35%	-0.12	-2.3	1.32%	0	-1.5	28	0
8	Sep_23_2014	33.6	32.23	32.08	31.89	31.89	31.56	31.22(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-38	-70	-29	-66	1.33	35%	-0.15	23.1	1.31%	0	-2.6	31	0
9	Sep_22_2014	33.65	32.23	32.21	32.08	32.18	31.92	31.64(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-24	-50	-18	-40	0.86	36%	-0.12	56.6	1.31%	0	-2	49	0
10	Sep_19_2014	33.69	32.27	32.31	32.18	32.24	32.23	31.86(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-15	0	-12	-24	0.98	36%	-0.15	69.5	1.31%	0	-1.2	52	0

11	Sep_18_2014	33.74	32.26	32.42	32.27	32.25	32.43	32.32(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	40	6	4	5.65	38%	-0.12	79.1	1.3%	0	0.2	61	0
12	Sep_17_2014	33.78	32.2	32.46	32.3	32.23	32.26	32.4(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	0	7	11	1.38	38%	-0.09	66.4	1.31%	0	0.4	49	0
13	Sep_16_2014	33.81	32.14	32.47	32.32	32.2	32.07	32.2(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-5	-40	-9	9	0.73	38%	-0.12	61.7	1.31%	0	0.1	51	0
14	Sep_15_2014	33.85	32.09	32.45	32.37	32.29	32.19	32.12(-0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-6	-30	-12	12	0.81	38%	-0.09	66.1	1.31%	0	0.1	54	0
15	Sep_12_2014	33.88	32.03	32.44	32.46	32.38	32.33	32.32(-0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-20	-10	26	0.82	38%	-0.12	64.2	1.31%	0	0.5	66	0

16	Sep_11_2014	33.92	31.97	32.44	32.58	32.47	32.39	32.46(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-30	-8	43	0.57	36%	-0.09	71.4	1.3%	0	0.8	66	0
17	Sep_10_2014	33.95	31.9	32.41	32.65	32.61	32.44	32.48(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-40	-5	69	0.65	36%	-0.12	71.4	1.32%	0	0.9	72	0
18	Sep_9_2014	33.99	31.82	32.38	32.64	32.69	32.54	32.48(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	19	-30	-4	86	1.5	36%	-0.09	65.9	1.32%	0	1	69	0
19	Sep_8_2014	34.02	31.73	32.33	32.53	32.7	32.78	32.54(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	30	7	93	0.73	36%	-0.03	47.5	1.32%	0	1.2	66	0
20	Sep_5_2014	34.03	31.65	32.23	32.41	32.52	32.84	32.96(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	43	80	24	100	0.46	42%	-0.09	33	1.33%	0	1.9	76	0

21	Sep_4_2014	34.06	31.51	32.09	32.2	32.27	32.61	32.78(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	39	80	22	90	1.23	42%	-0.09	9.3	1.36%	0	1.9	73	0
22	Sep_3_2014	34.09	31.42	31.9	32.14	32.27	32.2	32.44(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	20	12	84	0.65	42%	-0.06	-10.3	1.36%	0	1.7	70	0
23	Sep_2_2014	34.11	31.37	31.77	32.1	32.07	31.93	31.94(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	-30	-3	80	1	39%	-0.12	-30.2	1.34%	0	1	67	0
24	Aug_29_2014	34.15	31.4	31.7	32.11	32.14	31.95	31.94(0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	-40	-5	88	0.86	39%	-0.09	-31.5	1.34%	0	0.8	69	0
25	Aug_28_2014	34.18	31.42	31.6	32.01	32.13	32.22	31.92(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	30	2	85	1.26	39%		-42.9	1.34%	0	0.7	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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