Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 26, 2014

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $32.2200 (0.69%) ($32.1000 - $32.4000) on Tue. Aug. 26, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.38% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $32.2200(0.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(88%)    VT(76%)    SPY(73%)    EEM(71%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.69% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-33%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-24%)    SHY(-2%)    BNDX(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.69% (StdDev 1.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.63(1.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.34(2.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.49(2.32%)
To recent high   -12.6%
To recent low   6.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.92% (three month std-dev: 1.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.63%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 2.24%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.59%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140926

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_26_2014	34.25	31.49	31.34	31.63	31.73	32.04	32.22(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	80	31	75	1.2	45%	-0.12	-52.1	1.38%	0	0.8	61	INF
2	Aug_25_2014	34.29	31.54	31.2	31.4	31.42	31.65	32(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	50	20	46	3.31	45%	-0.09	-52.6	1.39%	0	0.5	54	INF
3	Aug_22_2014	34.32	31.62	31.08	31.25	31.21	31.42	31.44(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	40	15	6	1.19	44%	-0.15	-48.7	1.39%	0	-0.2	34	INF
4	Aug_21_2014	34.37	31.73	31.02	31.13	31.16	31.19	31.54(1.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	6	10	15	-23	1.96	45%	-0.12	-46.6	1.4%	0	-0.2	40	INF
5	Aug_20_2014	34.41	31.85	30.89	31.13	31.05	30.99	30.94(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-10	-6	-71	1.45	43%	-0.15	-44.4	1.39%	0	-0.7	32	INF

6	Aug_19_2014	34.46	31.97	30.9	31.01	31.08	31.14	31.08(-0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-22	20	4	-98	0.85	43%	-0.12	-45.5	1.39%	0	-0.7	28	INF
7	Aug_18_2014	34.5	32.09	30.94	30.97	31.07	31.1	31.26(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-25	20	9	-126	1.04	43%	-0.12	-46.6	1.39%	0	-0.6	28	INF
8	Aug_15_2014	34.54	32.18	31.07	30.97	30.99	31.02	30.84(-0.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-38	20	0	-151	1.99	40%	-0.12	-50.6	1.38%	0	-1	22	INF
9	Aug_14_2014	34.58	32.31	31.23	30.88	30.95	31.04	30.92(-0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-33	30	10	-160	3.18	40%	-0.09	-52.6	1.43%	0	-1.1	21	INF
10	Aug_13_2014	34.61	32.42	31.39	30.75	30.87	30.97	30.96(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-44	30	5	-190	1.84	40%	-0.12	-58.3	1.43%	0	-1.2	21	INF

11	Aug_12_2014	34.65	32.57	31.63	30.78	30.78	30.85	30.88(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-50	20	-3	-192	2.99	40%	-0.09	-60.8	1.44%	0	-1.4	29	INF
12	Aug_11_2014	34.68	32.7	31.9	30.9	30.82	30.77	30.78(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-64	-20	-21	-192	1.46	40%	-0.09	-64.5	1.44%	0	-1.7	29	INF
13	Aug_8_2014	34.71	32.84	32.19	31.32	31.06	30.7	30.86(1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-63	-110	-30	-161	9.71	39%	-0.09	-63.8	1.45%	0	-1.9	35	INF
14	Aug_7_2014	34.74	32.99	32.5	31.64	31.55	30.87	30.26(-2.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-75	-160	-51	-148	15.29	37%	-0.12	-70.4	1.42%	0	-2.8	25	INF
15	Aug_6_2014	34.78	33.17	32.9	32.12	32.05	31.43	31.12(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-71	-140	-59	-108	9.67	39%	-0.11	-83.2	1.39%	0	-2.7	38	INF

16	Aug_5_2014	34.82	33.33	33.15	32.6	32.48	32.23	31.48(-4.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-53	-60	-45	-75	3.57	39%	-0.09	-91.4	1.39%	0	-3	33	INF
17	Aug_4_2014	34.85	33.45	33.36	33.03	32.93	32.68	32.86(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-60	-17	-33	3.98	43%	0	-95.5	1.29%	0	-1.1	49	INF
18	Aug_1_2014	34.85	33.54	33.39	33.21	33.21	32.73	32.48(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-37	-100	-37	-35	1.95	43%	-0.03	-90.1	1.28%	0	-2.1	43	INF
19	Jul_31_2014	34.86	33.69	33.51	33.5	33.46	33.18	32.68(-2.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-34	-60	-40	-15	1.82	43%	-0.06	-58.6	1.29%	0	-1.7	43	INF
20	Jul_30_2014	34.88	33.82	33.55	33.5	33.75	33.69	33.5(-0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	0	-20	-5	15	1.06	45%	0	-41	1.26%	0	-0.5	50	INF

21	Jul_29_2014	34.88	33.9	33.6	33.79	33.87	33.74	33.62(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	5	-20	1	15	0.84	47%	-0.03	-39.6	1.26%	0	-0.4	45	INF
22	Jul_28_2014	34.89	33.96	33.55	33.74	33.81	33.81	33.76(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	2	10	1	3	0.84	47%	0	-46.3	1.27%	0	-0.3	49	INF
23	Jul_25_2014	34.89	34.01	33.53	33.6	33.74	33.99	33.94(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	9	60	17	-15	0.88	47%	-0.03	-58.3	1.27%	0	-0.1	44	INF
24	Jul_24_2014	34.9	34.05	33.5	33.52	33.5	33.81	34.12(1.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	10	60	27	-41	0.73	47%	0.03	-68.6	1.27%	0	0.1	39	INF
25	Jul_23_2014	34.89	34.09	33.43	33.29	33.34	33.49	33.5(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-16	40	9	-92	1.58	45%		-81.1	1.25%	0	-0.7	36	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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