Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 16, 2014

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $34.0000 (2.53%) ($33.6800 - $34.0800) on Wed. Jul. 16, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.16% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $34.0000(2.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(88%)    VT(76%)    SPY(73%)    EEM(70%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-33%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-24%)    SHY(-2%)    TIP(2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.58% (StdDev 1.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $28.86(-15.12%)
Resistance Level   $34.76
5 Day Moving Average   $33.59(1.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.11(-0.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.76(-2.19%)
To recent high   -7.8%
To recent low   2.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.73% (three month std-dev: 1.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.94%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.93%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 3.44%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.76%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140816

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_16_2014	34.87	34.76	34.11	33.59	33.57	33.57	34(2.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-20	-0	8	-102	0.88	52%	0.03	-63	1.16%	0	-0.8	39	0
2	Jul_15_2014	34.86	34.86	34.23	33.62	33.43	33.44	33.16(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-42	-10	-18	-114	1.57	47%	0	-64.7	1.17%	0	-1.8	26	0
3	Jul_14_2014	34.86	35	34.39	33.76	33.63	33.58	33.58(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-20	-5	-111	0.97	48%	0	-70.4	1.18%	0	-1.6	26	0
4	Jul_11_2014	34.86	35.12	34.53	33.97	33.68	33.42	33.68(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-59	-80	-37	-125	1.51	48%	0	-72.7	1.18%	0	-1.7	25	0
5	Jul_10_2014	34.86	35.24	34.65	34.34	33.97	33.68	33.52(-1.87%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-62	-90	-43	-120	2.89	44%	0.03	-67.9	1.18%	0	-2.2	21	0

6	Jul_9_2014	34.85	35.37	34.82	34.71	34.52	33.94	34.16(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-48	-130	-31	-100	1.35	47%	0.03	-59.5	1.22%	0	-1.8	25	0
7	Jul_8_2014	34.84	35.49	34.96	34.93	34.84	34.26	33.86(-2.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-63	-120	-51	-99	4.72	47%	-0.03	-43.8	1.22%	0	-2.4	28	0
8	Jul_7_2014	34.85	35.65	35.15	35.11	34.84	35.1	34.64(-2.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30	-10	-15	-76	0.95	50%	0.09	-31.6	1.19%	0	-1.6	34	0
9	Jul_3_2014	34.82	35.75	35.29	35.14	35.17	35.42	35.52(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	50	18	-62	0.37	54%	0.09	-21.4	1.15%	0	-0.4	43	0
10	Jul_2_2014	34.79	35.75	35.37	35.02	34.98	35.25	35.38(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	50	20	-66	0.73	52%	0.09	-20	1.15%	0	-0.7	40	0

11	Jul_1_2014	34.76	35.78	35.45	34.96	34.85	34.93	35.24(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-12	10	8	-72	0.96	54%	0.12	-21.2	1.16%	0	-0.9	36	0
12	Jun_30_2014	34.72	35.8	35.52	35.01	34.81	34.72	34.76(-0.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-35	-40	-18	-87	0.63	52%	0.09	-16.1	1.16%	0	-1.7	19	0
13	Jun_27_2014	34.69	35.85	35.64	35.21	35.03	34.78	34.82(-0.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-39	-70	-23	-86	0.5	54%	0.09	6.4	1.18%	0	-1.8	17	0
14	Jun_26_2014	34.66	35.88	35.76	35.46	35.29	34.89	34.9(-0.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-51	-90	-39	-85	2.57	54%	0.12	37.1	1.18%	0	-1.8	22	0
15	Jun_25_2014	34.62	35.9	35.87	35.76	35.6	35.28	35.08(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-46	-80	-39	-65	2.32	54%	0.12	67.6	1.18%	0	-1.6	38	0

16	Jun_24_2014	34.58	35.91	35.97	36.02	35.96	35.69	35.5(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-20	-60	-17	-29	1.04	56%	0.17	95.9	1.17%	0	-0.8	56	0
17	Jun_23_2014	34.52	35.89	36.08	36.11	36.1	35.91	35.76(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-40	-16	-6	1	56%	0.15	114	1.17%	0	-0.2	58	0
18	Jun_20_2014	34.47	35.81	36.19	36.14	36.11	36.24	36.06(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	6	20	1	19	1.74	56%	0.12	92.7	1.18%	0	0.4	57	0
19	Jun_19_2014	34.43	35.68	36.26	36.11	36.06	36.28	36.42(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	40	21	43	0.95	53%	0.17	72.5	1.17%	0	0.8	65	0
20	Jun_18_2014	34.37	35.56	36.23	36.01	35.94	35.98	36.34(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	0	10	43	3.3	53%	0.12	62.5	1.19%	0	0.8	67	0

21	Jun_17_2014	34.33	35.41	36.13	35.94	35.9	35.84	35.96(0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	1	-20	-10	34	6.17	57%	0.15	50.3	1.19%	0	0.5	65	0
22	Jun_16_2014	34.28	35.29	36.08	36.07	35.97	35.9	35.9(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-20	-15	46	0.88	57%	0.15	44.8	1.24%	0	0.5	66	0
23	Jun_13_2014	34.23	35.18	36.06	36.26	36.15	35.95	35.92(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-50	-15	84	0.57	53%	0.12	43.7	1.24%	0	0.6	76	0
24	Jun_12_2014	34.19	35.05	36.01	36.42	36.33	36.04	35.92(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	-60	-18	120	0.81	53%	0.12	37.7	1.28%	0	0.7	79	0
25	Jun_11_2014	34.15	34.97	35.95	36.47	36.48	36.35	36(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	36	-20	-3	151	0.74	53%		35.9	1.28%	0	0.9	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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