Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 8, 2014

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $33.8600 (-2.25%) ($33.4000 - $34.0300) on Tue. Jul. 8, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.22% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $33.8600(-2.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(88%)    VT(76%)    SPY(73%)    EEM(71%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-33%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-24%)    SHY(-2%)    TIP(2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.61% (StdDev 1.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $31.3(-7.56%)
Resistance Level   $35.49
5 Day Moving Average   $34.93(-3.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.96(-3.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.49(-4.59%)
To recent high   -8.2%
To recent low   1.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.92% (three month std-dev: 1.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 1.53%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.56%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 3.24%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.79%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 4.56%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.3%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140808

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_8_2014	34.84	35.49	34.96	34.93	34.84	34.26	33.86(-2.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-63	-120	-51	-99	4.72	47%	-0.03	-43.8	1.22%	0	-2.4	28	INF
2	Jul_7_2014	34.85	35.65	35.15	35.11	34.84	35.1	34.64(-2.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30	-10	-15	-76	0.95	50%	0.09	-31.6	1.19%	0	-1.6	34	INF
3	Jul_3_2014	34.82	35.75	35.29	35.14	35.17	35.42	35.52(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	50	18	-62	0.37	54%	0.09	-21.4	1.15%	0	-0.4	43	INF
4	Jul_2_2014	34.79	35.75	35.37	35.02	34.98	35.25	35.38(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	50	20	-66	0.73	52%	0.09	-20	1.15%	0	-0.7	40	INF
5	Jul_1_2014	34.76	35.78	35.45	34.96	34.85	34.93	35.24(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-12	10	8	-72	0.96	54%	0.12	-21.2	1.16%	0	-0.9	36	INF

6	Jun_30_2014	34.72	35.8	35.52	35.01	34.81	34.72	34.76(-0.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-35	-40	-18	-87	0.63	52%	0.09	-16.1	1.16%	0	-1.7	19	INF
7	Jun_27_2014	34.69	35.85	35.64	35.21	35.03	34.78	34.82(-0.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-39	-70	-23	-86	0.5	54%	0.09	6.4	1.18%	0	-1.8	17	INF
8	Jun_26_2014	34.66	35.88	35.76	35.46	35.29	34.89	34.9(-0.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-51	-90	-39	-85	2.57	54%	0.12	37.1	1.18%	0	-1.8	22	INF
9	Jun_25_2014	34.62	35.9	35.87	35.76	35.6	35.28	35.08(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-46	-80	-39	-65	2.32	54%	0.12	67.6	1.18%	0	-1.6	38	INF
10	Jun_24_2014	34.58	35.91	35.97	36.02	35.96	35.69	35.5(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-20	-60	-17	-29	1.04	56%	0.17	95.9	1.17%	0	-0.8	56	INF

11	Jun_23_2014	34.52	35.89	36.08	36.11	36.1	35.91	35.76(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-40	-16	-6	1	56%	0.15	114	1.17%	0	-0.2	58	INF
12	Jun_20_2014	34.47	35.81	36.19	36.14	36.11	36.24	36.06(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	6	20	1	19	1.74	56%	0.12	92.7	1.18%	0	0.4	57	INF
13	Jun_19_2014	34.43	35.68	36.26	36.11	36.06	36.28	36.42(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	40	21	43	0.95	53%	0.17	72.5	1.17%	0	0.8	65	INF
14	Jun_18_2014	34.37	35.56	36.23	36.01	35.94	35.98	36.34(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	0	10	43	3.3	53%	0.12	62.5	1.19%	0	0.8	67	INF
15	Jun_17_2014	34.33	35.41	36.13	35.94	35.9	35.84	35.96(0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	1	-20	-10	34	6.17	57%	0.15	50.3	1.19%	0	0.5	65	INF

16	Jun_16_2014	34.28	35.29	36.08	36.07	35.97	35.9	35.9(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-20	-15	46	0.88	57%	0.15	44.8	1.24%	0	0.5	66	INF
17	Jun_13_2014	34.23	35.18	36.06	36.26	36.15	35.95	35.92(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-50	-15	84	0.57	53%	0.12	43.7	1.24%	0	0.6	76	INF
18	Jun_12_2014	34.19	35.05	36.01	36.42	36.33	36.04	35.92(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	-60	-18	120	0.81	53%	0.12	37.7	1.28%	0	0.7	79	INF
19	Jun_11_2014	34.15	34.97	35.95	36.47	36.48	36.35	36(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	36	-20	-3	151	0.74	53%	0.09	35.9	1.28%	0	0.9	72	INF
20	Jun_10_2014	34.12	34.89	35.86	36.33	36.43	36.62	36.6(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	59	40	19	178	3.19	55%	0.09	29.3	1.26%	0	1.5	81	INF

21	Jun_9_2014	34.09	34.8	35.69	36.08	36.09	36.61	36.88(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	72	100	33	187	5.14	55%	0.15	22	1.26%	0	1.9	82	INF
22	Jun_6_2014	34.04	34.69	35.4	35.83	35.77	36.24	36.72(1.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	78	90	44	180	3.61	57%	0.15	12.7	1.26%	0	2.1	78	INF
23	Jun_5_2014	33.99	34.61	35.06	35.56	35.51	35.58	36.14(2.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	56	10	23	155	4.49	57%	0.12	2.4	1.26%	0	1.7	78	INF
24	Jun_4_2014	33.95	34.61	34.82	35.36	35.37	35.3	35.32(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	30	-10	-3	128	1.03	58%	0.09	-8.4	1.24%	0	0.9	58	INF
25	Jun_3_2014	33.92	34.55	34.63	35.32	35.32	35.44	35.34(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	31	20	5	110	1.55	54%		-12.5	1.3%	0	1	55	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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