Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 6, 2014

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $36.7200 (1.6%) ($36.3200 - $36.7200) on Fri. Jun. 6, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.26% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $36.7200(1.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(88%)    VT(76%)    SPY(73%)    EEM(70%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.63% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-33%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-24%)    SHY(-2%)    TIP(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.63% (StdDev 1.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.83(2.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.4(3.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.69(5.85%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   10.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.83% (three month std-dev: 1.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.91%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.81%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.75%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -1.01%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.31%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.68%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140706

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_6_2014	34.04	34.69	35.4	35.83	35.77	36.24	36.72(1.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	78	90	44	180	3.61	57%	0.15	12.7	1.26%	0	2.1	78	0
2	Jun_5_2014	33.99	34.61	35.06	35.56	35.51	35.58	36.14(2.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	56	10	23	155	4.49	57%	0.12	2.4	1.26%	0	1.7	78	0
3	Jun_4_2014	33.95	34.61	34.82	35.36	35.37	35.3	35.32(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	30	-10	-3	128	1.03	58%	0.09	-8.4	1.24%	0	0.9	58	0
4	Jun_3_2014	33.92	34.55	34.63	35.32	35.32	35.3	35.34(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	31	20	5	110	1.55	54%	0.12	-12.5	1.3%	0	1	55	0
5	Jun_2_2014	33.88	34.55	34.44	35.24	35.25	35.44	35.62(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	40	26	91	0.84	54%	0.12	-13.7	1.37%	0	1.2	53	0

6	May_30_2014	33.84	34.56	34.23	34.89	35.1	35.21	35.36(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	40	32	55	0.65	54%	0.12	-22	1.38%	0	0.9	52	0
7	May_29_2014	33.8	34.59	34.02	34.47	34.7	35.06	35.18(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	17	90	23	-2	0.56	54%	0.12	-32.7	1.39%	0	0.6	45	0
8	May_28_2014	33.76	34.62	33.91	34.19	34.27	35	35.08(0.4%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	28	160	45	-25	0.78	54%	0.12	-37.9	1.4%	0	0.5	46	0
9	May_27_2014	33.72	34.66	33.84	33.84	33.93	34.35	34.94(3.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	23	90	50	-60	1.43	54%	0.21	-46.7	1.4%	0	0.3	42	0
10	May_23_2014	33.65	34.68	33.81	33.54	33.54	33.54	33.88(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-24	0	6	-115	0.51	50%	0.09	-56.4	1.32%	0	-0.8	31	0

11	May_22_2014	33.62	34.76	33.9	33.54	33.46	33.51	33.28(-1.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-37	10	-3	-138	1.07	48%	0	-58.8	1.31%	0	-1.5	22	0
12	May_21_2014	33.62	34.89	34.11	33.48	33.52	33.54	33.76(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-36	10	1	-145	0.46	49%	0.06	-61.5	1.31%	0	-1.2	23	0
13	May_20_2014	33.6	34.99	34.25	33.59	33.44	33.42	33.32(-0.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-55	-20	-20	-159	0.66	48%	0.09	-54	1.3%	0	-1.8	16	0
14	May_19_2014	33.57	35.13	34.48	33.83	33.68	33.51	33.44(-0.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-51	-50	-19	-148	1.09	48%	0.06	-46.8	1.3%	0	-1.9	18	0
15	May_16_2014	33.55	35.26	34.71	34.14	33.95	33.47	33.62(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-60	-120	-35	-133	0.72	48%	0.09	-36.2	1.3%	0	-2.1	30	0

16	May_15_2014	33.52	35.36	34.94	34.38	34.34	33.86	33.26(-3.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-67	-100	-50	-117	2.01	48%	0	-26.7	1.3%	0	-3	26	0
17	May_14_2014	33.52	35.49	35.23	34.82	34.73	34.43	34.3(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-44	-70	-31	-81	0.54	54%	0.12	-16.7	1.25%	0	-2.4	29	0
18	May_13_2014	33.48	35.51	35.41	35.01	35.02	34.82	34.54(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-31	-40	-22	-59	6.79	54%	0.12	-15.4	1.26%	0	-2.1	33	0
19	May_12_2014	33.44	35.51	35.56	35.22	35.21	35.02	34.96(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-40	-18	-44	3.32	54%	0.15	-10.2	1.25%	0	-1.4	33	0
20	May_9_2014	33.39	35.51	35.63	35.38	35.34	35.22	34.86(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-25	-30	-21	-37	3.05	56%	0.18	-9.1	1.25%	0	-1.6	39	0

21	May_8_2014	33.33	35.55	35.69	35.59	35.51	35.4	35.44(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	-30	-11	-20	1.34	59%	0.18	-4.8	1.24%	0	-0.2	49	0
22	May_7_2014	33.27	35.57	35.74	35.71	35.61	35.47	35.26(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-15	-40	-17	-10	1.15	60%	0.18	7.1	1.25%	0	-0.7	47	0
23	May_6_2014	33.21	35.58	35.79	35.87	35.8	35.61	35.6(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	-40	-11	20	0.96	63%	0.18	12.9	1.25%	0	0	68	0
24	May_5_2014	33.15	35.59	35.79	35.95	35.87	35.75	35.72(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-30	-9	37	0.81	63%	0.21	21.8	1.3%	0	0.3	60	0
25	May_2_2014	33.08	35.58	35.84	35.91	35.97	35.98	35.92(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	10	6	50	0.95	60%		25	1.36%	0	0.8	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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