Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 7, 2014

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $35.7600 (0.39%) ($35.6600 - $36.0400) on Mon. Apr. 7, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.37% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $35.7600(0.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(88%)    VT(76%)    SPY(72%)    EEM(70%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.685% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    UUP(-23%)    SHY(-3%)    DIA(-1%)    TIP(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.685% (StdDev 1.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.69(0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.24(1.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.65(3.2%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   18.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.22% (three month std-dev: 1.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 1.16%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.49%(50%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 2.1%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.83%(33%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 2.75%(83%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.74%(17%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140507

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_7_2014	32.04	34.65	35.24	35.69		35.81	35.76(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	20	5	103	2.05	60%	0.19	62.2	1.37%	0	1.4	61	NAN
2	Apr_4_2014	31.98	34.57	35.07	35.62	35.69	35.74	35.62(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	34	20	12	99	0.81	60%	0.19	78.4	1.37%	0	1.5	63	NAN
3	Apr_3_2014	31.92	34.49	34.9	35.51	35.61	35.57	35.76(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	0	11	97	0.69	60%	0.16	85.3	1.38%	0	1.9	72	NAN
4	Apr_2_2014	31.87	34.41	34.74	35.26	35.45	35.57	35.4(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	60	14	93	1.42	58%	0.19	90.7	1.38%	0	1.6	71	NAN
5	Apr_1_2014	31.81	34.32	34.6	35.05	35.22	35.65	35.92(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	49	100	36	87	1.09	60%	0.19	87.5	1.38%	0	2.5	63	NAN

6	Mar_31_2014	31.75	34.18	34.45	34.73	34.86	35.25	35.42(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	44	90	35	71	1	58%	0.16	69.4	1.39%	0	1.9	61	NAN
7	Mar_28_2014	31.7	34.02	34.34	34.45	34.55	34.78	35.06(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	34	60	28	51	0.89	58%	0.16	54.9	1.37%	0	1.7	57	NAN
8	Mar_27_2014	31.65	33.92	34.17	34.2	34.29	34.47	34.52(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	40	11	18	0.82	57%	0.13	45.2	1.37%	0	1	53	NAN
9	Mar_26_2014	31.61	33.85	34.06	34.14	34.18	34.32	34.34(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	30	12	4	0.95	57%	0.13	39.9	1.37%	0	0.8	51	NAN
10	Mar_25_2014	31.57	33.77	34.04	34.08	34.18	34.11	34.32(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	0	0	-0	1	1.25	57%	0.1	35.9	1.37%	0	0.9	58	NAN

11	Mar_24_2014	31.54	33.72	34.01	34.14	34.11	34.04	34(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	-20	-9	12	0.76	57%	0.1	38.7	1.38%	0	0.5	60	NAN
12	Mar_21_2014	31.51	33.68	34.03	34.21	34.26	34.11	33.8(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	12	-30	0	46	1.36	58%	0.1	42	1.38%	0	0.2	68	NAN
13	Mar_20_2014	31.48	33.65	34.07	34.13	34.27	34.19	34.24(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-0	4	55	1.07	58%	0.1	41.3	1.38%	0	1	59	NAN
14	Mar_19_2014	31.45	33.6	34.06	33.95	34.08	34.4	34.02(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	80	2	56	1.05	58%	0.1	39.6	1.38%	0	0.7	59	NAN
15	Mar_18_2014	31.42	33.55	34.03	33.98	33.99	34.36	34.62(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	43	80	30	81	2.48	61%	0.1	47.5	1.35%	0	1.8	65	NAN

16	Mar_17_2014	31.39	33.48	33.88	33.87	33.99	33.75	34.36(2.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	-20	6	65	1.25	61%	0.13	56.5	1.35%	0	1.5	59	NAN
17	Mar_14_2014	31.35	33.43	33.67	33.84	33.87	33.63	33.42(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-8	-50	-24	40	1.71	60%	0.06	69.8	1.34%	0	-0	53	NAN
18	Mar_13_2014	31.33	33.4	33.66	34	34.03	33.99	33.32(-2.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	4	-10	-14	56	1.54	60%	0.06	86.4	1.35%	0	-0.1	53	NAN
19	Mar_12_2014	31.31	33.36	33.64	34.17	34.09	34.12	34.18(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	24	-0	6	79	0.73	64%	0.1	105.8	1.3%	0	1.4	59	NAN
20	Mar_11_2014	31.28	33.27	33.5	34.07	34.1	34.07	34.08(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	27	-0	12	72	0.95	61%	0.1	114.4	1.31%	0	1.4	61	NAN

21	Mar_10_2014	31.25	33.17	33.41	33.89	33.96	34.06	34.22(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	30	23	61	0.72	61%	0.1	112.8	1.33%	0	1.7	58	NAN
22	Mar_7_2014	31.22	33.06	33.3	33.46	33.72	34.12	34.18(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	30	110	29	31	1.22	61%	0.06	106.1	1.32%	0	1.9	58	NAN
23	Mar_6_2014	31.2	32.94	33.19	33.27	33.27	33.85	34.2(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	34	120	37	24	1.27	63%	0.13	98.4	1.33%	0	2.1	63	NAN
24	Mar_5_2014	31.16	32.77	33.09	33.03	33.03	33.31	33.66(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	60	35	15	3	59%	0.1	74.4	1.33%	0	1.3	62	NAN
25	Mar_4_2014	31.13	32.62	33.02	32.87	32.86	32.68	33.18(3.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-2	-40	-2	-3	2.22	58%		52.7	1.34%	0	0.7	61	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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