Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWI: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 27, 2014

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $34.5200 (0.52%) ($34.4000 - $34.6000) on Thu. Mar. 27, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.37% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $34.5200(0.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(88%)    VT(76%)    SPY(72%)    EEM(70%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.685% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    UUP(-23%)    SHY(-3%)    DIA(-1%)    TIP(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.685% (StdDev 1.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.2(0.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.17(1.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.92(1.77%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   14.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.77% (three month std-dev: 1.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.54%(80%) Average negative next day return: -0.57%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1.19%(80%) Average negative next three day return: -1.39%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 0.69%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.27%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140427

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_27_2014	31.65	33.92	34.17	34.2	34.29	34.47	34.52(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	40	11	18	0.82	57%	0.13	45.2	1.37%	0	1	53	NAN
2	Mar_26_2014	31.61	33.85	34.06	34.14	34.18	34.32	34.34(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	30	12	4	0.95	57%	0.13	39.9	1.37%	0	0.8	51	NAN
3	Mar_25_2014	31.57	33.77	34.04	34.08	34.18	34.11	34.32(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	0	0	-0	1	1.25	57%	0.1	35.9	1.37%	0	0.9	58	NAN
4	Mar_24_2014	31.54	33.72	34.01	34.14	34.11	34.04	34(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	-20	-9	12	0.76	57%	0.1	38.7	1.38%	0	0.5	60	NAN
5	Mar_21_2014	31.51	33.68	34.03	34.21	34.26	34.11	33.8(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	12	-30	0	46	1.36	58%	0.1	42	1.38%	0	0.2	68	NAN

6	Mar_20_2014	31.48	33.65	34.07	34.13	34.27	34.19	34.24(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-0	4	55	1.07	58%	0.1	41.3	1.38%	0	1	59	NAN
7	Mar_19_2014	31.45	33.6	34.06	33.95	34.08	34.4	34.02(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	80	2	56	1.05	58%	0.1	39.6	1.38%	0	0.7	59	NAN
8	Mar_18_2014	31.42	33.55	34.03	33.98	33.99	34.36	34.62(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	43	80	30	81	2.48	61%	0.1	47.5	1.35%	0	1.8	65	NAN
9	Mar_17_2014	31.39	33.48	33.88	33.87	33.99	33.75	34.36(2.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	-20	6	65	1.25	61%	0.13	56.5	1.35%	0	1.5	59	NAN
10	Mar_14_2014	31.35	33.43	33.67	33.84	33.87	33.63	33.42(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-8	-50	-24	40	1.71	60%	0.06	69.8	1.34%	0	-0	53	NAN

11	Mar_13_2014	31.33	33.4	33.66	34	34.03	33.99	33.32(-2.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	4	-10	-14	56	1.54	60%	0.06	86.4	1.35%	0	-0.1	53	NAN
12	Mar_12_2014	31.31	33.36	33.64	34.17	34.09	34.12	34.18(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	24	-0	6	79	0.73	64%	0.1	105.8	1.3%	0	1.4	59	NAN
13	Mar_11_2014	31.28	33.27	33.5	34.07	34.1	34.07	34.08(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	27	-0	12	72	0.95	61%	0.1	114.4	1.31%	0	1.4	61	NAN
14	Mar_10_2014	31.25	33.17	33.41	33.89	33.96	34.06	34.22(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	30	23	61	0.72	61%	0.1	112.8	1.33%	0	1.7	58	NAN
15	Mar_7_2014	31.22	33.06	33.3	33.46	33.72	34.12	34.18(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	30	110	29	31	1.22	61%	0.06	106.1	1.32%	0	1.9	58	NAN

16	Mar_6_2014	31.2	32.94	33.19	33.27	33.27	33.85	34.2(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	34	120	37	24	1.27	63%	0.13	98.4	1.33%	0	2.1	63	NAN
17	Mar_5_2014	31.16	32.77	33.09	33.03	33.03	33.31	33.66(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	60	35	15	3	59%	0.1	74.4	1.33%	0	1.3	62	NAN
18	Mar_4_2014	31.13	32.62	33.02	32.87	32.86	32.68	33.18(3.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-2	-40	-2	-3	2.22	58%	0.1	52.7	1.34%	0	0.7	61	NAN
19	Mar_3_2014	31.1	32.48	33.03	32.88	32.83	32.74	32.1(-3.31%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-19	-20	-27	6	3.13	52%	0.03	39.5	1.27%	0	-0.4	57	NAN
20	Feb_28_2014	31.09	32.44	33.16	32.88	32.83	33.03	33.2(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10	5	54	1.69	54%	0.1	44.2	1.22%	0	0.8	68	NAN

21	Feb_27_2014	31.06	32.35	33.12	33.1	33.06	32.91	33.02(0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-40	-12	63	0.91	54%	0.13	40.8	1.23%	0	0.7	71	NAN
22	Feb_26_2014	31.02	32.26	33.08	33.16	33.14	33.09	32.86(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	-10	-7	95	0.71	54%	0.1	38.3	1.23%	0	0.6	77	NAN
23	Feb_25_2014	30.99	32.21	33.04	33.19	33.19	33.09	33.22(0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	31	0	-1	128	1.02	54%	0.13	37.7	1.22%	0	1	84	NAN
24	Feb_24_2014	30.95	32.1	32.92	33.22	33.17	33.2	33.2(0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	39	0	-1	159	0.8	54%	0.13	35.4	1.23%	0	1.1	86	NAN
25	Feb_21_2014	30.91	32	32.81	33.23	33.22	33.18	33.18(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	49	-10	5	182	1.6	56%		32	1.23%	0	1.2	68	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.