Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 19, 2014

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $34.0200 (-1.73%) ($33.7200 - $34.5400) on Wed. Mar. 19, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.38% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $34.0200(-1.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(72%)    EEM(70%)    EWJ(68%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.69% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    UUP(-23%)    SHY(-3%)    DIA(-1%)    TIP(2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.69% (StdDev 1.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.95(0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.06(-0.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.6(1.25%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   14%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.82% (three month std-dev: 1.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.7%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.39%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -6.76%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.22%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.65%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140419

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_19_2014	31.45	33.6	34.06	33.95	34.08	34.4	34.02(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	80	2	56	1.05	58%	0.1	39.6	1.38%	0	0.7	59	0
2	Mar_18_2014	31.42	33.55	34.03	33.98	33.99	34.36	34.62(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	43	80	30	81	2.48	61%	0.1	47.5	1.35%	0	1.8	65	0
3	Mar_17_2014	31.39	33.48	33.88	33.87	33.99	33.75	34.36(2.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	-20	6	65	1.25	61%	0.13	56.5	1.35%	0	1.5	59	0
4	Mar_14_2014	31.35	33.43	33.67	33.84	33.87	33.63	33.42(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-8	-50	-24	40	1.71	60%	0.06	69.8	1.34%	0	-0	53	0
5	Mar_13_2014	31.33	33.4	33.66	34	34.03	33.99	33.32(-2.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	4	-10	-14	56	1.54	60%	0.06	86.4	1.35%	0	-0.1	53	0

6	Mar_12_2014	31.31	33.36	33.64	34.17	34.09	34.12	34.18(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	24	-0	6	79	0.73	64%	0.1	105.8	1.3%	0	1.4	59	0
7	Mar_11_2014	31.28	33.27	33.5	34.07	34.1	34.07	34.08(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	27	-0	12	72	0.95	61%	0.1	114.4	1.31%	0	1.4	61	0
8	Mar_10_2014	31.25	33.17	33.41	33.89	33.96	34.06	34.22(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	30	23	61	0.72	61%	0.1	112.8	1.33%	0	1.7	58	0
9	Mar_7_2014	31.22	33.06	33.3	33.46	33.72	34.12	34.18(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	30	110	29	31	1.22	61%	0.06	106.1	1.32%	0	1.9	58	0
10	Mar_6_2014	31.2	32.94	33.19	33.27	33.27	33.85	34.2(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	34	120	37	24	1.27	63%	0.13	98.4	1.33%	0	2.1	63	0

11	Mar_5_2014	31.16	32.77	33.09	33.03	33.03	33.31	33.66(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	60	35	15	3	59%	0.1	74.4	1.33%	0	1.3	62	0
12	Mar_4_2014	31.13	32.62	33.02	32.87	32.86	32.68	33.18(3.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-2	-40	-2	-3	2.22	58%	0.1	52.7	1.34%	0	0.7	61	0
13	Mar_3_2014	31.1	32.48	33.03	32.88	32.83	32.74	32.1(-3.31%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-19	-20	-27	6	3.13	52%	0.03	39.5	1.27%	0	-0.4	57	0
14	Feb_28_2014	31.09	32.44	33.16	32.88	32.83	33.03	33.2(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10	5	54	1.69	54%	0.1	44.2	1.22%	0	0.8	68	0
15	Feb_27_2014	31.06	32.35	33.12	33.1	33.06	32.91	33.02(0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-40	-12	63	0.91	54%	0.13	40.8	1.23%	0	0.7	71	0

16	Feb_26_2014	31.02	32.26	33.08	33.16	33.14	33.09	32.86(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	-10	-7	95	0.71	54%	0.1	38.3	1.23%	0	0.6	77	0
17	Feb_25_2014	30.99	32.21	33.04	33.19	33.19	33.09	33.22(0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	31	0	-1	128	1.02	54%	0.13	37.7	1.22%	0	1	84	0
18	Feb_24_2014	30.95	32.1	32.92	33.22	33.17	33.2	33.2(0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	39	0	-1	159	0.8	54%	0.13	35.4	1.23%	0	1.1	86	0
19	Feb_21_2014	30.91	32	32.81	33.23	33.17	33.18	33.18(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	49	-10	5	182	1.6	56%	0.13	32	1.23%	0	1.2	68	0
20	Feb_20_2014	30.87	31.95	32.67	33.16	33.22	33.14	33.32(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	51	-10	7	184	1.97	56%	0.13	30.9	1.24%	0	1.5	65	0

21	Feb_19_2014	30.83	31.88	32.43	33	33.07	33.26	33.02(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	49	50	10	167	0.96	56%	0.13	29.7	1.25%	0	1.3	64	0
22	Feb_18_2014	30.79	31.83	32.2	32.86	32.9	33.29	33.36(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	67	90	38	155	0.83	56%	0.26	31.8	1.25%	0	1.8	61	0
23	Feb_14_2014	30.71	31.76	31.88	32.57	32.59	32.87	33.26(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	54	60	33	116	1.1	56%	0.13	25.2	1.25%	0	1.9	65	0
24	Feb_13_2014	30.67	31.69	31.65	32.34	32.27	32.51	32.82(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	41	50	23	93	1.56	54%	0.13	23.9	1.24%	0	1.6	62	0
25	Feb_12_2014	30.63	31.66	31.5	32.12	32.11	32.31	32.52(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	43	40	34	69	0.97	54%		23.6	1.24%	0	1.3	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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