Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 27, 2014

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $33.0200 (0.49%) ($32.6400 - $33.0200) on Thu. Feb. 27, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.23% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $33.0200(0.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(72%)    EEM(70%)    EWJ(68%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.615% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    UUP(-23%)    SHY(-3%)    DIA(-1%)    TIP(1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.615% (StdDev 1.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.1(-0.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.12(-0.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.35(2.07%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   13.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 3.09% (three month std-dev: 1.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.18%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.61%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -4.25%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.49%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140327

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_27_2014	31.06	32.35	33.12	33.1	33.06	32.91	33.02(0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-40	-12	63	0.91	54%	0.13	40.8	1.23%	0	0.7	71	NAN
2	Feb_26_2014	31.02	32.26	33.08	33.16	33.14	33.09	32.86(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	-10	-7	95	0.71	54%	0.1	38.3	1.23%	0	0.6	77	NAN
3	Feb_25_2014	30.99	32.21	33.04	33.19	33.19	33.09	33.22(0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	31	0	-1	128	1.02	54%	0.13	37.7	1.22%	0	1	84	NAN
4	Feb_24_2014	30.95	32.1	32.92	33.22	33.17	33.2	33.2(0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	39	0	-1	159	0.8	54%	0.13	35.4	1.23%	0	1.1	86	NAN
5	Feb_21_2014	30.91	32	32.81	33.23	33.17	33.18	33.18(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	49	-10	5	182	1.6	56%	0.13	32	1.23%	0	1.2	68	NAN

6	Feb_20_2014	30.87	31.95	32.67	33.16	33.22	33.14	33.32(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	51	-10	7	184	1.97	56%	0.13	30.9	1.24%	0	1.5	65	NAN
7	Feb_19_2014	30.83	31.88	32.43	33	33.07	33.26	33.02(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	49	50	10	167	0.96	56%	0.13	29.7	1.25%	0	1.3	64	NAN
8	Feb_18_2014	30.79	31.83	32.2	32.86	32.9	33.29	33.36(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	67	90	38	155	0.83	56%	0.26	31.8	1.25%	0	1.8	61	NAN
9	Feb_14_2014	30.71	31.76	31.88	32.57	32.59	32.87	33.26(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	54	60	33	116	1.1	56%	0.13	25.2	1.25%	0	1.9	65	NAN
10	Feb_13_2014	30.67	31.69	31.65	32.34	32.27	32.51	32.82(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	41	50	23	93	1.56	54%	0.13	23.9	1.24%	0	1.6	62	NAN

11	Feb_12_2014	30.63	31.66	31.5	32.12	32.11	32.31	32.52(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	43	40	34	69	0.97	54%	0.13	23.6	1.24%	0	1.3	50	NAN
12	Feb_11_2014	30.59	31.62	31.36	31.78	31.86	32.04	32.34(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	31	50	32	27	1.06	54%	0.13	12.6	1.24%	0	1.1	50	NAN
13	Feb_10_2014	30.55	31.57	31.29	31.43	31.5	31.91	31.9(-0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	25	100	36	-9	0.58	52%	0.1	-0.5	1.23%	0	0.5	45	NAN
14	Feb_7_2014	30.52	31.56	31.21	31.07	31.17	31.69	32.14(1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	21	130	44	-49	1.34	47%	0.1	-9.3	1.23%	0	1	50	NAN
15	Feb_6_2014	30.49	31.53	31.11	30.86	30.81	31.1	31.72(3.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-4	60	23	-85	1.6	46%	0.1	-13.2	1.31%	0	0.3	45	NAN

16	Feb_5_2014	30.46	31.5	31.14	30.8	30.68	30.65	30.78(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-30	-20	-4	-108	1.12	39%	0.1	-15.3	1.26%	0	-1.2	35	NAN
17	Feb_4_2014	30.43	31.54	31.27	30.9	30.86	30.52	30.62(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-43	-80	-23	-104	1.08	39%	0.1	-8.2	1.27%	0	-1.6	40	NAN
18	Feb_3_2014	30.4	31.57	31.44	31.13	31.03	30.71	30.08(-3.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-48	-80	-37	-81	1.27	36%	0.07	4.6	1.25%	0	-2.7	41	NAN
19	Jan_31_2014	30.38	31.62	31.65	31.35	31.31	31.19	31.08(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-21	-30	-10	-53	0.81	38%	0.13	18.1	1.2%	0	-1.1	44	NAN
20	Jan_30_2014	30.34	31.61	31.76	31.38	31.4	31.34	31.42(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-21	-10	-13	-43	1.04	38%	0.13	19.6	1.19%	0	-0.4	51	NAN

21	Jan_29_2014	30.3	31.6	31.85	31.54	31.43	31.43	31.3(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-10	-17	-15	1.04	41%	0.13	34.8	1.2%	0	-0.6	53	NAN
22	Jan_28_2014	30.26	31.59	31.92	31.71	31.7	31.47	31.78(1.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-4	-50	-8	9	2.53	43%	0.17	52.7	1.2%	0	0.4	54	NAN
23	Jan_27_2014	30.21	31.55	31.88	31.82	31.84	31.43	31.16(-0.19%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-25	-90	-37	13	0.94	40%	0.13	66.7	1.17%	0	-0.7	54	NAN
24	Jan_24_2014	30.17	31.53	31.96	31.99	32.08	31.94	31.22(-3.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-8	-20	-27	49	1.64	38%	0.17	83.3	1.18%	0	-0.6	58	NAN
25	Jan_23_2014	30.12	31.51	32	32.19	32.21	32.25	32.22(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	10	1	97	1.08	40%		101.1	1.12%	0	1.2	71	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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