Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 22, 2014

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $32.1800 (-0.37%) ($32.0000 - $32.2600) on Wed. Jan. 22, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.15% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $32.1800(-0.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(73%)    EEM(70%)    EWJ(68%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    UUP(-23%)    SHY(-3%)    DIA(-1%)    TIP(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.575% (StdDev 1.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.21(-0.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.91(0.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.42(2.42%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   10.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.78% (three month std-dev: 1.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_22_2014	30.06	31.42	31.91	32.21		32.22	32.18(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	10	5	101	0.48	40%	0.2	111.8	1.15%	0	1.4	61	0
2	Jan_21_2014	30	31.32	31.83	32.15	32.17	32.17	32.3(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	0	16	108	0.74	40%	0.2	115.4	1.15%	0	1.7	64	0
3	Jan_17_2014	29.94	31.19	31.71	31.96	32.04	32.11	32.02(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	20	3	92	0.63	42%	0.2	106.1	1.14%	0	1.4	64	0
4	Jan_16_2014	29.88	31.08	31.59	31.92	31.91	32.17	32.22(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	60	19	96	1.11	45%	0.2	100.5	1.15%	0	1.7	67	0
5	Jan_15_2014	29.82	30.94	31.43	31.78	31.79	31.98	32.34(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	46	40	31	89	1.04	45%	0.2	90.8	1.17%	0	2.1	70	0

6	Jan_14_2014	29.76	30.81	31.31	31.56	31.61	31.65	31.86(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	10	9	73	0.78	42%	0.17	80.5	1.16%	0	1.5	69	0
7	Jan_13_2014	29.71	30.67	31.22	31.48	31.48	31.61	31.36(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	30	6	82	1.34	40%	0.13	74.8	1.14%	0	1	70	0
8	Jan_10_2014	29.67	30.56	31.17	31.42	31.45	31.57	31.84(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	45	30	26	103	1	45%	0.17	65.7	1.13%	0	1.7	79	0
9	Jan_9_2014	29.62	30.43	31.06	31.2	31.31	31.36	31.52(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	35	20	15	96	1.17	47%	0.14	55.6	1.14%	0	1.4	79	0
10	Jan_8_2014	29.58	30.34	30.97	31.03	31.16	31.33	31.22(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	50	7	97	0.55	47%	0.17	50.8	1.15%	0	1.2	80	0

11	Jan_7_2014	29.53	30.27	30.9	31.02	31.04	31.26	31.46(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	50	18	115	0.68	47%	0.14	51.5	1.14%	0	1.6	75	0
12	Jan_6_2014	29.49	30.17	30.76	30.94	30.99	30.99	31.04(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	38	0	10	123	0.4	45%	0.1	44.9	1.13%	0	1.3	78	0
13	Jan_3_2014	29.46	30.08	30.64	30.94	30.99	30.82	30.76(0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	27	-30	-7	128	0.37	45%	0.14	36.1	1.14%	0	1	77	0
14	Jan_2_2014	29.42	30.02	30.54	30.94	30.97	30.99	30.66(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	30	10	-6	138	0.44	47%	0.17	30.9	1.14%	0	1	69	0
15	Dec_31_2013	29.37	29.96	30.43	30.9	30.98	31.13	31.18(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	52	40	21	146	0.47	53%	0.14	27.6	1.13%	0	1.9	66	0

16	Dec_30_2013	29.33	29.9	30.28	30.75	30.8	30.95	31.06(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	48	40	21	129	0.3	53%	0.14	19.6	1.17%	0	2	66	0
17	Dec_27_2013	29.29	29.87	30.08	30.54	30.63	30.83	30.84(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	45	50	25	106	0.42	51%	0.1	12.5	1.17%	0	1.8	66	0
18	Dec_26_2013	29.26	29.84	29.9	30.34	30.41	30.64	30.78(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	42	60	27	87	0.34	51%	0.24	7	1.19%	0	1.8	70	0
19	Dec_24_2013	29.19	29.81	29.75	30.13	30.15	30.43	30.62(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	40	70	31	65	0.33	51%	0.17	-4.3	1.19%	0	1.7	60	0
20	Dec_23_2013	29.14	29.81	29.66	29.88	29.91	30.17	30.44(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	30	60	26	43	0.41	51%	0.1	-22.7	1.18%	0	1.4	58	0

21	Dec_20_2013	29.11	29.79	29.58	29.74	29.69	29.88	30.04(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	40	23	25	0.4	50%	0.14	-27.2	1.17%	0	0.5	48	0
22	Dec_19_2013	29.07	29.79	29.53	29.55	29.62	29.64	29.84(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	11	10	19	-12	0.27	50%	0.14	-34.8	1.17%	0	0.1	39	0
23	Dec_18_2013	29.03	29.8	29.46	29.39	29.46	29.5	29.7(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-12	20	3	-55	0.71	54%	0.14	-48.2	1.17%	0	-0.2	41	0
24	Dec_17_2013	28.99	29.83	29.44	29.32	29.46	29.59	29.4(-1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-15	60	3	-70	0.33	54%	0.1	-51.8	1.24%	0	-0.9	38	0
25	Dec_16_2013	28.96	29.89	29.47	29.4	29.35	29.41	29.72(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	10	11	-71	0.41	54%		-45.6	1.23%	0	-0.3	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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