Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 24, 2013

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $30.6200 (0.59%) ($30.2400 - $30.7000) on Tue. Dec. 24, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.19% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $30.6200(0.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(73%)    EEM(70%)    EWJ(68%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.595% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    GDXJ(-5%)    XBI(-3%)    SHY(-3%)    DIA(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.595% (StdDev 1.19%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.13(1.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.75(2.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.81(2.72%)
To recent high   -3.2%
To recent low   8.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.64% (three month std-dev: 1.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140124

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_24_2013	29.19	29.81	29.75	30.13	30.15	30.43	30.62(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	40	70	31	65	0.33	51%	0.17	-4.3	1.19%	0	1.7	60	NAN
2	Dec_23_2013	29.14	29.81	29.66	29.88	29.91	30.17	30.44(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	30	60	26	43	0.41	51%	0.1	-22.7	1.18%	0	1.4	58	NAN
3	Dec_20_2013	29.11	29.79	29.58	29.74	29.69	29.88	30.04(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	40	23	25	0.4	50%	0.14	-27.2	1.17%	0	0.5	48	NAN
4	Dec_19_2013	29.07	29.79	29.53	29.55	29.62	29.64	29.84(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	11	10	19	-12	0.27	50%	0.14	-34.8	1.17%	0	0.1	39	NAN
5	Dec_18_2013	29.03	29.8	29.46	29.39	29.46	29.5	29.7(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-12	20	3	-55	0.71	54%	0.14	-48.2	1.17%	0	-0.2	41	NAN

6	Dec_17_2013	28.99	29.83	29.44	29.32	29.46	29.59	29.4(-1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-15	60	3	-70	0.33	54%	0.1	-51.8	1.24%	0	-0.9	38	NAN
7	Dec_16_2013	28.96	29.89	29.47	29.32	29.35	29.41	29.72(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	10	11	-71	0.41	54%	0.14	-45.6	1.23%	0	-0.3	43	NAN
8	Dec_13_2013	28.92	29.91	29.49	29.4	29.39	29.12	29.1(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-35	-70	-16	-92	0.34	51%	0.1	-45.6	1.21%	0	-1.6	30	NAN
9	Dec_12_2013	28.89	29.97	29.64	29.5	29.54	29.29	29.02(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-35	-60	-19	-82	0.41	51%	0.1	-41.3	1.21%	0	-2	34	NAN
10	Dec_11_2013	28.86	30.04	29.78	29.52	29.63	29.66	29.34(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	20	-8	-70	0.44	54%	0.14	-51.7	1.21%	0	-1.6	44	NAN

11	Dec_10_2013	28.82	30.09	29.89	29.58	29.59	29.79	29.8(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-5	50	12	-57	0.32	56%	0.14	-56.4	1.21%	0	-0.7	44	NAN
12	Dec_9_2013	28.78	30.12	29.93	29.55	29.49	29.6	29.76(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	20	6	-68	0.61	58%	0.17	-67.7	1.21%	0	-0.9	40	NAN
13	Dec_6_2013	28.73	30.15	30.01	29.6	29.47	29.39	29.58(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-30	-16	-66	0.37	58%	0.14	-73.6	1.23%	0	-1.5	44	NAN
14	Dec_5_2013	28.69	30.17	30.09	29.82	29.66	29.38	29.14(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-36	-80	-31	-51	0.45	57%	0.17	-79.7	1.22%	0	-2.8	40	NAN
15	Dec_4_2013	28.64	30.27	30.19	30.08	30.03	29.56	29.6(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-32	-110	-31	-34	1.24	59%	0.21	-71.6	1.21%	0	-2	41	NAN

16	Dec_3_2013	28.58	30.32	30.26	30.24	30.31	29.94	29.66(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-30	-80	-33	-22	1.18	61%	0.18	-77.8	1.21%	0	-2.2	43	NAN
17	Dec_2_2013	28.53	30.4	30.36	30.35	30.45	30.5	30.04(-2.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-12	20	-15	-2	0.54	64%	0.21	-61	1.22%	0	-1.1	46	NAN
18	Nov_29_2013	28.47	30.44	30.38	30.47	30.48	30.68	30.66(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	50	16	22	0.73	67%	0.35	-54.3	1.2%	0	0.7	57	NAN
19	Nov_27_2013	28.37	30.47	30.33	30.41	30.41	30.41	30.44(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	0	12	19	0.36	63%	0.25	-48.9	1.2%	0	-0.1	60	NAN
20	Nov_26_2013	28.3	30.5	30.33	30.32	30.35	30.28	30.38(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	-10	-3	-5	0.33	59%	0.21	-48	1.24%	0	-0.3	41	NAN

21	Nov_25_2013	28.24	30.56	30.32	30.3	30.31	30.4	30.24(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	20	-5	-13	0.55	59%	0.21	-49.7	1.29%	0	-0.7	45	NAN
22	Nov_22_2013	28.18	30.59	30.33	30.37	30.33	30.42	30.62(0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	6	20	12	-11	0.65	61%	0.11	-49.3	1.28%	0	0.1	43	NAN
23	Nov_21_2013	28.15	30.61	30.29	30.28	30.37	30.22	30.38(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	-30	2	-31	0.4	61%	0.25	-55.6	1.31%	0	-0.5	44	NAN
24	Nov_20_2013	28.08	30.66	30.24	30.24	30.33	30.24	29.96(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-10	-14	-61	0.58	60%	0.21	-56.4	1.3%	0	-1.4	35	NAN
25	Nov_19_2013	28.02	30.72	30.35	30.32	30.3	30.53	30.28(-1.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-9	50	5	-51	0.68	55%		-51.5	1.3%	0	-0.9	38	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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