Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 24, 2013

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $25.9000 (1.41%) ($25.7000 - $25.9600) on Wed. Jul. 24, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $25.9000(1.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(87%)    SPY(72%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(1%)    BNDX(2%)    IGOV(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.39(2.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.89(4.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.43(6.02%)
To recent high   -5.2%
To recent low   10%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.66% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 3.76%(25%) Average negative next day return: -0.65%(75%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 4.01%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -1.01%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 4.27%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.07%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130824

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_24_2013	25.24	24.43	24.89	25.39	25.46	25.72	25.9(1.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	59	80	31	142	0.86	44%	0.04	38.3	1.4%	0	2.3	78	0
2	Jul_23_2013	25.23	24.34	24.71	25.1	25.21	25.48	25.54(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	54	90	30	127	0.25	46%	0.04	14.8	1.39%	0	2.1	77	0
3	Jul_22_2013	25.22	24.27	24.56	24.85	24.94	25.21	25.4(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	46	90	28	101	0.22	49%	0.04	-13.6	1.42%	0	2.4	66	0
4	Jul_19_2013	25.21	24.21	24.42	24.62	24.67	24.95	25.12(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	42	90	27	88	0.31	49%	0	-46.7	1.45%	0	2.3	68	0
5	Jul_18_2013	25.21	24.17	24.3	24.39	24.46	24.68	25(2.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	29	70	18	62	0.55	49%	0	-89.3	1.46%	0	2.3	61	0

6	Jul_17_2013	25.21	24.18	24.16	24.32	24.46	24.39	24.45(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	30	9	42	0.25	46%	0	-85.9	1.44%	0	0.7	49	0
7	Jul_16_2013	25.21	24.26	24.07	24.26	24.25	24.24	24.26(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	13	-0	8	26	0.16	49%	0	-62.6	1.45%	0	0	50	0
8	Jul_15_2013	25.21	24.34	24.04	24.22	24.2	24.11	24.26(1.25%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	1	-30	-3	12	0.25	45%	-0.08	-56.5	1.48%	0	-0.1	48	0
9	Jul_12_2013	25.23	24.4	24.04	24.2	24.15	24.27	23.96(-2.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	0	30	0	1	0.71	45%	-0.04	-60.9	1.56%	0	-0.6	46	0
10	Jul_11_2013	25.24	24.5	23.98	24.18	24.17	24.29	24.68(2.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	17	30	23	-0	0.39	48%	-0.08	-57.8	1.51%	0	0.2	49	0

11	Jul_10_2013	25.26	24.54	23.98	23.97	24.01	24.04	24.16(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	10	9	-41	0.44	49%	-0.08	-67.3	1.49%	0	-0.4	33	0
12	Jul_9_2013	25.28	24.63	23.94	23.85	23.87	24.06	24.02(-0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-17	60	5	-81	0.72	49%	-0.08	-71.9	1.53%	0	-0.7	26	0
13	Jul_8_2013	25.3	24.75	23.94	23.84	23.77	23.98	24.16(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-14	50	15	-102	0.3	49%	-0.08	-71.2	1.54%	0	-0.6	28	0
14	Jul_5_2013	25.32	24.86	23.97	23.84	23.76	23.68	23.9(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-31	-20	5	-137	0.35	49%	-0.2	-70.8	1.53%	0	-0.9	33	0
15	Jul_3_2013	25.37	24.99	24.03	23.74	23.71	23.56	23.62(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-58	-50	-20	-170	0.41	49%	-0.12	-71.1	1.53%	0	-1.3	25	0

16	Jul_2_2013	25.4	25.14	24.21	23.9	23.84	23.84	23.54(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-49	-10	-12	-158	0.84	49%	-0.12	-68.5	1.54%	0	-1.5	33	0
17	Jul_1_2013	25.43	25.31	24.46	24.04	24.02	23.87	24(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-38	-50	-3	-144	0.35	51%	-0.12	-66.8	1.53%	0	-1.2	32	0
18	Jun_28_2013	25.46	25.47	24.65	24.11	24.04	23.84	23.62(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-53	-70	-20	-153	0.5	49%	-0.12	-65	1.53%	0	-1.7	26	0
19	Jun_27_2013	25.49	25.62	24.85	24.24	24.17	24.17	23.94(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-47	-10	-11	-154	0.57	47%	-0.12	-64.3	1.52%	0	-1.6	26	0
20	Jun_26_2013	25.52	25.79	25.07	24.36	24.28	24.24	24.42(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-46	-20	-11	-151	0.62	49%	-0.12	-63.4	1.52%	0	-1.4	30	0

21	Jun_25_2013	25.55	25.92	25.2	24.56	24.39	24.17	24.22(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-65	-80	-33	-159	0.77	45%	-0.12	-61.3	1.52%	0	-1.8	26	0
22	Jun_24_2013	25.58	26.06	25.39	24.95	24.79	24.31	24.34(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-60	-150	-35	-135	3.31	45%	-0.16	-56.5	1.6%	0	-2	25	0
23	Jun_21_2013	25.62	26.18	25.6	25.29	25.27	24.61	24.28(-1.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-60	-190	-40	-119	3.07	47%	-0.16	-55	1.62%	0	-2.4	23	0
24	Jun_20_2013	25.66	26.31	25.84	25.55	25.69	25.26	24.56(-3.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-56	-100	-41	-102	1.42	49%	-0.16	-57.1	1.62%	0	-2.7	32	0
25	Jun_19_2013	25.7	26.43	26.04	25.87	25.93	25.94	25.42(-2.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-26	10	-9	-77	0.99	53%		-57.5	1.58%	0	-2	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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