Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 24, 2013

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $24.3400 (0.25%) ($23.9600 - $24.5000) on Mon. Jun. 24, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.6% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $24.3400(0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(87%)    SPY(72%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-2%)    TIP(2%)    BNDX(2%)    IGOV(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.8% (StdDev 1.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $18.78(-22.84%)
Resistance Level   $26.06
5 Day Moving Average   $24.95(-2.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.39(-4.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.06(-6.6%)
To recent high   -10.9%
To recent low   5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 3.38% (three month std-dev: 1.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 19 Average positive next day return: 1.58%(53%) Average negative next day return: -2.93%(47%) Sample size 19 Average positive next three day return: 1.73%(58%) Average negative next three day return: -3.28%(42%) Sample size 19 Average positive next weekly return: 2.72%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.21%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130724

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_24_2013	25.58	26.06	25.39	24.95	24.79	24.31	24.34(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-60	-150	-35	-135	3.31	45%	-0.16	-56.5	1.6%	0	-2	25	0
2	Jun_21_2013	25.62	26.18	25.6	25.29	25.27	24.61	24.28(-1.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-60	-190	-40	-119	3.07	47%	-0.16	-55	1.62%	0	-2.4	23	0
3	Jun_20_2013	25.66	26.31	25.84	25.55	25.69	25.26	24.56(-3.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-56	-100	-41	-102	1.42	49%	-0.16	-57.1	1.62%	0	-2.7	32	0
4	Jun_19_2013	25.7	26.43	26.04	25.87	25.93	25.94	25.42(-2.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-26	10	-9	-77	0.99	53%	-0.16	-57.5	1.58%	0	-2	32	0
5	Jun_18_2013	25.74	26.52	26.16	25.91	25.98	26.12	26.16(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-12	50	9	-74	0.45	53%	-0.12	-56.5	1.54%	0	-0.8	42	0

6	Jun_17_2013	25.77	26.57	26.23	25.89	25.9	25.92	26.04(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-21	10	-1	-80	0.8	53%	-0.12	-50	1.57%	0	-1.1	41	0
7	Jun_14_2013	25.8	26.62	26.33	25.97	25.88	25.84	25.58(-2.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30	-20	-15	-75	0.89	53%	-0.12	-45.6	1.56%	0	-2.2	42	0
8	Jun_13_2013	25.83	26.68	26.44	26.17	26.05	25.89	26.16(2.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-20	-60	-8	-57	0.8	56%	-0.12	-35.7	1.55%	0	-1.3	45	0
9	Jun_12_2013	25.86	26.72	26.55	26.24	26.21	25.93	25.62(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-30	-80	-23	-52	0.62	54%	-0.12	-34.2	1.54%	0	-2.8	37	0
10	Jun_11_2013	25.89	26.78	26.7	26.45	26.37	26.22	26.06(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-25	-50	-21	-38	0.66	56%	0	-24.1	1.52%	0	-2.4	36	0

11	Jun_10_2013	25.89	26.82	26.79	26.62	26.58	26.49	26.42(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-14	-30	-10	-25	1.05	56%	-0.08	-4.3	1.51%	0	-1.6	38	0
12	Jun_7_2013	25.91	26.84	26.81	26.75	26.71	26.53	26.6(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-10	-50	-7	-19	1.29	56%	-0.08	20.9	1.51%	0	-1	45	0
13	Jun_6_2013	25.93	26.83	26.82	26.76	26.81	26.68	26.52(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-19	-30	-17	-25	1.22	56%	-0.08	25.8	1.52%	0	-1.2	48	0
14	Jun_5_2013	25.95	26.83	26.85	26.92	26.89	26.9	26.64(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-8	-0	-7	-10	0.99	56%	-0.08	66.3	1.52%	0	-0.9	47	0
15	Jun_4_2013	25.97	26.86	26.9	26.98	26.99	26.95	26.92(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	2	-10	1	5	0.69	56%	-0.04	80.9	1.52%	0	0.3	54	0

16	Jun_3_2013	25.98	26.83	26.93	26.99	27.01	26.89	27.08(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	4	-30	-0	14	0.69	56%	-0.08	69.3	1.52%	0	0.9	58	0
17	May_31_2013	26	26.79	26.92	26.99	27.05	27.04	26.62(-2.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	2	20	-0	8	0.89	54%	-0.08	64.8	1.52%	0	-0.6	48	0
18	May_30_2013	26.02	26.77	26.94	26.88	26.94	27.12	27.32(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	12	50	10	18	1.75	58%	0	63.4	1.49%	0	1.7	65	0
19	May_29_2013	26.02	26.7	26.89	26.78	26.77	27.06	26.96(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	8	70	8	6	0.58	58%	0	55.7	1.49%	0	0.7	49	0
20	May_28_2013	26.02	26.67	26.87	26.82	26.77	26.76	26.96(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	-10	6	11	0.71	58%	-0.08	68.7	1.51%	0	0.8	56	0

21	May_24_2013	26.04	26.64	26.84	26.88	26.78	26.48	26.54(-0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-10	-90	-17	10	0.73	50%	0	83.6	1.65%	0	-0.3	56	0
22	May_23_2013	26.04	26.6	26.87	26.96	26.96	26.81	26.64(-0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-40	-11	25	1.41	50%	-0.04	96.9	1.67%	0	0.1	56	0
23	May_22_2013	26.05	26.56	26.85	27	27.04	27.08	26.78(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	10	-1	36	1.11	53%	0.04	105.5	1.68%	0	0.5	62	0
24	May_21_2013	26.04	26.5	26.87	27.02	26.99	27.11	27.16(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	30	9	56	0.73	49%	0	117.2	1.69%	0	1.3	68	0
25	May_20_2013	26.04	26.43	26.82	26.93	26.89	27.01	27.26(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	30	11	53	1.44	47%		113.7	1.74%	0	1.5	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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