Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 16, 2013

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $24.3800 (2.61%) ($24.1400 - $24.4400) on Tue. Apr. 16, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.85% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $24.3800(2.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(89%)    EWG(87%)    SPY(72%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.925% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-2%)    TIP(2%)    IGOV(4%)    GLD(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.925% (StdDev 1.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.49(-0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.09(1.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.07(1.29%)
To recent high   -16.6%
To recent low   5.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.41% (three month std-dev: 1.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.02%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.54%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.31%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130516

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_16_2013	25.98		24.09	24.49	24.49	24.24	24.38(2.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-70	-3	66	0.17	36%	-0.04	-13.3	1.85%	0	0.5	54	0
2	Apr_15_2013	25.99	24.07	24.01	24.44	24.56	24.38	23.76(-3.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	7	-40	-9	55	1.05	32%	-0.08	-21.6	1.81%	0	-0.5	47	0
3	Apr_12_2013	26.01	24.14	23.97	24.42	24.52	24.38	24.74(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	80	13	42	0.61	35%	-0.04	-21.4	1.74%	0	1	43	0
4	Apr_11_2013	26.02	24.15	23.85	24.23	24.28	24.75	24.84(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	29	140	31	21	0.71	35%	0	-29	1.76%	0	1.1	50	0
5	Apr_10_2013	26.02	24.14	23.7	23.96	23.97	24.29	24.74(2.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	21	90	34	-17	0.72	39%	0.04	-43	1.76%	0	0.9	47	0

6	Apr_9_2013	26.01	24.15	23.6	23.65	23.64	23.82	24.1(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-5	50	13	-57	0.64	37%	-0.04	-53.8	1.77%	0	-0.1	47	0
7	Apr_8_2013	26.02	24.2	23.59	23.54	23.49	23.64	23.7(-0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	40	9	-74	0.35	37%	0.04	-50.9	1.76%	0	-0.7	41	0
8	Apr_5_2013	26.01	24.27	23.72	23.45	23.48	23.47	23.78(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-16	0	7	-85	0.65	37%	-0.04	-48.8	1.75%	0	-0.7	37	0
9	Apr_4_2013	26.02	24.34	23.79	23.41	23.43	23.34	23.48(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	-20	-5	-100	0.35	37%	0	-48	1.76%	0	-1.2	33	0
10	Apr_3_2013	26.02	24.42	23.92	23.4	23.43	23.48	23.18(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	10	-9	-102	0.77	37%	-0.04	-50.9	1.76%	0	-1.7	37	0

11	Apr_2_2013	26.03	24.51	24.04	23.55	23.51	23.53	23.54(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-31	0	-7	-101	1.05	37%	0	-48.3	1.75%	0	-1.5	36	0
12	Apr_1_2013	26.03	24.56	24.15	23.66	23.6	23.54	23.26(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-42	-30	-20	-107	0.99	37%	0.04	-46.8	1.76%	0	-2.1	32	0
13	Mar_28_2013	26.02	24.63	24.34	24.03	23.82	23.5	23.6(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-120	-20	-81	1.61	39%	-0.04	-47.4	1.78%	0	-2	34	0
14	Mar_27_2013	26.03	24.7	24.5	24.23	24.18	23.66	23.44(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-42	-160	-32	-72	1.11	39%	-0.04	-45.8	1.78%	0	-2.7	32	0
15	Mar_26_2013	26.04	24.79	24.63	24.51	24.49	24.14	23.9(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-30	-100	-23	-52	0.71	40%	-0.04	-52.3	1.78%	0	-2.4	40	0

16	Mar_25_2013	26.05	24.83	24.75	24.6	24.7	24.7	24.1(-4.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-16	10	-9	-38	1.07	40%	-0.04	-80.5	1.78%	0	-2.2	43	0
17	Mar_22_2013	26.06	24.85	24.75	24.69	24.74	24.84	25.12(2.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-1	30	5	-17	0.43	43%	0	-92.4	1.71%	0	0.7	60	0
18	Mar_21_2013	26.06	24.88	24.87	24.7	24.63	24.71	24.6(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	10	-6	-13	0.58	41%	0	-98	1.7%	0	-0.8	54	0
19	Mar_20_2013	26.06	24.92	24.94	24.81	24.77	24.64	24.82(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	3	-40	3	4	0.95	41%	-0.08	-89.2	1.69%	0	-0.2	50	0
20	Mar_19_2013	26.08	24.98	24.95	24.79	24.84	24.54	24.36(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-80	-19	-8	1.24	38%	-0.04	-74.6	1.68%	0	-1	40	0

21	Mar_18_2013	26.09	25.1	24.95	24.93	24.89	24.91	24.56(-2.38%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-10	0	-16	8	1.12	38%	-0.04	-68.5	1.68%	0	-0.9	52	0
22	Mar_15_2013	26.1	25.19	25.01	25.06	24.89	25.15	25.16(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	14	30	8	30	0.44	41%	0	-61	1.65%	0	-0	63	0
23	Mar_14_2013	26.1	25.25	24.95	25.08	25.03	24.87	25.16(1.86%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	1	-50	-2	10	0.45	41%	0	-55.5	1.66%	0	-0.1	41	0
24	Mar_13_2013	26.1	25.33	24.92	25.09	25.06	24.91	24.7(-1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-10	-50	-13	0	0.59	38%	0	-50.3	1.65%	0	-0.8	44	0
25	Mar_12_2013	26.1	25.44	24.95	25.14	25.18	25.19	25.06(-0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	10	2	-5	0.32	38%		-49.7	1.65%	0	-0.5	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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