Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 27, 2013

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $23.4400 (-1.92%) ($23.1800 - $23.6000) on Wed. Mar. 27, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.78% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $23.4400(-1.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(89%)    EWG(87%)    SPY(72%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.89% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-2%)    TIP(2%)    IGOV(4%)    GLD(6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.89% (StdDev 1.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $20.63(-11.99%)
Resistance Level   $24.7
5 Day Moving Average   $24.23(-3.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.5(-4.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.7(-5.1%)
To recent high   -19.8%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.9% (three month std-dev: 1.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.62%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.61%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.93%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -2.44%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.89%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.99%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130427

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_27_2013	26.03	24.7	24.5	24.23	24.18	23.66	23.44(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-42	-160	-32	-72	1.11	39%	-0.04	-45.8	1.78%	0	-2.7	32	0
2	Mar_26_2013	26.04	24.79	24.63	24.51	24.49	24.14	23.9(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-30	-100	-23	-52	0.71	40%	-0.04	-52.3	1.78%	0	-2.4	40	0
3	Mar_25_2013	26.05	24.83	24.75	24.6	24.7	24.7	24.1(-4.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-16	10	-9	-38	1.07	40%	-0.04	-80.5	1.78%	0	-2.2	43	0
4	Mar_22_2013	26.06	24.85	24.75	24.69	24.74	24.84	25.12(2.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-1	30	5	-17	0.43	43%	0	-92.4	1.71%	0	0.7	60	0
5	Mar_21_2013	26.06	24.88	24.87	24.7	24.63	24.71	24.6(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	10	-6	-13	0.58	41%	0	-98	1.7%	0	-0.8	54	0

6	Mar_20_2013	26.06	24.92	24.94	24.81	24.77	24.64	24.82(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	3	-40	3	4	0.95	41%	-0.08	-89.2	1.69%	0	-0.2	50	0
7	Mar_19_2013	26.08	24.98	24.95	24.79	24.84	24.54	24.36(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-80	-19	-8	1.24	38%	-0.04	-74.6	1.68%	0	-1	40	0
8	Mar_18_2013	26.09	25.1	24.95	24.93	24.89	24.91	24.56(-2.38%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-10	0	-16	8	1.12	38%	-0.04	-68.5	1.68%	0	-0.9	52	0
9	Mar_15_2013	26.1	25.19	25.01	25.06	24.89	25.15	25.16(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	14	30	8	30	0.44	41%	0	-61	1.65%	0	-0	63	0
10	Mar_14_2013	26.1	25.25	24.95	25.08	25.03	24.87	25.16(1.86%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	1	-50	-2	10	0.45	41%	0	-55.5	1.66%	0	-0.1	41	0

11	Mar_13_2013	26.1	25.33	24.92	25.09	25.06	24.91	24.7(-1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-10	-50	-13	0	0.59	38%	0	-50.3	1.65%	0	-0.8	44	0
12	Mar_12_2013	26.1	25.44	24.95	25.14	25.18	25.19	25.06(-0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	10	2	-5	0.32	38%	-0.04	-49.7	1.65%	0	-0.5	38	0
13	Mar_11_2013	26.11	25.51	24.91	25.1	25.13	25.21	25.24(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	30	10	-34	1.26	40%	0	-51.3	1.65%	0	-0.3	35	0
14	Mar_8_2013	26.11	25.58	24.82	24.94	25.04	25.18	25.22(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	50	14	-71	1.91	39%	-0.04	-62.6	1.67%	0	-0.4	39	0
15	Mar_7_2013	26.12	25.65	24.87	24.8	24.84	25.05	25.22(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-15	60	11	-93	0.53	39%	-0.04	-74.4	1.68%	0	-0.5	38	0

16	Mar_6_2013	26.13	25.74	24.88	24.73	24.66	24.91	24.94(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-24	60	8	-121	0.41	39%	-0.04	-78.2	1.68%	0	-0.8	33	0
17	Mar_5_2013	26.14	25.86	24.99	24.75	24.67	24.62	24.86(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-25	-20	9	-128	0.88	39%	0	-81.8	1.69%	0	-1	34	0
18	Mar_4_2013	26.14	25.96	25.17	24.7	24.65	24.41	24.46(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	-70	-9	-139	0.53	39%	-0.04	-94.8	1.68%	0	-1.5	34	0
19	Mar_1_2013	26.15	26.16	25.37	24.68	24.71	24.71	24.5(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-56	0	-24	-153	0.8	39%	0	-91.3	1.68%	0	-1.5	32	0
20	Feb_28_2013	26.15	26.36	25.57	24.96	25	24.9	24.88(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-20	-3	-127	0.9	42%	0	-85.4	1.68%	0	-1.3	37	0

21	Feb_27_2013	26.15	26.53	25.78	25.05	25.2	24.72	25.06(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-53	-120	-26	-133	0.77	42%	0.04	-83.4	1.68%	0	-1.3	34	0
22	Feb_26_2013	26.14	26.72	25.96	25.29	25.35	25.11	24.58(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-68	-60	-46	-132	1.46	39%	-0.04	-76.5	1.68%	0	-1.8	29	0
23	Feb_25_2013	26.15	26.95	26.17	25.73	25.83	25.67	24.4(-5.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-40	-30	-21	-95	3.31	39%	-0.04	-65.1	1.68%	0	-2.2	32	0
24	Feb_22_2013	26.16	27.19	26.43	26.14	26.11	25.59	25.88(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-41	-140	-23	-94	0.59	48%	0.04	-58.9	1.55%	0	-1.2	30	0
25	Feb_21_2013	26.15	27.33	26.5	26.27	26.31	25.98	25.34(-3.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-62	-80	-43	-117	1.14	46%		-53.7	1.54%	0	-1.8	27	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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