Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWI: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Feb. 19, 2013

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $26.8000 (1.44%) ($26.6600 - $26.8800) on Tue. Feb. 19, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.45% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $26.8000(1.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(89%)    EWG(87%)    SPY(72%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.725% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-2%)    TIP(1%)    IGOV(4%)    GLD(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.725% (StdDev 1.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $20.04(-25.22%)
Resistance Level   $27.63
5 Day Moving Average   $26.72(0.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.81(-0.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.63(-3%)
To recent high   -8.3%
To recent low   9.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 3.58% (three month std-dev: 1.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 1.95%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.34%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 1.4%(83%) Average negative next three day return: -2.82%(17%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 2.44%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.24%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130319

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_19_2013	26.13	27.63	26.81	26.72	26.71	26.64	26.8(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-22	-20	6	-104	1.61	57%	0.19	-45	1.45%	0	-0.8	31	NAN
2	Feb_15_2013	26.08	27.72	26.82	26.68	26.72	26.52	26.42(-0.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-46	-50	-13	-144	0.92	57%	0.04	-46.5	1.49%	0	-1.3	24	NAN
3	Feb_14_2013	26.07	27.84	27.02	26.68	26.74	26.78	26.56(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-41	10	-6	-144	0.47	57%	0.08	-45.2	1.49%	0	-1.3	26	NAN
4	Feb_13_2013	26.05	27.92	27.2	26.76	26.8	26.91	27(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-33	30	5	-147	1.32	60%	0.08	-45.4	1.47%	0	-1	34	NAN
5	Feb_12_2013	26.03	28	27.33	26.81	26.76	26.71	26.84(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-43	-20	-6	-154	1.19	60%	0.04	-39	1.47%	0	-1.3	34	NAN

6	Feb_11_2013	26.02	28.08	27.51	26.91	26.83	26.69	26.58(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-46	-50	-11	-151	1.27	60%	0.04	-31.8	1.47%	0	-1.8	29	NAN
7	Feb_8_2013	26.01	28.19	27.77	26.98	27	26.81	26.82(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-56	-50	-25	-147	0.45	56%	0.08	-25.3	1.46%	0	-1.8	34	NAN
8	Feb_7_2013	25.99	28.28	28	27.33	27.11	26.96	26.58(-2.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-54	-60	-33	-116	0.82	53%	0.04	-5.2	1.5%	0	-2.4	31	NAN
9	Feb_6_2013	25.98	28.34	28.23	27.69	27.5	27.19	27.22(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-100	-21	-77	0.5	56%	0.04	13.7	1.49%	0	-1.9	44	NAN
10	Feb_5_2013	25.97	28.34	28.38	27.92	27.86	27.27	27.34(1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-44	-150	-37	-65	0.81	56%	0.04	26	1.5%	0	-1.7	40	NAN

11	Feb_4_2013	25.96	28.35	28.54	28.21	28.13	27.82	26.92(-5.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-49	-90	-51	-43	1.19	55%	0	44.1	1.5%	0	-2.3	38	NAN
12	Feb_1_2013	25.96	28.39	28.73	28.67	28.56	28.45	28.58(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	-40	-9	11	0.9	60%	0.08	74	1.32%	0	0.3	50	NAN
13	Jan_31_2013	25.94	28.31	28.74	28.78	28.75	28.43	28.4(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-7	-80	-16	22	0.55	60%	0.08	75.5	1.34%	0	0.1	51	NAN
14	Jan_30_2013	25.92	28.26	28.72	28.85	28.89	28.67	28.38(-1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-6	-50	-19	34	1.62	60%	0.12	81.6	1.34%	0	0.2	62	NAN
15	Jan_29_2013	25.89	28.19	28.74	28.9	28.96	29.06	28.78(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	30	-1	67	2.74	63%	0.15	84.1	1.34%	0	0.8	71	NAN

16	Jan_28_2013	25.85	28.08	28.7	28.92	28.87	29.11	29.22(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	38	50	18	97	1.01	66%	0.15	77.1	1.33%	0	1.5	78	NAN
17	Jan_25_2013	25.81	27.96	28.64	28.8	28.76	28.86	29.14(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	20	17	106	3.06	66%	0.19	70.7	1.33%	0	1.5	72	NAN
18	Jan_24_2013	25.76	27.82	28.56	28.7	28.76	28.63	28.74(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	34	-10	6	117	1.69	65%	0.19	69.1	1.33%	0	1.2	73	NAN
19	Jan_23_2013	25.71	27.71	28.45	28.57	28.63	28.66	28.62(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	10	5	113	0.59	59%	0.19	65.2	1.33%	0	1.1	66	NAN
20	Jan_22_2013	25.66	27.61	28.32	28.55	28.51	28.64	28.86(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	30	8	115	0.5	59%	0.23	69.7	1.38%	0	1.5	73	NAN

21	Jan_18_2013	25.6	27.5	28.15	28.46	28.42	28.59	28.62(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	40	9	118	0.35	54%	0.23	74.9	1.42%	0	1.4	76	NAN
22	Jan_17_2013	25.54	27.4	28.02	28.45	28.37	28.38	28.64(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	-10	7	127	0.4	54%	0.24	84.9	1.43%	0	1.6	68	NAN
23	Jan_16_2013	25.48	27.28	27.86	28.41	28.34	28.24	28.12(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	33	-30	0	130	0.47	56%	0.2	95.3	1.44%	0	1.1	67	NAN
24	Jan_15_2013	25.43	27.19	27.77	28.3	28.38	28.36	28.52(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	46	0	15	139	0.72	56%	0.2	101.8	1.47%	0	1.8	72	NAN
25	Jan_14_2013	25.38	27.05	27.61	28.03	28.17	28.43	28.38(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	45	80	19	123	2.29	56%		102.7	1.48%	0	1.9	68	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.