Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 19, 2012

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $24.4200 (3.3%) ($23.9400 - $24.4400) on Mon. Nov. 19, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.79% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $24.4200(3.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(89%)    EWG(87%)    SPY(72%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(68%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.895% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-2%)    TIP(1%)    IGOV(5%)    GLD(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.895% (StdDev 1.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $19.48(-20.23%)
Resistance Level   $24.56
5 Day Moving Average   $23.98(1.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.09(1.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.56(-0.57%)
To recent high   -8.8%
To recent low   7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.4% (three month std-dev: 1.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121219

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_19_2012	23.56	24.56		23.98	24	23.93	24.42(3.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-10	-20	7	-62	1.59	49%	0.08	-71.3	1.79%	0	-0.2	42	0
2	Nov_16_2012	23.54	24.64	24.09	23.89	23.92	23.87	23.64(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	-10	-9	-82	0.73	44%	0.13	-63.5	1.75%	0	-1.6	35	0
3	Nov_15_2012	23.51	24.77	24.21	23.93	24	24.06	23.98(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-15	30	5	-76	2.17	44%	0.13	-46.2	1.76%	0	-1.2	36	0
4	Nov_14_2012	23.48	24.87	24.35	23.9	23.93	23.97	23.9(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-23	20	-4	-78	0.19	44%	0.17	-34.9	1.76%	0	-1.3	35	0
5	Nov_13_2012	23.44	24.94	24.45	24.01	23.92	23.94	23.94(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-10	-11	-83	0.68	44%	0.17	-31	1.76%	0	-1.4	28	0

6	Nov_12_2012	23.4	24.99	24.56	24.22	24.04	23.94	23.98(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-60	-9	-73	0.84	44%	0.09	-29.3	1.76%	0	-1.4	35	0
7	Nov_9_2012	23.38	25.04	24.65	24.34	24.26	23.9	23.84(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-36	-110	-20	-85	0.59	44%	0.13	-28	1.76%	0	-1.8	28	0
8	Nov_8_2012	23.35	25.08	24.78	24.54	24.44	24.17	23.86(-2.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-47	-90	-32	-93	2.51	44%	0.09	-23.8	1.76%	0	-2.1	26	0
9	Nov_7_2012	23.33	25.13	24.9	24.85	24.71	24.62	24.44(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-27	-40	-11	-74	1.37	47%	0.13	-11.8	1.74%	0	-1.3	36	0
10	Nov_6_2012	23.3	25.17	25.03	24.95	24.94	24.72	24.96(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-18	-60	-4	-58	0.27	50%	0.17	-1.9	1.73%	0	-0.4	50	0

11	Nov_5_2012	23.26	25.19	25.08	24.96	25	24.81	24.58(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-25	-50	-15	-55	0.35	50%	0.13	10.7	1.74%	0	-1.2	50	0
12	Nov_2_2012	23.23	25.19	25.22	25.02	25	25.17	24.86(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	30	-2	-28	0.24	55%	0.17	15.7	1.98%	0	-0.7	53	0
13	Nov_1_2012	23.19	25.22	25.37	25.05	25.1	25.2	25.42(1.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	6	30	8	-2	0.15	58%	0.22	19.6	2.04%	0	0.4	60	0
14	Oct_31_2012	23.14	25.19	25.42	24.97	25.06	25.02	24.94(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-0	-6	1	0.21	58%	0.39	11.6	2.03%	0	-0.5	56	0
15	Oct_26_2012	23.05	25.18	25.45	25.14	25.03	25	25.02(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-20	-7	11	0.14	67%	0.17	10.4	2.08%	0	-0.3	50	0

16	Oct_25_2012	23.01	25.18	25.44	25.21	25.21	25.09	24.86(-0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-6	-30	-10	8	0.27	67%	0.13	2.7	2.22%	0	-0.5	45	0
17	Oct_24_2012	22.98	25.14	25.45	25.46	25.35	25.06	25.02(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-10	-90	-19	17	0.09	62%	0.22	11.7	2.23%	0	-0.2	51	0
18	Oct_23_2012	22.93	25.13	25.42	25.74	25.59	25.34	25.02(-2.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-5	-90	-17	33	0.18	59%	0.17	14.8	2.29%	0	-0.2	54	0
19	Oct_22_2012	22.89	25.14	25.39	25.93	25.92	25.64	25.76(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	13	-80	-0	50	0.15	62%	0.26	18.1	2.29%	0	1.1	61	0
20	Oct_19_2012	22.83	25.14	25.32	25.8	25.93	25.84	25.4(-2.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	10	-10	-2	46	0.91	57%	0.22	3.1	2.39%	0	0.5	61	0

21	Oct_18_2012	22.78	25.12	25.33	25.68	25.81	26.21	26.1(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	120	16	61	0.24	59%	0.26	-13	2.36%	0	1.8	73	0
22	Oct_17_2012	22.72	25.08	25.22	25.43	25.51	26.03	26.44(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	36	150	30	54	0.56	59%	0.26	-36.1	2.36%	0	2.5	62	0
23	Oct_16_2012	22.66	25.05	25.04	25.06	25.17	25.41	25.94(3.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	24	80	21	31	0.43	59%	0.13	-60	2.35%	0	1.8	62	0
24	Oct_15_2012	22.63	25.03	24.92	24.8	24.9	25	25.14(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	4	40	3	6	0.19	57%	0.22	-62.9	2.32%	0	0.2	49	0
25	Oct_12_2012	22.58	25.1	24.86	24.79	24.83	24.94	24.8(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-3	40	-2	-5	0.14	57%		-44.6	2.32%	0	-0.4	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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