Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 16, 2012

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $25.9400 (3.18%) ($25.5200 - $25.9600) on Tue. Oct. 16, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.35% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $25.9400(3.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(89%)    EWG(87%)    SPY(72%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(68%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.175% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(0%)    IGOV(5%)    GLD(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.175% (StdDev 2.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.06(3.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.04(3.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.05(3.55%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   39.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2% (three month std-dev: 2.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.9%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.71%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.67%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121116

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_16_2012	22.66	25.05	25.04	25.06	25.17	25.41	25.94(3.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	24	80	21	31	0.43	59%	0.13	-60	2.35%	0	1.8	62	0
2	Oct_15_2012	22.63	25.03	24.92	24.8	24.9	25	25.14(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	4	40	3	6	0.19	57%	0.22	-62.9	2.32%	0	0.2	49	0
3	Oct_12_2012	22.58	25.1	24.86	24.79	24.83	24.94	24.8(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-3	40	-2	-5	0.14	57%	0.18	-44.6	2.32%	0	-0.4	42	0
4	Oct_11_2012	22.54	25.19	24.8	24.92	24.87	24.8	24.82(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-30	-2	-11	0.25	57%	0.18	-29.3	2.34%	0	-0.5	43	0
5	Oct_10_2012	22.5	25.28	24.81	24.98	25.01	24.73	24.58(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9	-70	-7	-14	0.32	57%	0.13	-16.4	2.34%	0	-0.9	42	0

6	Oct_9_2012	22.47	25.35	24.82	25.02	25.11	24.94	24.64(-1.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-13	-40	-9	-26	0.18	57%	0.18	0	2.35%	0	-1	36	0
7	Oct_8_2012	22.43	25.4	24.87	25.05	25.12	25.3	25.1(-1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	60	5	-26	0.08	57%	0.18	13.9	2.33%	0	-0.4	41	0
8	Oct_5_2012	22.39	25.4	24.91	24.94	25.09	25.28	25.46(1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	6	70	20	-37	0.35	50%	0.22	20.4	2.35%	0	0.1	37	0
9	Oct_4_2012	22.34	25.41	24.9	24.66	24.87	24.94	25.1(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-14	50	4	-68	0.16	50%	0.22	26.1	2.43%	0	-0.4	32	0
10	Oct_3_2012	22.29	25.4	24.92	24.63	24.87	24.9	24.78(-0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-18	70	3	-81	0.1	50%	0.18	30.6	2.44%	0	-0.7	31	0

11	Oct_2_2012	22.25	25.35	25.04	24.6	24.68	24.8	24.8(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-17	40	5	-83	0.4	50%	0.14	28.8	2.45%	0	-0.6	40	0
12	Oct_1_2012	22.22	25.31	25.14	24.68	24.61	24.46	24.54(2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-50	-11	-85	0.38	50%	0.09	33.3	2.44%	0	-0.8	42	0
13	Sep_28_2012	22.2	25.27	25.35	24.88	24.79	24.56	24.06(-3.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-27	-80	-16	-60	0.31	56%	0.05	39.2	2.64%	0	-1.2	44	0
14	Sep_27_2012	22.19	25.23	25.62	25.17	25.08	24.76	24.98(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-100	-10	-36	0.33	59%	0.14	41.7	2.6%	0	-0.2	46	0
15	Sep_26_2012	22.16	25.15	25.79	25.25	25.29	25.02	24.62(-2.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-70	-18	-21	0.69	59%	0.09	40	2.6%	0	-0.5	52	0

16	Sep_25_2012	22.14	25.1	25.94	25.54	25.45	25.41	25.18(-1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-20	-9	17	0.79	55%	0.09	44.9	2.58%	0	0.1	67	0
17	Sep_24_2012	22.12	25.01	26	25.68	25.61	25.57	25.56(0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-20	-6	42	0.17	55%	0.14	46.5	2.65%	0	0.4	68	0
18	Sep_21_2012	22.09	24.89	25.97	25.9	25.72	25.5	25.5(0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-80	-13	65	1.19	51%	0.14	49.8	2.66%	0	0.5	69	0
19	Sep_20_2012	22.06	24.78	25.98	26.16	25.97	25.65	25.4(-2.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	13	-110	-16	99	0.5	51%	0.09	55.1	2.73%	0	0.4	73	0
20	Sep_19_2012	22.04	24.69	25.94	26.16	26.35	25.94	26.04(0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	28	-110	-7	132	0.2	54%	0.09	64.9	2.72%	0	1	72	0

21	Sep_18_2012	22.02	24.56	25.71	26.4	26.39	26.29	25.9(-2.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	29	-30	-7	136	0.39	52%	0.09	70.2	2.75%	0	1	71	0
22	Sep_17_2012	22	24.42	25.5	26.35	26.42	26.75	26.68(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	51	100	17	152	0.67	54%	0.09	72.4	2.75%	0	1.7	78	0
23	Sep_14_2012	21.98	24.24	25.18	26.03	26.12	26.49	26.78(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	50	110	19	143	0.39	57%	0.14	73.9	2.76%	0	2	80	0
24	Sep_13_2012	21.95	24.04	24.79	25.79	25.72	26.08	26.62(2.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	46	90	18	131	0.53	57%	0.14	79.3	2.77%	0	2.3	77	0
25	Sep_12_2012	21.92	23.83	24.45	25.42	25.54	25.75	26(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	48	70	26	115	0.35	57%		78.8	2.77%	0	2.1	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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