Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 3, 2012

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $21.7600 (7.94%) ($21.2400 - $21.8400) on Fri. Aug. 3, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.89% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $21.7600(7.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(87%)    SPY(72%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(67%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.445% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(0%)    IGOV(6%)    GLD(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.445% (StdDev 2.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.08(3.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.42(6.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.63(5.48%)
To recent high   -6.3%
To recent low   17.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 3.93% (three month std-dev: 2.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 6.23%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 6.06%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120903

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_3_2012	22.38	20.63	20.42	21.08	21.04	20.91	21.76(7.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-50	8	28	0.45	48%	-0.27	-27.5	2.89%	0	1.4	54	NAN
2	Aug_2_2012	22.44	20.59	20.22	20.97	20.96	20.73	20.16(-4.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-7	-80	-10	4	0.44	42%	-0.31	-30.3	2.71%	0	-0.5	44	NAN
3	Aug_1_2012	22.51	20.67	20.3	20.98	21.14	21.17	21.08(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	18	30	18	19	0.11	44%	-0.27	-23.9	2.69%	0	0.5	52	NAN
4	Jul_31_2012	22.57	20.74	20.27	20.56	20.88	21.18	21.08(-1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	18	150	26	-7	0.22	44%	-0.27	-22.1	2.71%	0	0.4	48	NAN
5	Jul_30_2012	22.63	20.81	20.24	20.06	20.34	21.11	21.32(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	15	310	32	-36	0.26	44%	-0.22	-24.3	2.71%	0	0.5	51	NAN

6	Jul_27_2012	22.68	20.86	20.18	19.66	19.72	20.58	21.2(4.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	10	310	34	-62	0.48	44%	-0.26	-27.9	2.71%	0	0.3	48	NAN
7	Jul_26_2012	22.74	20.84	20.14	19.4	19.27	19.56	20.22(6.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-18	90	7	-93	0.4	41%	-0.31	-35.4	2.64%	0	-0.6	42	NAN
8	Jul_25_2012	22.81	20.87	20.19	19.56	19.22	18.87	18.98(2.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-45	-180	-23	-112	0.17	39%	-0.31	-37.7	2.5%	0	-1.8	23	NAN
9	Jul_24_2012	22.88	20.95	20.42	19.94	19.7	18.98	18.56(-3.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-54	-290	-36	-109	0.43	39%	-0.39	-36.7	2.53%	0	-2.4	13	NAN
10	Jul_23_2012	22.97	21.06	20.69	20.42	20.21	19.57	19.32(-2.91%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-50	-250	-35	-96	0.45	40%	-0.35	-31.8	2.49%	0	-2.1	19	NAN

11	Jul_20_2012	23.05	21.17	20.9	20.75	20.65	20.43	19.9(-5.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-36	-90	-20	-84	0.64	41%	-0.35	-25.1	2.51%	0	-1.7	21	NAN
12	Jul_19_2012	23.13	21.23	21.03	20.98	20.89	20.86	21.02(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	-20	2	-62	0.22	43%	-0.26	-17.8	2.43%	0	-0.3	54	NAN
13	Jul_18_2012	23.19	21.28	21.09	20.93	20.87	20.87	20.92(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-17	-10	-3	-58	0.64	41%	-0.26	-9	2.44%	0	-0.5	55	NAN
14	Jul_17_2012	23.25	21.32	21.27	20.99	20.86	20.92	20.96(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-8	0	-1	-29	0.19	44%	-0.26	0	2.47%	0	-0.5	59	NAN
15	Jul_16_2012	23.31	21.33	21.42	21.01	20.93	20.88	20.94(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3	-30	-2	-5	0.14	44%	-0.3	3.6	2.52%	0	-0.5	59	NAN

16	Jul_13_2012	23.38	21.33	21.59	21.08	21.02	20.81	21.06(1.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-1	-80	-5	10	0.26	42%	-0.26	6.7	2.52%	0	-0.4	49	NAN
17	Jul_12_2012	23.44	21.36	21.58	21.09	21.12	20.98	20.78(-2.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-8	-40	-13	6	0.11	43%	-0.26	4.2	2.56%	0	-0.8	50	NAN
18	Jul_11_2012	23.5	21.35	21.59	21.28	21.23	21.24	21.22(0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-9	-0	-13	4	0.1	45%	-0.25	5.9	2.56%	0	-0.2	45	NAN
19	Jul_10_2012	23.56	21.32	21.52	21.6	21.35	21.26	21.06(-0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-8	-60	-14	10	0.16	43%	-0.08	18.4	2.58%	0	-0.4	47	NAN
20	Jul_9_2012	23.58	21.3	21.46	21.91	21.7	21.21	21.26(0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-7	-190	-17	22	0.29	43%	-0.25	29.4	2.62%	0	-0.1	54	NAN

21	Jul_6_2012	23.64	21.31	21.46	22.18	22.01	21.44	21.12(-2.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-3	-200	-16	38	0.24	43%	-0.25	49	2.63%	0	-0.2	49	NAN
22	Jul_5_2012	23.7	21.33	21.48	22.13	22.29	22.19	21.74(-4.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	13	-10	3	44	0.37	44%	-0.34	55.1	2.63%	0	0.5	56	NAN
23	Jul_3_2012	23.78	21.31	21.5	21.92	22.05	22.58	22.82(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	36	190	28	59	0.22	44%	-0.17	56.5	2.57%	0	2	65	NAN
24	Jul_2_2012	23.82	21.19	21.38	21.42	21.52	22.4	22.6(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.8	41	300	40	44	0.24	44%	-0.17	41.1	2.59%	0	2.1	62	NAN
25	Jun_29_2012	23.86	21.08	21.2	20.96	20.97	21.51	22.62(8.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	29	180	32	18	0.64	43%		21.4	2.57%	0	2.4	63	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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