Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 19, 2012

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $21.0200 (0.48%) ($20.7800 - $21.0400) on Thu. Jul. 19, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.43% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $21.0200(0.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(87%)    SPY(72%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(67%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.215% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(0%)    IGOV(6%)    GLD(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.215% (StdDev 2.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $14.52(-30.92%)
Resistance Level   $21.23
5 Day Moving Average   $20.98(0.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.03(-0.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.23(-0.99%)
To recent high   -13.3%
To recent low   5.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 3.2% (three month std-dev: 2.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120819

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_19_2012	23.13	21.23	21.03	20.98	20.89	20.86	21.02(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	-20	2	-62	0.22	43%	-0.26	-17.8	2.43%	0	-0.3	54	NAN
2	Jul_18_2012	23.19	21.28	21.09	20.93	20.87	20.87	20.92(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-17	-10	-3	-58	0.64	41%	-0.26	-9	2.44%	0	-0.5	55	NAN
3	Jul_17_2012	23.25	21.32	21.27	20.99	20.86	20.92	20.96(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-8	0	-1	-29	0.19	44%	-0.26	0	2.47%	0	-0.5	59	NAN
4	Jul_16_2012	23.31	21.33	21.42	21.01	20.93	20.88	20.94(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3	-30	-2	-5	0.14	44%	-0.3	3.6	2.52%	0	-0.5	59	NAN
5	Jul_13_2012	23.38	21.33	21.59	21.08	21.02	20.81	21.06(1.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-1	-80	-5	10	0.26	42%	-0.26	6.7	2.52%	0	-0.4	49	NAN

6	Jul_12_2012	23.44	21.36	21.58	21.09	21.12	20.98	20.78(-2.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-8	-40	-13	6	0.11	43%	-0.26	4.2	2.56%	0	-0.8	50	NAN
7	Jul_11_2012	23.5	21.35	21.59	21.28	21.23	21.24	21.22(0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-9	-0	-13	4	0.1	45%	-0.25	5.9	2.56%	0	-0.2	45	NAN
8	Jul_10_2012	23.56	21.32	21.52	21.6	21.35	21.26	21.06(-0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-8	-60	-14	10	0.16	43%	-0.08	18.4	2.58%	0	-0.4	47	NAN
9	Jul_9_2012	23.58	21.3	21.46	21.91	21.7	21.21	21.26(0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-7	-190	-17	22	0.29	43%	-0.25	29.4	2.62%	0	-0.1	54	NAN
10	Jul_6_2012	23.64	21.31	21.46	22.18	22.01	21.44	21.12(-2.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-3	-200	-16	38	0.24	43%	-0.25	49	2.63%	0	-0.2	49	NAN

11	Jul_5_2012	23.7	21.33	21.48	22.13	22.29	22.19	21.74(-4.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	13	-10	3	44	0.37	44%	-0.34	55.1	2.63%	0	0.5	56	NAN
12	Jul_3_2012	23.78	21.31	21.5	21.92	22.05	22.58	22.82(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	36	190	28	59	0.22	44%	-0.17	56.5	2.57%	0	2	65	NAN
13	Jul_2_2012	23.82	21.19	21.38	21.42	21.52	22.4	22.6(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.8	41	300	40	44	0.24	44%	-0.17	41.1	2.59%	0	2.1	62	NAN
14	Jun_29_2012	23.86	21.08	21.2	20.96	20.97	21.51	22.62(8.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	29	180	32	18	0.64	43%	-0.21	21.4	2.57%	0	2.4	63	NAN
15	Jun_28_2012	23.91	20.94	21.06	20.71	20.5	20.64	20.86(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-3	20	0	-10	0.24	37%	-0.25	5.3	2.35%	0	-0.1	47	NAN

16	Jun_27_2012	23.97	20.92	21.08	20.75	20.69	20.43	20.68(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-100	-13	-18	0.18	37%	-0.29	1.4	2.34%	0	-0.4	45	NAN
17	Jun_26_2012	24.04	20.89	21.07	21.04	20.92	20.36	20.32(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.2	-27	-200	-30	-16	0.18	39%	-0.25	5.4	2.33%	0	-1	43	NAN
18	Jun_25_2012	24.1	20.92	21.12	21.32	21.37	20.96	20.32(-4.96%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.7	-13	-130	-20	8	0.37	39%	-0.29	15.2	2.35%	0	-1	51	NAN
19	Jun_22_2012	24.17	20.94	21.12	21.44	21.67	21.48	21.38(1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-30	-6	23	0.34	41%	-0.21	22.8	2.28%	0	0.8	58	NAN
20	Jun_21_2012	24.22	20.94	21.15	21.46	21.53	21.79	21.04(-4.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	11	90	-0	44	0.62	41%	-0.21	26.5	2.27%	0	0.2	61	NAN

21	Jun_20_2012	24.27	20.91	21.19	21.44	21.51	21.86	22.12(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	41	120	31	72	0.28	43%	-0.16	27.8	2.21%	0	2.2	66	NAN
22	Jun_19_2012	24.31	20.86	21.1	21.12	21.17	21.28	21.72(3.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	27	40	16	60	0.27	43%	-0.16	16.2	2.19%	0	1.8	65	NAN
23	Jun_18_2012	24.35	20.83	20.98	20.9	20.89	21.16	20.92(-2.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	15	90	7	40	0.37	41%	-0.2	-0.5	2.14%	0	0.2	52	NAN
24	Jun_15_2012	24.4	20.82	20.95	20.82	20.78	21.06	21.5(2.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	18	90	13	34	0.34	42%	-0.2	-22.6	2.13%	0	1.5	56	NAN
25	Jun_14_2012	24.45	20.77	20.8	20.8	20.67	20.62	20.96(2.34%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	2	-40	-3	17	0.22	40%		-44.3	2.11%	0	0.4	52	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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