Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 6, 2012

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $21.4200 (4.18%) ($20.6800 - $21.4200) on Wed. Jun. 6, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.11% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $21.4200(4.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(87%)    SPY(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(67%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.055% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(-0%)    IGOV(8%)    GLD(8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.055% (StdDev 2.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $14.27(-33.38%)
5 Day Moving Average   $20.54(4.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.6(3.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.99(2.05%)
To recent high   -23.3%
To recent low   7.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 3.33% (three month std-dev: 2.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120706

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_6_2012	24.71	20.99	20.6	20.54	20.48	20.75	21.42(4.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	13	80	23	-16	0.34	41%	-0.08	-81.1	2.11%	0	0.6	56	0
2	Jun_5_2012	24.73	21.04	20.58	20.26	20.27	20.47	20.56(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	70	4	-41	0.47	37%	-0.2	-87.6	2.1%	0	-0.6	44	0
3	Jun_4_2012	24.78	21.17	20.65	20.31	20.21	20.22	20.54(3.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-11	-10	-0	-45	0.5	37%	-0.12	-80.2	2.1%	0	-0.7	36	0
4	Jun_1_2012	24.81	21.27	20.66	20.36	20.28	20.08	19.92(-1.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-28	-80	-14	-71	0.29	38%	-0.16	-84.6	2.05%	0	-1.4	23	0
5	May_31_2012	24.85	21.42	20.73	20.53	20.48	20.21	20.24(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-100	-16	-82	0.38	35%	-0.12	-84.2	2.08%	0	-1.2	24	0

6	May_30_2012	24.88	21.57	20.79	20.68	20.63	20.48	20.06(-3.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-60	-20	-91	0.37	38%	-0.12	-80	2.07%	0	-1.5	26	0
7	May_29_2012	24.91	21.77	20.89	20.93	20.8	20.75	20.78(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-28	-40	-8	-89	0.23	39%	0.04	-64.9	2.09%	0	-0.9	26	0
8	May_25_2012	24.9	21.93	20.98	21.03	20.98	20.78	20.78(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-25	-70	-1	-98	0.14	39%	-0.12	-51	2.07%	0	-1	23	0
9	May_24_2012	24.93	22.09	21.13	21	21.06	20.84	20.78(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	-60	-6	-105	0.27	39%	-0.16	-48.7	2.09%	0	-1.1	34	0
10	May_23_2012	24.97	22.25	21.29	20.95	21.04	21.18	20.98(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-28	60	0	-113	0.22	39%	-0.16	-47.3	2.1%	0	-1	32	0

11	May_22_2012	25.01	22.39	21.4	20.92	20.98	21.27	21.34(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-21	110	14	-125	1.12	39%	-0.16	-48.4	2.09%	0	-0.9	32	0
12	May_21_2012	25.05	22.48	21.53	20.84	20.87	20.89	21.28(3.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-38	10	-0	-152	0.62	39%	-0.08	-56.2	2.09%	0	-1	27	0
13	May_18_2012	25.07	22.56	21.71	20.94	20.91	20.69	20.64(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-59	-80	-23	-168	0.48	37%	-0.16	-58	2.05%	0	-1.7	21	0
14	May_17_2012	25.11	22.7	21.91	21.29	21.17	20.84	20.52(-1.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-65	-130	-31	-167	0.41	37%	-0.12	-53.8	2.06%	0	-2.1	19	0
15	May_16_2012	25.14	22.84	22.16	21.68	21.61	21.13	20.8(-0.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-58	-170	-26	-152	0.71	37%	-0.12	-55.5	2.06%	0	-2.2	24	0

16	May_15_2012	25.17	22.98	22.42	21.95	21.99	21.5	20.98(-3.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-60	-150	-33	-142	0.74	37%	-0.2	-53.8	2.07%	0	-2.4	26	0
17	May_14_2012	25.22	23.15	22.74	22.31	22.2	22.09	21.76(-2.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-46	-50	-26	-107	0.23	39%	-0.08	-45	2.03%	0	-2	42	0
18	May_11_2012	25.24	23.24	22.96	22.6	22.44	22.48	22.4(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-10	0	-64	0.2	40%	-0.08	-41.9	1.99%	0	-1.4	51	0
19	May_10_2012	25.26	23.28	23.14	22.63	22.6	22.32	22.44(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-90	-7	-56	0.21	39%	-0.08	-49.6	2.01%	0	-1.4	43	0
20	May_9_2012	25.28	23.37	23.29	22.73	22.65	22.39	22.16(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-31	-90	-26	-47	0.2	39%	-0.04	-52.4	2.03%	0	-2.1	46	0

21	May_8_2012	25.29	23.45	23.47	22.97	22.91	22.88	22.78(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-20	-15	-23	0.2	40%	-0.04	-62.2	2.01%	0	-1.3	46	0
22	May_7_2012	25.3	23.46	23.51	23.24	23.06	22.91	23.22(2.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-12	-70	-11	-16	0.26	40%	0	-77.4	2.01%	0	-0.5	43	0
23	May_4_2012	25.3	23.5	23.46	23.39	23.32	22.94	22.56(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-24	-120	-26	-19	0.24	37%	-0.04	-87.3	1.97%	0	-1.8	47	0
24	May_3_2012	25.31	23.59	23.56	23.73	23.63	23.2	22.94(-1.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-17	-140	-25	8	0.29	37%	0	-88.2	1.98%	0	-1.3	50	0
25	May_2_2012	25.31	23.68	23.58	23.93	23.9	23.7	23.34(-3.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-8	-60	-15	14	0.19	37%		-90.2	1.98%	0	-0.6	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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