Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 23, 2012

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $20.9800 (-1.69%) ($20.4800 - $21.0400) on Wed. May. 23, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.1% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $20.9800(-1.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(87%)    SPY(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(67%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.05% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(-0%)    IGOV(8%)    GLD(8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.05% (StdDev 2.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $10.89(-48.09%)
Resistance Level   $22.25
5 Day Moving Average   $20.95(0.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.29(-1.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.25(-5.71%)
To recent high   -24.9%
To recent low   2.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 5.48% (three month std-dev: 2.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 4.31%(25%) Average negative next day return: -4.02%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 4.01%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.98%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.83%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.14%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120623

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_23_2012	24.97	22.25	21.29	20.95	21.04	21.18	20.98(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-28	60	0	-113	0.22	39%	-0.16	-47.3	2.1%	0	-1	32	0
2	May_22_2012	25.01	22.39	21.4	20.92	20.98	21.27	21.34(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-21	110	14	-125	1.12	39%	-0.16	-48.4	2.09%	0	-0.9	32	0
3	May_21_2012	25.05	22.48	21.53	20.84	20.87	20.89	21.28(3.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-38	10	-0	-152	0.62	39%	-0.08	-56.2	2.09%	0	-1	27	0
4	May_18_2012	25.07	22.56	21.71	20.94	20.91	20.69	20.64(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-59	-80	-23	-168	0.48	37%	-0.16	-58	2.05%	0	-1.7	21	0
5	May_17_2012	25.11	22.7	21.91	21.29	21.17	20.84	20.52(-1.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-65	-130	-31	-167	0.41	37%	-0.12	-53.8	2.06%	0	-2.1	19	0

6	May_16_2012	25.14	22.84	22.16	21.68	21.61	21.13	20.8(-0.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-58	-170	-26	-152	0.71	37%	-0.12	-55.5	2.06%	0	-2.2	24	0
7	May_15_2012	25.17	22.98	22.42	21.95	21.99	21.5	20.98(-3.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-60	-150	-33	-142	0.74	37%	-0.2	-53.8	2.07%	0	-2.4	26	0
8	May_14_2012	25.22	23.15	22.74	22.31	22.2	22.09	21.76(-2.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-46	-50	-26	-107	0.23	39%	-0.08	-45	2.03%	0	-2	42	0
9	May_11_2012	25.24	23.24	22.96	22.6	22.44	22.48	22.4(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-10	0	-64	0.2	40%	-0.08	-41.9	1.99%	0	-1.4	51	0
10	May_10_2012	25.26	23.28	23.14	22.63	22.6	22.32	22.44(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-90	-7	-56	0.21	39%	-0.08	-49.6	2.01%	0	-1.4	43	0

11	May_9_2012	25.28	23.37	23.29	22.73	22.65	22.39	22.16(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-31	-90	-26	-47	0.2	39%	-0.04	-52.4	2.03%	0	-2.1	46	0
12	May_8_2012	25.29	23.45	23.47	22.97	22.91	22.88	22.78(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-20	-15	-23	0.2	40%	-0.04	-62.2	2.01%	0	-1.3	46	0
13	May_7_2012	25.3	23.46	23.51	23.24	23.06	22.91	23.22(2.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-12	-70	-11	-16	0.26	40%	0	-77.4	2.01%	0	-0.5	43	0
14	May_4_2012	25.3	23.5	23.46	23.39	23.32	22.94	22.56(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-24	-120	-26	-19	0.24	37%	-0.04	-87.3	1.97%	0	-1.8	47	0
15	May_3_2012	25.31	23.59	23.56	23.73	23.63	23.2	22.94(-1.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-17	-140	-25	8	0.29	37%	0	-88.2	1.98%	0	-1.3	50	0

16	May_2_2012	25.31	23.68	23.58	23.93	23.9	23.7	23.34(-3.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-8	-60	-15	14	0.19	37%	-0.04	-90.2	1.98%	0	-0.6	45	0
17	May_1_2012	25.32	23.78	23.58	24.03	24.01	24.05	24.12(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	10	9	31	0.06	39%	0	-79.9	1.94%	0	0.5	54	0
18	Apr_30_2012	25.32	23.87	23.6	23.81	23.95	24.1	24(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	60	19	33	0.1	39%	-0.08	-74.4	1.95%	0	0.2	57	0
19	Apr_27_2012	25.34	23.96	23.53	23.54	23.68	23.97	24.24(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	100	17	5	0.17	39%	0	-73.8	1.96%	0	0.3	51	0
20	Apr_26_2012	25.34	24.04	23.42	23.38	23.29	23.8	23.94(0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	11	140	20	-18	0.63	39%	-0.08	-74.8	1.95%	0	-0.1	47	0

21	Apr_25_2012	25.36	24.16	23.43	23.2	23.21	23.39	23.84(3.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	6	60	21	-38	0.18	39%	-0.12	-71.9	1.95%	0	-0.3	44	0
22	Apr_24_2012	25.39	24.3	23.4	23.13	23.04	22.79	23.02(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-36	-90	-20	-83	0.34	35%	-0.12	-69	1.9%	0	-1	35	0
23	Apr_23_2012	25.42	24.51	23.41	23.37	23.2	23.03	22.64(-3.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-40	-70	-18	-104	0.18	35%	-0.12	-63	1.9%	0	-1.3	29	0
24	Apr_20_2012	25.45	24.71	23.54	23.5	23.54	23.29	23.46(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-30	-70	-1	-117	0.1	38%	-0.08	-63.7	1.86%	0	-0.9	33	0
25	Apr_19_2012	25.47	24.87	23.62	23.46	23.55	23.38	23.04(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-55	-40	-22	-152	0.27	38%		-66.4	1.84%	0	-1.3	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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