Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 15, 2012

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $20.9800 (-3.58%) ($20.9800 - $21.5600) on Tue. May. 15, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.07% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $20.9800(-3.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -4.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(87%)    SPY(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(67%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.035% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(-0%)    IGOV(8%)    GLD(8%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.035% (StdDev 2.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $15.03(-28.36%)
Resistance Level   $22.98
5 Day Moving Average   $21.95(-4.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.42(-6.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.98(-8.7%)
To recent high   -24.9%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 3.66% (three month std-dev: 2.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 2.46%(23%) Average negative next day return: -2.93%(77%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 5.32%(23%) Average negative next three day return: -3.64%(77%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 7.28%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.85%(62%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120615

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_15_2012	25.17	22.98	22.42	21.95	21.99	21.5	20.98(-3.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-60	-150	-33	-142	0.74	37%	-0.2	-53.8	2.07%	0	-2.4	26	0
2	May_14_2012	25.22	23.15	22.74	22.31	22.2	22.09	21.76(-2.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-46	-50	-26	-107	0.23	39%	-0.08	-45	2.03%	0	-2	42	0
3	May_11_2012	25.24	23.24	22.96	22.6	22.44	22.48	22.4(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-10	0	-64	0.2	40%	-0.08	-41.9	1.99%	0	-1.4	51	0
4	May_10_2012	25.26	23.28	23.14	22.63	22.6	22.32	22.44(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-90	-7	-56	0.21	39%	-0.08	-49.6	2.01%	0	-1.4	43	0
5	May_9_2012	25.28	23.37	23.29	22.73	22.65	22.39	22.16(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-31	-90	-26	-47	0.2	39%	-0.04	-52.4	2.03%	0	-2.1	46	0

6	May_8_2012	25.29	23.45	23.47	22.97	22.91	22.88	22.78(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-20	-15	-23	0.2	40%	-0.04	-62.2	2.01%	0	-1.3	46	0
7	May_7_2012	25.3	23.46	23.51	23.24	23.06	22.91	23.22(2.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-12	-70	-11	-16	0.26	40%	0	-77.4	2.01%	0	-0.5	43	0
8	May_4_2012	25.3	23.5	23.46	23.39	23.32	22.94	22.56(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-24	-120	-26	-19	0.24	37%	-0.04	-87.3	1.97%	0	-1.8	47	0
9	May_3_2012	25.31	23.59	23.56	23.73	23.63	23.2	22.94(-1.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-17	-140	-25	8	0.29	37%	0	-88.2	1.98%	0	-1.3	50	0
10	May_2_2012	25.31	23.68	23.58	23.93	23.9	23.7	23.34(-3.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-8	-60	-15	14	0.19	37%	-0.04	-90.2	1.98%	0	-0.6	45	0

11	May_1_2012	25.32	23.78	23.58	24.03	24.01	24.05	24.12(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	10	9	31	0.06	39%	0	-79.9	1.94%	0	0.5	54	0
12	Apr_30_2012	25.32	23.87	23.6	23.81	23.95	24.1	24(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	60	19	33	0.1	39%	-0.08	-74.4	1.95%	0	0.2	57	0
13	Apr_27_2012	25.34	23.96	23.53	23.54	23.68	23.97	24.24(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	100	17	5	0.17	39%	0	-73.8	1.96%	0	0.3	51	0
14	Apr_26_2012	25.34	24.04	23.42	23.38	23.29	23.8	23.94(0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	11	140	20	-18	0.63	39%	-0.08	-74.8	1.95%	0	-0.1	47	0
15	Apr_25_2012	25.36	24.16	23.43	23.2	23.21	23.39	23.84(3.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	6	60	21	-38	0.18	39%	-0.12	-71.9	1.95%	0	-0.3	44	0

16	Apr_24_2012	25.39	24.3	23.4	23.13	23.04	22.79	23.02(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-36	-90	-20	-83	0.34	35%	-0.12	-69	1.9%	0	-1	35	0
17	Apr_23_2012	25.42	24.51	23.41	23.37	23.2	23.03	22.64(-3.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-40	-70	-18	-104	0.18	35%	-0.12	-63	1.9%	0	-1.3	29	0
18	Apr_20_2012	25.45	24.71	23.54	23.5	23.54	23.29	23.46(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-30	-70	-1	-117	0.1	38%	-0.08	-63.7	1.86%	0	-0.9	33	0
19	Apr_19_2012	25.47	24.87	23.62	23.46	23.55	23.38	23.04(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-55	-40	-22	-152	0.27	38%	-0.12	-66.4	1.84%	0	-1.3	31	0
20	Apr_18_2012	25.5	25.07	23.78	23.68	23.59	23.8	23.48(-3.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-37	50	-0	-149	0.62	39%	-0.04	-63	1.88%	0	-1.1	29	0

21	Apr_17_2012	25.51	25.26	23.97	23.7	23.68	23.73	24.22(3.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-23	10	22	-159	0.32	42%	0.04	-61.3	1.85%	0	-0.7	31	0
22	Apr_16_2012	25.5	25.44	24.15	23.46	23.68	23.39	23.32(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-62	-40	-13	-207	0.16	37%	0	-59.9	1.8%	0	-1.4	21	0
23	Apr_13_2012	25.5	25.66	24.42	23.59	23.6	23.62	23.22(-3.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-66	10	-19	-207	0.18	37%	-0.08	-56.9	1.81%	0	-1.6	27	0
24	Apr_12_2012	25.52	25.87	24.7	23.81	23.77	23.82	24.14(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-50	10	-0	-198	0.18	40%	0.04	-55.9	1.77%	0	-1.2	30	0
25	Apr_11_2012	25.51	26.01	24.95	23.92	23.88	23.58	23.6(2.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-71	-90	-26	-205	0.49	37%		-54.8	1.78%	0	-1.7	23	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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