Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 17, 2012

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $23.7400 (2.06%) ($23.6400 - $23.9000) on Tue. Jan. 17, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.32% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $23.7400(2.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(87%)    SPY(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(67%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.66% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(-1%)    IGOV(9%)    GLD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.66% (StdDev 3.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $18.6(-21.65%)
5 Day Moving Average   $23.45(1.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.52(0.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.67(0.3%)
To recent high   -20.1%
To recent low   5.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.49% (three month std-dev: 3.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120217

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_17_2012	24.93	23.67	23.52	23.45	23.46	23.46	23.74(2.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	0	7	-15	0.08	44%	-0.2	-26.5	3.32%	0	0.1	47	0
2	Jan_13_2012	24.98	23.67	23.54	23.22	23.32	23.48	23.26(-2.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	60	4	-27	0.11	44%	-0.08	-46.6	3.36%	0	-0.7	43	0
3	Jan_12_2012	25	23.67	23.61	23.11	23.2	23.45	23.82(2.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-1	90	8	-29	0.14	44%	-0.12	-75.1	3.36%	0	0.3	50	0
4	Jan_11_2012	25.03	23.66	23.57	23.02	23.02	23.15	23.24(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-14	40	-4	-42	0.05	44%	-0.12	-97.2	3.36%	0	-0.7	45	0
5	Jan_10_2012	25.06	23.71	23.65	23.26	23.07	22.95	23.18(2.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-60	-11	-31	0.17	48%	-0.12	-102	3.36%	0	-0.9	52	0

6	Jan_9_2012	25.09	23.83	23.75	23.62	23.37	22.89	22.58(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-15	-180	-16	-13	0.19	48%	-0.08	-84.3	3.45%	0	-2.1	47	0
7	Jan_6_2012	25.11	23.93	23.92	23.9	23.92	23.18	22.72(-2.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-13	-210	-18	3	0.34	48%	-0.16	-69.9	3.45%	0	-1.8	47	0
8	Jan_5_2012	25.15	24.1	24.05	24.16	24.14	23.85	23.36(-4.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-5	-90	-13	20	0.08	48%	-0.16	-60.1	3.46%	0	-1.2	53	0
9	Jan_4_2012	25.19	24.24	24.12	24.18	24.25	24.65	24.46(-2.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	120	7	31	0.05	51%	-0.12	-34.6	3.43%	0	0.3	57	0
10	Jan_3_2012	25.22	24.32	24.01	24.08	24.07	24.42	25(4.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	16	100	14	23	0.42	51%	-0.24	-21.9	3.43%	0	0.8	54	0

11	Dec_30_2011	25.28	24.34	23.84	23.92	23.83	23.85	23.98(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-1	-10	0	-5	0.07	46%	-0.08	-11.4	3.42%	0	-0.4	33	0
12	Dec_29_2011	25.3	24.41	23.78	23.97	23.87	23.72	24(2.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-4	-60	-1	-11	0.06	48%	-0.08	1.2	3.45%	0	-0.4	45	0
13	Dec_28_2011	25.32	24.48	23.71	23.94	23.94	23.81	23.46(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-13	-40	-6	-33	0.03	48%	-0.16	7.1	3.47%	0	-1	32	0
14	Dec_27_2011	25.36	24.51	23.74	24.04	23.95	24.03	23.96(-0.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-8	10	3	-42	0.03	48%	-0.2	9.6	3.47%	0	-0.5	33	0
15	Dec_23_2011	25.41	24.52	23.78	23.9	23.93	24.08	24.2(-0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	50	8	-58	0.35	50%	-0.12	1.4	3.49%	0	-0.3	35	0

16	Dec_22_2011	25.44	24.45	23.9	23.73	23.78	23.88	24.24(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	40	7	-65	0.11	50%	-0.2	-11.6	3.49%	0	-0.2	42	0
17	Dec_21_2011	25.49	24.39	23.92	23.57	23.63	23.77	23.82(-0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	50	4	-77	0.04	50%	-0.23	-23.3	3.51%	0	-0.5	40	0
18	Dec_20_2011	25.55	24.4	24.14	23.46	23.6	23.68	24(3.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-16	40	5	-77	0.08	50%	-0.23	-32.4	3.53%	0	-0.3	40	0
19	Dec_19_2011	25.61	24.42	24.35	23.41	23.5	23.49	23.26(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	10	-7	-72	0.17	50%	-0.35	-38.9	3.51%	0	-1	49	0
20	Dec_16_2011	25.7	24.51	24.65	23.64	23.66	23.53	23.34(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-40	-13	-54	0.09	50%	-0.31	-40.6	3.54%	0	-1	49	0

21	Dec_15_2011	25.78	24.58	24.88	24.1	23.92	23.5	23.44(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	-150	-13	-20	0.04	52%	-0.31	-33.7	3.54%	0	-1	59	0
22	Dec_14_2011	25.86	24.67	25.08	24.33	24.38	23.78	23.26(-2.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-18	-170	-24	0	0.21	52%	-0.39	-27.2	3.58%	0	-1.3	57	0
23	Dec_13_2011	25.96	24.78	25.33	24.92	24.76	24.33	23.76(-2.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-10	-140	-24	33	0.06	52%	-0.38	-19.5	3.59%	0	-1	52	0
24	Dec_12_2011	26.06	24.88	25.38	25.43	25.2	24.97	24.38(-4.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	3	-90	-15	56	0.15	52%	-0.34	-10.5	3.58%	0	-0.5	53	0
25	Dec_9_2011	26.15	24.98	25.37	25.8	25.62	25.19	25.64(4.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-140	-5	71	0.12	52%		1.4	3.54%	0	0.6	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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