Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 1, 2011

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $25.3800 (-0.47%) ($25.2600 - $25.7600) on Thu. Dec. 1, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.66% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $25.3800(-0.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(87%)    SPY(72%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.83% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(10%)    GLD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.83% (StdDev 3.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.3(4.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.22(4.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.02(1.44%)
To recent high   -14.5%
To recent low   14.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 4.88% (three month std-dev: 3.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.67%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.97%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 9.14%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120101

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_1_2011	26.51	25.02	24.22	24.3	24.72	25.42	25.38(-0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	13	250	27	-29	0.14	50%	-0.26	-56.8	3.66%	0	0.3	49	0
2	Nov_30_2011	26.58	25.03	24.17	23.78	24.04	24.71	25.5(6.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	4	230	21	-48	0.23	50%	-0.19	-74.7	3.65%	0	0.4	55	0
3	Nov_29_2011	26.63	25.01	24.14	23.46	23.51	24.02	24(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-13	160	8	-76	0.1	47%	-0.26	-90	3.57%	0	-0.8	35	0
4	Nov_28_2011	26.7	25.15	24.29	23.5	23.49	23.37	24(6.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-21	-40	-0	-84	0.25	47%	-0.34	-89.8	3.59%	0	-0.9	40	0
5	Nov_25_2011	26.79	25.39	24.52	23.71	23.57	23	22.6(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-40	-190	-24	-87	0.03	43%	-0.7	-70.1	3.5%	0	-1.9	35	0

6	Nov_23_2011	26.98	25.74	24.82	24.13	24.2	23.6	22.82(-4.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-37	-160	-22	-81	0.14	43%	-0.44	-50.8	3.48%	0	-1.8	32	0
7	Nov_22_2011	27.1	25.98	25.02	24.58	24.65	24.14	23.9(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-33	-140	-20	-72	0.43	45%	-0.11	-46.3	3.45%	0	-1.4	45	0
8	Nov_21_2011	27.13	26.16	25.34	24.9	24.99	24.79	24.2(-3.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-23	-50	-15	-46	0.24	45%	-0.44	-42.7	3.46%	0	-1.4	49	0
9	Nov_18_2011	27.25	26.34	25.57	25.18	25.29	25.17	25.02(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-20	-8	-37	0.06	42%	-0.37	-35.5	3.46%	0	-1	43	0
10	Nov_17_2011	27.35	26.46	25.68	25.47	25.41	25.19	24.7(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-70	-9	-43	0.14	42%	-0.36	-32.1	3.54%	0	-1.3	36	0

11	Nov_16_2011	27.45	26.57	25.91	25.62	25.73	25.42	25.08(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-70	-1	-51	0.12	42%	-0.33	-31.7	3.54%	0	-1.2	35	0
12	Nov_15_2011	27.54	26.68	25.97	25.52	25.78	25.62	25.52(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-27	-10	-12	-70	0.14	42%	-0.29	-36.8	3.55%	0	-1	45	0
13	Nov_14_2011	27.62	26.77	25.95	25.85	25.62	26.04	25.58(-3.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	90	-5	-69	0.08	42%	-0.25	-29.5	3.56%	0	-1	47	0
14	Nov_11_2011	27.69	26.82	26.08	26.03	25.94	25.94	26.48(4.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	-10	12	-61	0.11	46%	-0.25	-26.6	3.55%	0	-0.3	47	0
15	Nov_10_2011	27.76	26.89	26.29	25.94	25.95	25.21	25.42(3.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-200	-18	-69	0.21	40%	-0.32	-18.6	3.59%	0	-1.3	45	0

16	Nov_9_2011	27.85	26.97	26.7	26.26	26.08	25.93	24.6(-9.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-24	-60	-18	-42	0.25	43%	-0.43	-4.1	3.71%	0	-2.1	46	0
17	Nov_8_2011	27.97	27.13	26.7	26.46	26.52	26.69	27.16(2.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	9	50	18	-19	0.22	43%	-0.25	16.5	3.59%	0	0	51	0
18	Nov_7_2011	28.04	27.12	27.02	26.05	26.18	26.23	26.5(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-11	30	-1	-40	0.13	43%	-0.32	20.2	3.75%	0	-0.6	48	0
19	Nov_4_2011	28.13	27.14	27.15	26.15	25.85	26.35	26.02(-3.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	100	-11	-34	0.14	43%	-0.28	37.1	3.8%	0	-1	51	0
20	Nov_3_2011	28.21	27.1	27.3	26.73	26.19	26.12	27(5.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	-80	-4	-15	0.34	43%	-0.25	55.6	3.92%	0	-0.1	48	0

21	Nov_2_2011	28.28	27.02	27.28	27.27	26.74	25.35	25.6(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-23	-420	-27	-9	0.14	39%	-0.39	63.3	3.86%	0	-1.1	47	0
22	Nov_1_2011	28.39	26.97	27.45	27.67	27.71	26.27	25.12(-6.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-28	-360	-36	-2	1.08	38%	-0.35	67	3.88%	0	-1.3	43	0
23	Oct_31_2011	28.49	26.93	27.7	28.09	28.33	28.12	27(-6.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-7	-30	-16	22	0.51	40%	-0.28	67.2	3.81%	0	0	52	0
24	Oct_28_2011	28.57	26.75	27.67	28.24	28.31	29.16	28.92(-2.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	220	17	41	0.15	42%	-0.28	64.5	3.72%	0	1.3	62	0
25	Oct_27_2011	28.65	26.49	27.54	27.95	27.94	28.54	29.7(7.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	37	150	31	53	0.25	41%		65.4	3.71%	0	1.9	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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