Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 30, 2011

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $35.2200 (2.5%) ($34.4600 - $35.3400) on Thu. Jun. 30, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.83% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $35.2200(2.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(73%)    EEM(72%)    IWM(70%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.915% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    TIP(-7%)    SHY(-4%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.915% (StdDev 1.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $27.79(-21.1%)
5 Day Moving Average   $33.86(4.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.26(2.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.96(0.74%)
To recent high   -12.6%
To recent low   7.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 3.43% (three month std-dev: 1.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.44%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 2.87%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.87%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110730

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_30_2011	36.79	34.96	34.26	33.86	33.96	34.61	35.22(2.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	17	140	36	-39	0.16	40%	-0.08	-54.5	1.83%	0	0.2	50	NAN
2	Jun_29_2011	36.82	35.03	34.16	33.58	33.46	33.93	34.36(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-4	90	21	-79	0.56	37%	-0.05	-57	1.82%	0	-0.5	40	NAN
3	Jun_28_2011	36.84	35.12	34.15	33.57	33.24	33.31	33.74(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-33	-10	-8	-108	0.07	35%	-0.11	-52.3	1.8%	0	-1.1	39	NAN
4	Jun_27_2011	36.88	35.3	34.37	33.97	33.5	32.98	33.32(1.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-43	-150	-24	-101	0.18	35%	-0.08	-38.6	1.79%	0	-1.5	34	NAN
5	Jun_24_2011	36.91	35.45	34.57	34.24	34.07	33.18	32.68(-3.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-61	-200	-46	-106	0.25	35%	-0.14	-35.4	1.78%	0	-2.3	34	NAN

6	Jun_23_2011	36.96	35.63	34.83	34.7	34.5	34.02	33.78(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-52	-110	-37	-98	0.09	37%	-0.08	-36.7	1.76%	0	-1.8	33	NAN
7	Jun_22_2011	36.99	35.74	35.08	34.79	34.9	34.97	34.34(-3.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-20	20	1	-83	0.19	37%	-0.08	-43.9	1.75%	0	-1.5	39	NAN
8	Jun_21_2011	37.02	35.81	35.25	34.78	34.82	34.99	35.72(3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-18	40	6	-89	0.14	43%	-0.03	-55.3	1.68%	0	-0.1	47	NAN
9	Jun_20_2011	37.03	35.8	35.33	34.85	34.62	34.84	34.68(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	20	-5	-97	0.28	40%	-0.03	-60.8	1.68%	0	-1.3	36	NAN
10	Jun_17_2011	37.04	35.88	35.48	34.97	34.98	34.65	34.96(2.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-18	-70	5	-87	0.38	43%	-0.05	-63.3	1.69%	0	-1.1	45	NAN

11	Jun_16_2011	37.06	36	35.7	35.01	35.04	34.41	34.26(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-58	-120	-46	-95	0.1	38%	-0.05	-59.4	1.71%	0	-2	43	NAN
12	Jun_15_2011	37.08	36.15	35.96	35.42	35.37	35.31	34.28(-4.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-35	-20	-28	-57	0.34	37%	-0.05	-53.2	1.8%	0	-2.4	44	NAN
13	Jun_14_2011	37.1	36.28	36.18	35.77	35.77	35.67	36.08(2.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	-20	2	-23	0.18	40%	0	-56.8	1.7%	0	-0.3	55	NAN
14	Jun_13_2011	37.1	36.32	36.29	35.89	35.81	35.44	35.26(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-23	-80	-26	-12	0.43	37%	-0.03	-58.2	1.67%	0	-1.6	52	NAN
15	Jun_10_2011	37.11	36.41	36.4	36.08	36.19	35.87	35.16(-3.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-22	-50	-28	-2	0.14	35%	-0.03	-56.3	1.68%	0	-2	45	NAN

16	Jun_9_2011	37.12	36.52	36.5	36.5	36.43	36.19	36.32(0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-9	-50	-16	13	0.04	38%	0.03	-45.1	1.67%	0	-0.3	42	NAN
17	Jun_8_2011	37.11	36.57	36.47	36.59	36.61	36.51	36.04(-1.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-4	-20	-9	10	0.11	38%	0.05	-52.3	1.67%	0	-0.8	44	NAN
18	Jun_7_2011	37.09	36.67	36.43	36.64	36.75	36.67	36.66(1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-3	-10	-5	3	0.18	39%	-0.03	-55.5	1.66%	0	-0	49	NAN
19	Jun_6_2011	37.1	36.71	36.43	36.76	36.71	36.72	36.24(-2.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-5	-0	-6	-3	0.15	39%	0.03	-62.8	1.65%	0	-0.6	47	NAN
20	Jun_3_2011	37.09	36.77	36.43	36.75	36.87	36.83	37.26(1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	11	0	15	-2	0.13	41%	0.11	-80.9	1.62%	0	0.7	52	NAN

21	Jun_2_2011	37.05	36.79	36.31	36.51	36.71	36.69	36.76(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	10	3	-21	0.28	44%	0.08	-98.6	1.62%	0	-0	44	NAN
22	Jun_1_2011	37.02	36.9	36.32	36.33	36.5	36.91	36.28(-2.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	4	90	15	-29	0.08	42%	0.11	-92	1.62%	0	-0.7	41	NAN
23	May_31_2011	36.98	37.06	36.38	36.17	36.26	36.74	37.28(3.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	20	100	40	-40	0.26	44%	0.3	-78.2	1.61%	0	0.2	41	NAN
24	May_27_2011	36.87	37.18	36.32	35.79	35.86	36.1	36.18(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	50	14	-82	0.63	40%	0.11	-65.5	1.56%	0	-0.7	38	NAN
25	May_26_2011	36.83	37.37	36.39	35.8	35.63	35.79	36.04(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-30	20	-8	-96	0.15	40%		-55.2	1.58%	0	-0.9	39	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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