Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 23, 2011

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $36.8000 (0.22%) ($36.3800 - $36.9200) on Wed. Mar. 23, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.71% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $36.8000(0.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(74%)    EEM(72%)    IWM(70%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.855% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    TIP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.855% (StdDev 1.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.34(1.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.11(1.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.47(0.9%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   15.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.92% (three month std-dev: 1.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110423

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_23_2011	34.79	36.47	36.11	36.34	36.51		36.8(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	10	50	21	-23	0.24	53%	0.03	-21.9	1.71%	0	0.5	46	NAN
2	Mar_22_2011	34.78	36.43	36.14	35.84	36.22	36.68	36.72(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	7	120	25	-46	0.25	53%	0.03	-46.7	1.71%	0	0.4	48	NAN
3	Mar_21_2011	34.77	36.39	36.16	35.66	35.73	36.33	36.92(2.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	7	120	25	-49	0.51	53%	0.03	-59.7	1.71%	0	0.7	54	NAN
4	Mar_18_2011	34.76	36.42	36.14	35.57	35.4	35.76	35.9(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	60	14	-63	0.12	50%	0	-56.1	1.66%	0	-0.7	43	NAN
5	Mar_17_2011	34.76	36.51	36.24	35.68	35.49	35.13	35.38(3.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-90	-6	-65	0.16	48%	0.03	-44.9	1.67%	0	-1.4	42	NAN

6	Mar_16_2011	34.75	36.63	36.43	35.84	35.69	35.04	34.28(-4.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-57	-140	-53	-68	0.45	44%	-0.06	-38.4	1.64%	0	-2.9	39	NAN
7	Mar_15_2011	34.77	36.77	36.72	36.45	36.1	35.86	35.84(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-31	-80	-35	-19	0.57	46%	0.03	-27.1	1.54%	0	-1.5	51	NAN
8	Mar_14_2011	34.76	36.83	36.78	36.72	36.6	36.34	36.46(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-0	-60	-5	14	0.27	48%	0	-16.1	1.55%	0	-0.6	59	NAN
9	Mar_11_2011	34.76	36.86	36.84	36.79	36.75	36.33	36.44(0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-18	-80	-25	3	0.17	48%	0.03	-11.2	1.54%	0	-0.8	41	NAN
10	Mar_10_2011	34.75	36.89	36.88	36.88	36.96	36.87	36.2(-3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-15	-10	-20	1	0.16	48%	0	-7.2	1.56%	0	-1.2	39	NAN

11	Mar_9_2011	34.75	36.89	36.9	37.1	37.12	37.16	37.32(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	10	7	12	0.15	52%	0.09	4.1	1.5%	0	0.7	47	NAN
12	Mar_8_2011	34.72	36.94	36.77	37.03	37.1	37.05	37.16(0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	-0	5	-2	0.09	52%	0.03	-0.7	1.5%	0	0.4	52	NAN
13	Mar_7_2011	34.71	36.92	36.63	36.87	37.09	37.08	36.84(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	20	-2	-27	0.18	52%	0.06	-4.2	1.51%	0	-0.2	50	NAN
14	Mar_4_2011	34.69	36.92	36.72	36.9	37.01	37.15	36.88(-1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-3	40	2	-16	0.09	50%	0.03	9	1.52%	0	-0.1	49	NAN
15	Mar_3_2011	34.68	36.93	36.8	36.88	37.03	37.1	37.3(0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	13	30	18	-3	0.16	50%	0.06	8.3	1.52%	0	0.7	53	NAN

16	Mar_2_2011	34.66	36.92	36.82	36.66	36.88	36.88	36.98(1.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	20	8	-17	0.06	53%	0.06	4.9	1.53%	0	0.1	48	NAN
17	Mar_1_2011	34.64	36.92	36.81	36.47	36.69	36.96	36.34(-1.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	1	70	11	-30	0.34	56%	0.06	5.5	1.55%	0	-1.1	43	NAN
18	Feb_28_2011	34.62	36.94	36.87	36.35	36.48	36.88	37.02(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	2	90	14	-33	0.13	52%	0.06	-2.7	1.66%	0	0.1	52	NAN
19	Feb_25_2011	34.6	36.88	36.88	36.51	36.18	36.43	36.76(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-8	20	-1	-29	0.1	49%	0.06	0	1.69%	0	-0.2	50	NAN
20	Feb_24_2011	34.58	36.89	36.89	36.72	36.44	36.08	36.2(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-14	-90	-11	-22	0.15	49%	0.06	19	1.69%	0	-1.1	44	NAN

21	Feb_23_2011	34.56	36.9	37	37.01	36.79	35.92	36.04(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-33	-180	-38	-18	0.28	46%	0.06	40.6	1.69%	0	-1.4	39	NAN
22	Feb_22_2011	34.54	36.91	37.13	37.18	37.13	36.8	35.72(-5.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-30	-70	-36	-10	0.7	44%	0.09	57.6	1.76%	0	-2	33	NAN
23	Feb_18_2011	34.51	36.96	37.27	37.42	37.39	37.66	37.84(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	50	15	31	0.05	51%	0.12	88.8	1.62%	0	1.6	71	NAN
24	Feb_17_2011	34.47	36.88	37.17	37.28	37.16	37.46	37.82(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	24	50	20	37	0.07	51%	0.15	95	1.64%	0	1.6	76	NAN
25	Feb_16_2011	34.42	36.77	37.08	37.1	36.96	37.12	37.62(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	20	14	25	0.12	49%		95.9	1.64%	0	1.3	56	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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