Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWI: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jan. 27, 2011

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $36.8600 (1.6%) ($36.6000 - $36.9400) on Thu. Jan. 27, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.65% (three month average)
RSI   86
Latest Price   $36.8600(1.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 5.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(74%)    EEM(72%)    IWM(69%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.825% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    TIP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.825% (StdDev 1.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.41(1.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.74(3.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.24(7.65%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   22%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 4.94% (three month std-dev: 1.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 0.98%(56%) Average negative next day return: -1.41%(44%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 1.95%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.05%(50%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 2.56%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.98%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110227

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_27_2011	33.79	34.24	35.74	36.41	36.33	36.51	36.86(1.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	72	30	23	220	0.78	43%	0.18	61.1	1.65%	0	1.6	86	0
2	Jan_26_2011	33.73	34.02	35.43	36.15	36.17	36.14	36.28(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	62	-0	11	214	0.37	43%	0.18	60.2	1.64%	0	1.4	75	0
3	Jan_25_2011	33.67	33.82	35.02	35.94	35.96	36.15	36.16(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	56	40	9	198	0.39	43%	0.06	59.3	1.64%	0	1.5	75	0
4	Jan_24_2011	33.65	33.63	34.61	35.71	35.78	36.21	36.52(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	70	90	31	188	0.07	43%	0.15	60.1	1.64%	0	2	79	0
5	Jan_21_2011	33.6	33.43	34.18	35.39	35.45	35.76	36.24(1.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	68	70	34	170	0.29	43%	0.15	59.2	1.63%	0	2.1	78	0

6	Jan_20_2011	33.55	33.24	33.78	34.97	35.06	35.35	35.56(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	56	70	26	144	0.12	44%	0.15	58.6	1.62%	0	2	78	0
7	Jan_19_2011	33.5	33.08	33.5	34.59	34.77	35.13	35.24(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	65	90	43	132	0.24	42%	0.18	53.6	1.65%	0	2.2	74	0
8	Jan_18_2011	33.44	32.93	33.25	33.95	34.27	34.77	35(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	60	130	47	100	0.29	42%	0.24	35.6	1.67%	0	2.4	74	0
9	Jan_14_2011	33.36	32.78	33.02	33.32	33.52	34.41	34.92(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	56	200	52	68	0.14	42%	0.18	13.8	1.67%	0	3	71	0
10	Jan_13_2011	33.3	32.66	32.79	32.78	32.8	33.78	34.12(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	53	210	57	39	0.16	40%	0.12	-10.3	1.65%	0	2.9	64	0

11	Jan_12_2011	33.26	32.58	32.6	32.43	32.33	32.62	33.68(5.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.3	25	50	32	3	0.09	40%	0.15	-41	1.66%	0	2.9	60	0
12	Jan_11_2011	33.21	32.56	32.47	32.28	32.17	31.83	32.02(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-21	-80	-18	-29	0.06	33%	0.03	-44.2	1.52%	0	-1.6	37	0
13	Jan_10_2011	33.2	32.63	32.52	32.46	32.36	32.05	31.84(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-29	-80	-31	-22	0.08	33%	0.06	-13.3	1.52%	0	-2.1	43	0
14	Jan_7_2011	33.18	32.68	32.6	32.67	32.7	32.52	32.26(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-9	-40	-13	2	0.38	33%	0.06	4	1.52%	0	-1.3	54	0
15	Jan_6_2011	33.16	32.72	32.64	32.77	32.7	32.68	32.34(-1.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-3	-30	-7	11	0.63	33%	0.03	20	1.52%	0	-1.2	42	0

16	Jan_5_2011	33.15	32.74	32.68	32.78	32.86	32.89	32.94(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	4	10	-0	15	1.25	40%	0.03	41.3	1.5%	0	0.7	55	0
17	Jan_4_2011	33.14	32.71	32.66	32.69	32.8	33.04	32.92(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	60	13	7	0.4	38%	0.06	63.2	1.59%	0	0.7	40	0
18	Jan_3_2011	33.12	32.68	32.6	32.59	32.65	32.83	32.88(0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	7	40	13	-10	0.31	38%	0.03	71.4	1.62%	0	0.6	39	0
19	Dec_31_2010	33.11	32.67	32.6	32.52	32.53	32.56	32.76(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	10	4	-26	0.17	38%	0.06	79.6	1.63%	0	0.3	47	0
20	Dec_30_2010	33.09	32.65	32.53	32.51	32.47	32.48	32.38(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-0	-5	-31	0.22	38%	0.03	74.3	1.63%	0	-0.8	43	0

21	Dec_29_2010	33.08	32.61	32.56	32.58	32.55	32.5	32.52(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-10	-1	-27	0.02	38%	-0.06	54.3	1.63%	0	-0.2	47	0
22	Dec_28_2010	33.1	32.51	32.64	32.61	32.59	32.46	32.42(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-30	-5	-16	0.02	38%	-0.03	13.6	1.63%	0	-0.1	54	0
23	Dec_27_2010	33.11	32.45	32.74	32.6	32.65	32.59	32.54(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3	-10	-2	-4	0.04	38%	-0.03	-8.7	1.64%	0	0.1	56	0
24	Dec_23_2010	33.12	32.42	32.78	32.54	32.67	32.72	32.7(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	20	2	-6	0.2	42%	-0.03	-25.1	1.71%	0	0.4	48	0
25	Dec_22_2010	33.13	32.41	32.79	32.56	32.54	32.71	32.72(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	30	4	1	0.06	42%		-30.3	1.72%	0	0.4	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.