Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 26, 2010

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $31.9000 (-1.97%) ($31.7400 - $32.0100) on Fri. Nov. 26, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.7% (three month average)
RSI   19
Latest Price   $31.9000(-1.97%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(73%)    EEM(72%)    IWM(69%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    TIP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(12%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $25.98(-18.56%)
Resistance Level   $34.48
5 Day Moving Average   $32.94(-3.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.4(-4.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.48(-7.48%)
To recent high   -13.2%
To recent low   8.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 3.86% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 1.94%(64%) Average negative next day return: -1.28%(36%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 4.88%(45%) Average negative next three day return: -1.89%(55%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 4.53%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.05%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101226

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_26_2010	33.03	34.48	33.4	32.94	32.58	32.14	31.9(-1.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-61	-130	-36	-135	0.14	48%	0.09	-52.1	1.7%	0	-1.9	19	0
2	Nov_24_2010	33	34.68	33.67	33.41	33.15	32.46	32.54(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-56	-170	-31	-131	0.27	50%	0.12	-48.8	1.67%	0	-1.8	18	0
3	Nov_23_2010	32.96	34.83	33.94	33.6	33.6	33.01	32.32(-3.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-61	-120	-37	-132	0.54	50%	-0.03	-51.3	1.69%	0	-2.3	22	0
4	Nov_22_2010	32.97	34.99	34.26	33.83	33.86	33.83	33.54(-2.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-0	-16	-121	0.2	54%	0.15	-51.7	1.63%	0	-1.6	30	0
5	Nov_19_2010	32.92	35.11	34.47	33.96	33.9	34.19	34.42(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-19	50	9	-104	0.03	54%	0.18	-51.6	1.6%	0	-0.8	45	0

6	Nov_18_2010	32.86	35.18	34.59	33.95	33.95	33.88	34.24(2.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-22	-10	5	-104	0.37	54%	0.21	-49.8	1.66%	0	-1.1	38	0
7	Nov_17_2010	32.79	35.27	34.82	34.01	34	33.6	33.5(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-49	-80	-29	-110	0.3	51%	0.18	-49.2	1.64%	0	-2.1	31	0
8	Nov_16_2010	32.73	35.39	35.1	34.35	34.23	34.02	33.45(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-45	-50	-32	-84	0.08	51%	0.12	-40.6	1.64%	0	-2.6	39	0
9	Nov_15_2010	32.69	35.48	35.37	34.75	34.59	34.4	34.2(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-26	-50	-17	-52	0.03	54%	0.15	-31.4	1.62%	0	-2.1	42	0
10	Nov_12_2010	32.64	35.56	35.48	35.04	34.92	34.43	34.36(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-30	-110	-25	-44	0.07	54%	0.15	-11.8	1.62%	0	-2.2	40	0

11	Nov_11_2010	32.59	35.62	35.64	35.32	35.19	34.77	34.52(-2.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-41	-90	-42	-36	0.05	47%	0.15	8.5	1.62%	0	-2.4	39	0
12	Nov_10_2010	32.54	35.69	35.79	35.77	35.55	35.42	35.24(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-14	-40	-18	-2	0.63	49%	0.15	53.6	1.78%	0	-1.1	44	0
13	Nov_9_2010	32.49	35.7	35.79	35.96	35.95	35.6	35.44(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-3	-70	-7	8	0.1	49%	0.15	70.7	1.78%	0	-0.6	48	0
14	Nov_8_2010	32.44	35.67	35.8	36.07	36.02	35.69	35.64(-0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-9	-70	-17	15	0.2	49%	0.12	77.3	1.78%	0	-0.1	59	0
15	Nov_5_2010	32.4	35.63	35.81	35.98	36.15	36.3	35.78(-2.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	5	40	1	17	0.14	49%	0.15	84.3	1.78%	0	0.3	50	0

16	Nov_4_2010	32.35	35.58	35.82	35.99	36.01	36.35	36.74(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	23	70	20	30	0.33	52%	0.19	86.8	1.75%	0	2.1	61	0
17	Nov_3_2010	32.29	35.47	35.73	35.82	35.78	35.99	36.2(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	40	16	22	0.08	52%	0.16	92.4	1.74%	0	1.4	54	0
18	Nov_2_2010	32.24	35.39	35.68	35.62	35.74	35.67	36(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	-0	10	13	0.02	56%	0.22	91.2	1.74%	0	1.2	55	0
19	Nov_1_2010	32.17	35.31	35.57	35.5	35.55	35.56	35.18(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	10	-10	-1	0.06	53%	0.19	68.7	1.77%	0	-0.2	56	0
20	Oct_29_2010	32.11	35.21	35.64	35.61	35.56	35.8	35.82(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	40	7	22	0.03	56%	0.25	68.1	1.76%	0	0.8	62	0

21	Oct_28_2010	32.03	35.12	35.59	35.63	35.58	35.53	35.88(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10	5	27	0.04	56%	0.28	67.5	1.76%	0	1	61	0
22	Oct_27_2010	31.94	35.01	35.57	35.64	35.61	35.31	35.22(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-5	-60	-16	30	0.06	54%	0.25	72	1.75%	0	0.2	59	0
23	Oct_26_2010	31.86	34.92	35.59	35.75	35.8	35.63	35.4(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-30	-6	48	0.07	54%	0.28	76.5	1.76%	0	0.5	62	0
24	Oct_25_2010	31.77	34.83	35.54	35.64	35.87	35.92	35.73(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	30	1	50	0.12	54%	0.28	73.7	1.76%	0	1	67	0
25	Oct_22_2010	31.68	34.71	35.44	35.66	35.66	35.97	35.93(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	24	60	9	70	0.04	58%		76.6	1.76%	0	1.3	79	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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