Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 6, 2010

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $34.5200 (0.47%) ($34.3000 - $34.5800) on Wed. Oct. 6, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.99% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $34.5200(0.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(73%)    EEM(72%)    IWM(69%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.995% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    TIP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.995% (StdDev 1.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.88(1.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.55(2.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.95(4.76%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   19.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.73% (three month std-dev: 1.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.03%(17%) Average negative next day return: -1.17%(83%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 1.74%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.55%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 1.36%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.24%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101106

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_6_2010	30.87	32.95	33.55	33.88	33.91	34.28	34.52(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	80	27	73	0.09	64%	0.19	75.5	1.99%	0	1.7	65	0
2	Oct_5_2010	30.81	32.78	33.37	33.64	33.71	33.62	34.36(4.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	-10	10	59	0.08	64%	0.16	74.8	2%	0	1.7	63	0
3	Oct_4_2010	30.76	32.6	33.21	33.49	33.52	33.53	33.02(-2.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	0	-9	48	0.11	61%	0.13	84.1	1.96%	0	0.5	55	0
4	Oct_1_2010	30.72	32.54	33.18	33.51	33.58	33.81	33.88(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	50	12	62	0.06	64%	0.13	93.5	1.93%	0	1.6	65	0
5	Sep_30_2010	30.68	32.41	32.99	33.44	33.42	33.52	33.6(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	20	15	64	0.88	64%	0.07	105.1	1.95%	0	1.5	69	0

6	Sep_29_2010	30.66	32.28	32.87	33.16	33.32	33.35	33.36(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	20	8	56	0.08	58%	0.07	104.3	1.95%	0	1.3	69	0
7	Sep_28_2010	30.64	32.11	32.77	33.04	33.06	33.32	33.58(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	60	6	59	0.04	58%	0.07	89.8	2.06%	0	1.6	73	0
8	Sep_27_2010	30.62	31.91	32.66	32.89	32.96	33.3	33.14(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	80	17	72	0.08	58%	0.13	75.2	2.06%	0	1.2	73	0
9	Sep_24_2010	30.58	31.77	32.57	32.79	32.86	32.8	33.5(4.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	-10	17	72	0.16	58%	0.2	73.4	2.06%	0	1.7	63	0
10	Sep_23_2010	30.52	31.57	32.38	32.48	32.61	32.63	32.2(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	20	-7	50	0.05	53%	0.03	61.1	2.04%	0	0.6	59	0

11	Sep_22_2010	30.51	31.45	32.31	32.52	32.55	32.92	32.79(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	80	12	65	0.24	53%	0.03	50.4	2.02%	0	1.2	68	0
12	Sep_21_2010	30.5	31.29	32.15	32.46	32.39	32.6	32.84(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	29	40	14	75	0.34	53%	-0.03	39.3	2.05%	0	1.4	76	0
13	Sep_20_2010	30.51	31.15	31.95	32.4	32.39	32.6	32.62(2.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	22	-30	2	81	0.28	53%	-0.03	35.4	2.05%	0	1.3	77	0
14	Sep_17_2010	30.52	31.02	31.86	32.33	32.25	32.18	31.96(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	22	-20	-1	92	0.04	51%	-0.07	31.1	2.04%	0	0.9	64	0
15	Sep_16_2010	30.54	30.95	31.8	32.24	32.3	32.32	32.4(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	10	9	109	0.01	51%	-0.03	25.5	2.03%	0	1.4	71	0

16	Sep_15_2010	30.55	30.9	31.66	32.04	32.11	32.33	32.46(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	50	12	115	0.03	57%	-0.03	21.8	2.03%	0	1.6	72	0
17	Sep_14_2010	30.56	30.85	31.4	31.78	31.93	32.28	32.56(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	43	90	23	104	0.04	57%	-0.13	5.3	2.15%	0	1.8	73	0
18	Sep_13_2010	30.6	30.77	31.09	31.43	31.63	31.9	32.26(2.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	30	80	14	79	0.06	57%	-0.13	-18.1	2.16%	0	1.8	64	0
19	Sep_10_2010	30.64	30.7	30.89	31.33	31.32	31.59	31.54(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	60	5	74	0.04	60%	-0.13	-37.4	2.15%	0	1.1	61	0
20	Sep_9_2010	30.68	30.7	30.71	31.3	31.37	31.37	31.4(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	10	11	65	0.02	60%	-0.2	-50.8	2.26%	0	0.9	55	0

21	Sep_8_2010	30.74	30.69	30.52	31.22	31.29	31.04	31.12(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	-50	1	42	0.03	60%	-0.19	-65.4	2.26%	0	0.5	45	0
22	Sep_7_2010	30.8	30.8	30.36	30.94	31.22	31.38	30.84(-2.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	10	60	8	15	0.12	60%	-0.36	-60.1	2.26%	0	0	43	0
23	Sep_3_2010	30.91	30.92	30.29	30.67	30.92	31.54	31.76(1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	18	160	24	0	0.04	56%	-0.19	-53.7	2.38%	0	0.7	52	0
24	Sep_2_2010	30.97	31	30.12	30.38	30.41	31.07	31.39(1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	18	150	30	-19	0.03	59%	-0.23	-53.5	2.38%	0	0.3	50	0
25	Sep_1_2010	31.04	31.09	30.02	30.03	30.09	30.31	31(4.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	6	60	23	-44	0.04	59%		-54.1	2.4%	0	-0.1	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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