Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 4, 2010

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $33.7400 (-0.35%) ($33.5400 - $34.0200) on Wed. Aug. 4, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.31% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $33.7400(-0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(74%)    EEM(72%)    IWM(69%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.655% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    TIP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.655% (StdDev 3.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.36(1.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.83(2.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.96(5.57%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   27.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 3.41% (three month std-dev: 3.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 2.22%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.44%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 3.4%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100904

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_4_2010	32.09	31.96	32.83	33.36	33.41	33.79	33.74(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	80	8	74	0.05	51%	-0.12	107.6	3.31%	0	1.6	64	0
2	Aug_3_2010	32.13	31.79	32.5	33.11	33.2	33.7	33.86(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	110	16	64	0.37	51%	-0.06	106.5	3.4%	0	1.8	66	0
3	Aug_2_2010	32.15	31.55	32.21	32.9	32.89	33.03	33.82(3.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	23	30	12	55	0.06	51%	-0.09	109.9	3.4%	0	2.1	64	0
4	Jul_30_2010	32.18	31.28	31.93	32.59	32.69	32.69	32.62(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	13	10	3	44	0.04	50%	-0.12	92.6	3.39%	0	1.2	63	0
5	Jul_29_2010	32.22	31.07	31.73	32.43	32.59	32.76	32.76(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	50	8	40	0.48	51%	-0.09	79.7	3.4%	0	1.4	63	0

6	Jul_28_2010	32.25	30.82	31.6	32.22	32.25	32.68	32.48(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	100	14	40	0.03	51%	-0.12	59.8	3.41%	0	1.2	62	0
7	Jul_27_2010	32.29	30.59	31.48	31.77	31.98	32.43	32.84(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	120	21	33	0.22	48%	-0.09	40.3	3.41%	0	1.5	68	0
8	Jul_26_2010	32.32	30.41	31.32	31.4	31.42	31.81	32.27(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	90	11	31	0.06	48%	-0.12	30.2	3.47%	0	1.3	74	0
9	Jul_23_2010	32.36	30.26	31.18	31.17	31.05	31.53	31.8(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	100	13	38	0.14	48%	-0.09	20.9	3.47%	0	1.2	75	0
10	Jul_22_2010	32.39	30.12	31.09	30.93	30.93	31.02	31.7(4.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	20	8	42	0.53	47%	-0.12	10	3.47%	0	1.2	75	0

11	Jul_21_2010	32.43	30.02	31	30.9	30.8	30.57	30.24(-2.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	6	-60	-10	53	0.03	45%	-0.12	6.8	3.41%	0	0.2	74	0
12	Jul_20_2010	32.47	30.01	31.04	31.13	31.03	30.83	31(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-50	-6	79	0.07	46%	-0.09	8.2	3.4%	0	0.8	79	0
13	Jul_19_2010	32.5	29.99	30.85	31.22	31.2	31.03	31.12(1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-40	-2	85	0.15	46%	-0.09	15.6	3.41%	0	0.9	63	0
14	Jul_16_2010	32.53	29.98	30.6	31.17	31.27	31.22	30.58(-3.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	18	-0	-3	80	0.26	44%	-0.09	22.9	3.41%	0	0.5	58	0
15	Jul_15_2010	32.56	29.99	30.41	31.25	31.21	31.36	31.58(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	30	5	85	0.06	44%	-0.09	33.9	3.4%	0	1.3	67	0

16	Jul_14_2010	32.59	29.94	30.02	31.11	31.03	31.32	31.36(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	60	8	70	0.41	45%	-0.09	47.1	3.4%	0	1.2	58	0
17	Jul_13_2010	32.62	29.91	29.66	30.94	30.89	31.05	31.46(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	30	17	56	0.56	45%	-0.09	60.3	3.41%	0	1.3	56	0
18	Jul_12_2010	32.65	29.8	29.42	30.43	30.53	30.75	30.88(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	60	14	30	0.03	45%	-0.12	62.9	3.4%	0	0.9	48	0
19	Jul_9_2010	32.69	29.7	29.26	29.94	30.11	30.74	30.98(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	160	22	7	0.3	46%	-0.12	60.5	3.41%	0	1.1	46	0
20	Jul_8_2010	32.73	29.57	29.05	29.42	29.53	30.31	30.86(1.11%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.3	19	200	31	-17	0.12	46%	-0.12	47.2	3.41%	0	1.2	47	0

21	Jul_7_2010	32.77	29.38	28.92	28.77	28.91	29.49	30.52(5.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	9	160	27	-45	0.15	45%	-0.15	21.5	3.41%	0	0.9	46	0
22	Jul_6_2010	32.82	29.21	28.85	28.22	28.4	28.75	28.92(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-14	110	7	-78	0.08	43%	-0.15	5.4	3.34%	0	-0.2	32	0
23	Jul_2_2010	32.87	29.1	29.02	28.27	28.15	28.34	28.4(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-20	30	-2	-75	0.06	43%	-0.18	-0.4	3.3%	0	-0.5	46	0
24	Jul_1_2010	32.93	29.03	29.28	28.48	28.37	28.06	28.4(2.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-90	-4	-58	0.08	44%	-0.21	-4.7	3.33%	0	-0.4	50	0
25	Jun_30_2010	33	29.05	29.53	28.62	28.63	27.96	27.6(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-31	-160	-24	-50	0.03	44%		2.1	3.29%	0	-1	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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