Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sun. May. 9, 2010

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $28.5000 (1.14%) ($27.6200 - $29.3800) on Sun. May. 9, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.99% (three month average)
RSI   18
Latest Price   $28.5000(1.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -3.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -8.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.995% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.995% (StdDev 1.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $16.61(-41.72%)
Resistance Level   $34.49
5 Day Moving Average   $30.63(-6.95%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.23(-11.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.49(-17.37%)
To recent high   -25%
To recent low   1.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 8.23% (three month std-dev: 1.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 7.65%(50%) Average negative next day return: -4.86%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 9.05%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -5.78%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 4.7%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -11.49%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100609

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_7_2010	36.39	34.49	32.23	30.63	30.17	28.85	28.5(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-131	-350	-79	-286	0.69	38%	-0.27	-54.1	1.99%	0	-2.1	18	0
2	May_6_2010	36.49	34.92	33.02	31.63	31.48	29.94	28.18(-8.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-133	-360	-93	-251	0.2	38%	-0.33	-53.1	2%	0	-2.7	15	0
3	May_5_2010	36.61	35.35	33.83	32.8	32.68	31.5	30.68(-3.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-115	-260	-76	-231	0.04	43%	-0.25	-53.7	1.74%	0	-2.4	17	0
4	May_4_2010	36.7	35.65	34.44	33.35	33.46	33.01	31.88(-5.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-86	-80	-45	-208	0.24	42%	-0.22	-55.9	1.7%	0	-2.3	19	0
5	May_3_2010	36.78	35.92	34.96	33.73	33.83	33.86	33.9(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-60	20	-18	-184	0.24	46%	-0.14	-57.5	1.67%	0	-1.4	31	0

6	Apr_30_2010	36.83	36.1	35.21	34.12	34.01	33.9	33.52(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-62	-30	-25	-173	0.05	51%	-0.16	-50.1	1.7%	0	-1.9	28	0
7	Apr_29_2010	36.89	36.29	35.54	34.66	34.52	33.81	34.02(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-60	-160	-31	-148	0.07	51%	-0.14	-39.5	1.71%	0	-1.8	36	0
8	Apr_28_2010	36.94	36.43	35.92	35.05	35.01	34.12	33.42(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-80	-180	-64	-128	0.07	47%	-0.16	-32.5	1.69%	0	-2.7	37	0
9	Apr_27_2010	37	36.59	36.39	35.7	35.53	35.23	33.8(-5.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-55	-70	-49	-74	0.11	47%	-0.19	-21.4	1.72%	0	-3.2	38	0
10	Apr_26_2010	37.07	36.75	36.76	36.34	36.04	35.9	35.82(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-10	-50	-6	-23	0.04	52%	-0.11	0.6	1.57%	0	-1.6	43	0

11	Apr_23_2010	37.11	36.79	36.91	36.45	36.29	35.82	36.22(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-100	-17	-21	0.06	54%	-0.13	8.2	1.58%	0	-1.1	43	0
12	Apr_22_2010	37.16	36.78	36.97	36.57	36.39	36.18	36(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-35	-60	-37	-27	0.04	51%	-0.11	7.9	1.59%	0	-1.4	42	0
13	Apr_21_2010	37.2	36.79	36.99	36.94	36.71	36.76	36.66(-0.87%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-7	-10	-9	1	0.12	50%	-0.11	17.4	1.6%	0	-0.2	53	0
14	Apr_20_2010	37.24	36.78	36.99	37.21	36.99	36.59	36.98(1.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-90	-7	15	0.05	47%	-0.08	27.7	1.64%	0	0.4	56	0
15	Apr_19_2010	37.27	36.78	36.96	37.26	37.21	36.65	36.38(-1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-21	-110	-32	11	0.05	46%	-0.08	30.4	1.67%	0	-0.6	49	0

16	Apr_16_2010	37.3	36.75	37.05	37.44	37.46	37.39	36.84(-2.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	1	-10	-11	37	0.05	46%	0	37.3	1.67%	0	0.2	55	0
17	Apr_15_2010	37.3	36.74	37.09	37.4	37.51	37.76	37.86(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	60	24	62	0.06	46%	-0.11	38	1.65%	0	1.9	69	0
18	Apr_14_2010	37.34	36.69	36.95	37.04	37.18	37.54	37.98(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	33	80	28	48	0.39	46%	-0.05	29.2	1.68%	0	2.4	70	0
19	Apr_13_2010	37.36	36.62	36.78	36.69	36.71	37.27	37.26(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.3	22	110	20	26	0.08	44%	-0.11	22.2	1.66%	0	1.5	57	0
20	Apr_12_2010	37.4	36.57	36.72	36.63	36.47	36.83	37.26(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	23	60	22	27	0.18	44%	-0.08	21.4	1.67%	0	1.7	59	0

21	Apr_9_2010	37.43	36.53	36.64	36.64	36.34	36.15	36.66(1.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-60	-6	19	0.04	44%	-0.11	28.8	1.66%	0	0.3	55	0
22	Apr_8_2010	37.47	36.52	36.64	36.74	36.54	36.12	36.04(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-12	-100	-20	13	0.08	41%	-0.16	53.8	1.66%	0	-1.3	43	0
23	Apr_7_2010	37.53	36.54	36.57	36.83	36.82	36.53	36.24(-1.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-8	-60	-14	11	0.06	41%	-0.13	79.2	1.66%	0	-0.8	41	0
24	Apr_6_2010	37.58	36.53	36.6	36.86	36.85	36.96	36.96(-0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	2	20	-2	15	0.21	43%	-0.13	96.3	1.64%	0	1.1	51	0
25	Apr_5_2010	37.63	36.49	36.53	36.8	36.79	37.11	37.28(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	20	60	20	20	0.01	43%		120.2	1.64%	0	2.1	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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