Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 28, 2010

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $33.4200 (-1.12%) ($32.9800 - $34.1600) on Wed. Apr. 28, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.69% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $33.4200(-1.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(74%)    EEM(73%)    VWO(71%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.845% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    TIP(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    GLD(7%)    LQD(11%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.845% (StdDev 1.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $29.6(-11.43%)
Resistance Level   $36.43
5 Day Moving Average   $35.05(-4.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.92(-6.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.43(-8.26%)
To recent high   -12%
To recent low   0.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 3.05% (three month std-dev: 1.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.94%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.21%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.12%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.4%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100528

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_28_2010	36.94	36.43	35.92	35.05	35.01	34.12	33.42(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-80	-180	-64	-128	0.07	47%	-0.16	-32.5	1.69%	0	-2.7	37	0
2	Apr_27_2010	37	36.59	36.39	35.7	35.53	35.23	33.8(-5.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-55	-70	-49	-74	0.11	47%	-0.19	-21.4	1.72%	0	-3.2	38	0
3	Apr_26_2010	37.07	36.75	36.76	36.34	36.04	35.9	35.82(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-10	-50	-6	-23	0.04	52%	-0.11	0.6	1.57%	0	-1.6	43	0
4	Apr_23_2010	37.11	36.79	36.91	36.45	36.29	35.82	36.22(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-100	-17	-21	0.06	54%	-0.13	8.2	1.58%	0	-1.1	43	0
5	Apr_22_2010	37.16	36.78	36.97	36.57	36.39	36.18	36(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-35	-60	-37	-27	0.04	51%	-0.11	7.9	1.59%	0	-1.4	42	0

6	Apr_21_2010	37.2	36.79	36.99	36.94	36.71	36.76	36.66(-0.87%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-7	-10	-9	1	0.12	50%	-0.11	17.4	1.6%	0	-0.2	53	0
7	Apr_20_2010	37.24	36.78	36.99	37.21	36.99	36.59	36.98(1.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-90	-7	15	0.05	47%	-0.08	27.7	1.64%	0	0.4	56	0
8	Apr_19_2010	37.27	36.78	36.96	37.26	37.21	36.65	36.38(-1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-21	-110	-32	11	0.05	46%	-0.08	30.4	1.67%	0	-0.6	49	0
9	Apr_16_2010	37.3	36.75	37.05	37.44	37.46	37.39	36.84(-2.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	1	-10	-11	37	0.05	46%	0	37.3	1.67%	0	0.2	55	0
10	Apr_15_2010	37.3	36.74	37.09	37.4	37.51	37.76	37.86(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	60	24	62	0.06	46%	-0.11	38	1.65%	0	1.9	69	0

11	Apr_14_2010	37.34	36.69	36.95	37.04	37.18	37.54	37.98(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	33	80	28	48	0.39	46%	-0.05	29.2	1.68%	0	2.4	70	0
12	Apr_13_2010	37.36	36.62	36.78	36.69	36.71	37.27	37.26(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.3	22	110	20	26	0.08	44%	-0.11	22.2	1.66%	0	1.5	57	0
13	Apr_12_2010	37.4	36.57	36.72	36.63	36.47	36.83	37.26(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	23	60	22	27	0.18	44%	-0.08	21.4	1.67%	0	1.7	59	0
14	Apr_9_2010	37.43	36.53	36.64	36.64	36.34	36.15	36.66(1.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-60	-6	19	0.04	44%	-0.11	28.8	1.66%	0	0.3	55	0
15	Apr_8_2010	37.47	36.52	36.64	36.74	36.54	36.12	36.04(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-12	-100	-20	13	0.08	41%	-0.16	53.8	1.66%	0	-1.3	43	0

16	Apr_7_2010	37.53	36.54	36.57	36.83	36.82	36.53	36.24(-1.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-8	-60	-14	11	0.06	41%	-0.13	79.2	1.66%	0	-0.8	41	0
17	Apr_6_2010	37.58	36.53	36.6	36.86	36.85	36.96	36.96(-0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	2	20	-2	15	0.21	43%	-0.13	96.3	1.64%	0	1.1	51	0
18	Apr_5_2010	37.63	36.49	36.53	36.8	36.79	37.11	37.28(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	20	60	20	20	0.01	43%	-0.21	120.2	1.64%	0	2.1	61	0
19	Apr_1_2010	37.71	36.42	36.42	36.64	36.64	36.73	37.2(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	17	20	19	9	0.08	46%	-0.11	113.7	1.65%	0	1.7	57	0
20	Mar_31_2010	37.75	36.32	36.36	36.38	36.48	36.48	36.48(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-0	10	3	-10	0.1	43%	-0.13	102.2	1.64%	0	0.3	51	0

21	Mar_30_2010	37.8	36.25	36.41	36.27	36.39	36.56	36.4(-0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	40	5	-9	0.04	43%	-0.13	81	1.65%	0	0.2	52	0
22	Mar_29_2010	37.85	36.16	36.44	36.29	36.22	36.48	36.66(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	40	12	3	0.02	43%	-0.08	71.4	1.64%	0	0.7	60	0
23	Mar_26_2010	37.88	36.04	36.44	36.21	36.15	36.22	36.48(1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	8	10	11	-1	0.05	43%	-0.11	57.3	1.63%	0	0.5	54	0
24	Mar_25_2010	37.92	35.92	36.41	36.17	36.05	35.96	35.9(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-30	-10	-8	0.01	43%	-0.08	45.6	1.63%	0	-0	50	0
25	Mar_24_2010	37.95	35.82	36.47	36.34	36.1	36.07	35.92(-1.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-7	-30	-14	13	0.04	43%		42.5	1.64%	0	0.1	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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