Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 2, 2010

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $34.3800 (0.76%) ($34.1400 - $34.5400) on Tue. Mar. 2, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.61% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $34.3800(0.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    EEM(74%)    SPY(74%)    VWO(71%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.805% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    TIP(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.805% (StdDev 1.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $29.47(-14.28%)
Resistance Level   $34.57
5 Day Moving Average   $34.08(0.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.39(-0.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.57(-0.55%)
To recent high   -15.9%
To recent low   3.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.52% (three month std-dev: 1.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.09%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.48%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.05%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100402

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_2_2010	38.82	34.57	34.39	34.08	33.89	34.19	34.38(0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	6	50	14	-20	0.03	33%	-0.21	-59.9	1.61%	0	-0.2	48	NAN
2	Mar_1_2010	38.9	34.65	34.43	33.99	33.83	33.87	34.12(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	-10	2	-15	0.06	36%	-0.18	-63.8	1.61%	0	-0.6	62	NAN
3	Feb_26_2010	38.97	34.72	34.44	34.14	33.88	33.59	33.96(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-80	-18	-11	0.03	34%	-0.2	-66.4	1.69%	0	-0.8	54	NAN
4	Feb_25_2010	39.05	34.81	34.5	34.34	34.2	33.79	33.76(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-100	-26	-3	0.03	34%	-0.2	-69.2	1.7%	0	-1.1	45	NAN
5	Feb_24_2010	39.13	34.95	34.59	34.6	34.52	34.17	34.2(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-80	-21	-4	0.02	34%	-0.18	-67.5	1.7%	0	-0.7	35	NAN

6	Feb_23_2010	39.2	35.09	34.63	34.74	34.72	34.61	33.92(-2.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-18	-20	-18	-18	0.05	36%	-0.15	-71.7	1.7%	0	-1.1	30	NAN
7	Feb_22_2010	39.26	35.26	34.58	34.93	34.91	34.88	34.84(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	1	-10	9	-24	0.02	38%	-0.13	-72.9	1.69%	0	-0.4	41	NAN
8	Feb_19_2010	39.31	35.35	34.48	34.78	34.8	34.83	35(-0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	10	4	-50	0.05	35%	-0.13	-89.9	1.7%	0	-0.3	48	NAN
9	Feb_18_2010	39.36	35.48	34.43	34.68	34.59	34.95	35.04(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	70	12	-64	0.04	35%	-0.15	-95.9	1.72%	0	-0.3	46	NAN
10	Feb_17_2010	39.42	35.65	34.54	34.58	34.4	34.77	34.88(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	60	20	-70	0.04	35%	-0.15	-91.5	1.72%	0	-0.5	40	NAN

11	Feb_16_2010	39.48	35.89	34.73	34.52	34.29	34.22	34.88(2.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	-30	17	-77	0.08	35%	-0.15	-80.7	1.72%	0	-0.6	38	NAN
12	Feb_12_2010	39.54	36.13	34.86	34.18	34.26	34.04	34.12(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-33	-40	-6	-115	0.04	31%	-0.15	-80	1.71%	0	-1.1	33	NAN
13	Feb_11_2010	39.6	36.46	34.99	34.12	34.17	34.36	34.48(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-34	40	-2	-131	0.05	31%	-0.18	-73.1	1.71%	0	-0.9	39	NAN
14	Feb_10_2010	39.67	36.76	35.12	34.13	34.09	34.47	34.52(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-38	70	-2	-147	0.03	31%	-0.15	-68	1.72%	0	-1	35	NAN
15	Feb_9_2010	39.73	37.04	35.34	34.52	34.24	33.98	34.58(4.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-52	-80	-19	-152	0.28	35%	-0.15	-62.6	1.72%	0	-1.1	32	NAN

16	Feb_8_2010	39.79	37.35	35.59	35.02	34.82	33.71	33.22(-1.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-88	-240	-59	-173	0.09	30%	-0.2	-54.5	1.68%	0	-1.8	20	NAN
17	Feb_5_2010	39.87	37.72	36.02	35.63	35.65	34.51	33.78(-2.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-90	-220	-64	-166	0.1	33%	-0.18	-48.5	1.67%	0	-1.8	23	NAN
18	Feb_4_2010	39.94	38.05	36.33	35.96	36.23	35.92	34.54(-5.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-71	-40	-37	-174	0.07	34%	-0.17	-46.7	1.68%	0	-1.7	23	NAN
19	Feb_3_2010	40.01	38.34	36.66	36.21	36.37	36.79	36.5(-1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-39	90	9	-183	0.02	38%	-0.1	-46.3	1.55%	0	-1	28	NAN
20	Feb_2_2010	40.05	38.51	36.87	36.27	36.22	36.54	37.08(2.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-33	60	20	-192	0.07	39%	-0.07	-45.8	1.54%	0	-0.8	34	NAN

21	Feb_1_2010	40.08	38.65	37.14	36.28	36.16	35.95	36.26(2.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-62	-50	-11	-216	0.06	36%	-0.1	-45.2	1.52%	0	-1.3	26	NAN
22	Jan_29_2010	40.12	38.8	37.48	36.5	36.38	35.9	35.4(-1.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-77	-100	-33	-210	0.14	35%	-0.12	-43.8	1.6%	0	-1.9	23	NAN
23	Jan_28_2010	40.17	39.02	38.02	36.77	36.83	36.38	35.8(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-70	-80	-32	-184	0.09	32%	-0.07	-43.5	1.68%	0	-2	27	NAN
24	Jan_27_2010	40.2	39.22	38.52	37.15	37.11	36.87	36.8(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-63	-50	-31	-159	0.02	33%	-0.07	-40.6	1.7%	0	-1.8	32	NAN
25	Jan_26_2010	40.23	39.37	38.86	37.54	37.49	37.29	37.14(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-56	-40	-28	-139	0.04	31%		-32.7	1.71%	0	-1.8	34	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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