Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 28, 2010

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $35.8000 (-2.72%) ($35.5000 - $36.5400) on Thu. Jan. 28, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.68% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $35.8000(-2.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -4.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(75%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(71%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.84% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(11%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.84% (StdDev 1.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $29.59(-17.35%)
Resistance Level   $39.02
5 Day Moving Average   $36.77(-2.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.02(-5.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.02(-8.25%)
To recent high   -14.5%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 4.05% (three month std-dev: 1.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 1.88%(44%) Average negative next day return: -1.99%(56%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 1.49%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -4.48%(33%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 3.19%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.71%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100228

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_28_2010	40.17	39.02	38.02	36.77	36.83	36.38	35.8(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-70	-80	-32	-184	0.09	32%	-0.07	-43.5	1.68%	0	-2	27	NAN
2	Jan_27_2010	40.2	39.22	38.52	37.15	37.11	36.87	36.8(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-63	-50	-31	-159	0.02	33%	-0.07	-40.6	1.7%	0	-1.8	32	NAN
3	Jan_26_2010	40.23	39.37	38.86	37.54	37.49	37.29	37.14(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-56	-40	-28	-139	0.04	31%	-0.07	-32.7	1.71%	0	-1.8	34	NAN
4	Jan_25_2010	40.26	39.5	39.23	38.14	37.94	37.35	37.38(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-52	-120	-34	-105	0.02	31%	0	-18.9	1.74%	0	-1.9	36	NAN
5	Jan_22_2010	40.26	39.6	39.56	38.64	38.48	37.7	36.72(-2.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-66	-150	-60	-82	0.07	28%	-0.02	-8.7	1.74%	0	-2.8	39	NAN

6	Jan_21_2010	40.27	39.72	39.93	39.47	39.19	38.53	37.72(-2.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-46	-140	-50	-33	0.1	29%	0.02	16.5	1.72%	0	-2.6	42	NAN
7	Jan_20_2010	40.26	39.72	40.19	40.08	39.83	39.26	38.76(-3.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.2	-24	-120	-34	7	0.09	31%	0.05	45.1	1.69%	0	-1.7	46	NAN
8	Jan_19_2010	40.24	39.79	40.32	40.36	40.27	39.86	40.12(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-10	-80	-23	29	0.03	33%	0.1	53.6	1.65%	0	0.5	56	NAN
9	Jan_15_2010	40.2	39.71	40.3	40.5	40.41	40.41	39.86(-2.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-1	-10	-16	44	0.03	33%	0.02	48.9	1.64%	0	0.2	57	NAN
10	Jan_14_2010	40.19	39.69	40.24	40.62	40.62	40.68	40.9(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	10	14	64	0.04	38%	0.07	52.9	1.61%	0	1.6	71	NAN

11	Jan_13_2010	40.16	39.59	40.08	40.48	40.52	40.42	40.74(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10	3	59	0.03	38%	0.05	52.3	1.64%	0	1.7	74	NAN
12	Jan_12_2010	40.14	39.52	39.96	40.34	40.37	40.56	40.16(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	16	40	2	59	0.14	38%	0.07	45.1	1.63%	0	1	67	NAN
13	Jan_11_2010	40.11	39.46	39.91	40.28	40.29	40.61	40.82(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	36	60	23	75	0.01	38%	0.1	35.6	1.63%	0	2.2	80	NAN
14	Jan_8_2010	40.07	39.37	39.75	40.08	40.05	40.19	40.48(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	32	20	18	72	0.23	38%	0.1	21.4	1.63%	0	2	77	NAN
15	Jan_7_2010	40.03	39.3	39.61	39.79	39.92	39.96	40.2(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	20	10	52	0.08	38%	0.1	-5.7	1.63%	0	1.9	58	NAN

16	Jan_6_2010	39.99	39.3	39.46	39.63	39.74	39.91	40.02(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	40	7	41	0.07	40%	0.1	-32.7	1.63%	0	1.8	61	NAN
17	Jan_5_2010	39.95	39.23	39.34	39.53	39.58	39.87	39.9(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	60	12	33	0.04	43%	0.13	-36.4	1.65%	0	1.7	53	NAN
18	Jan_4_2010	39.9	39.24	39.2	39.47	39.52	39.57	39.82(2.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	10	13	25	0.06	43%	0.15	-29.8	1.67%	0	1.4	56	NAN
19	Dec_31_2009	39.84	39.25	39.07	39.37	39.43	39.3	39.02(-0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-3	-20	-6	8	0.01	38%	0.08	-36.2	1.65%	0	-0.5	49	NAN
20	Dec_30_2009	39.81	39.32	39.1	39.39	39.46	39.46	39.38(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	5	10	2	15	0.03	38%	0.1	-31.7	1.69%	0	0.1	54	NAN

21	Dec_29_2009	39.77	39.32	39.06	39.25	39.4	39.57	39.54(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	40	12	12	0.03	38%	0.08	-36.3	1.69%	0	0.3	56	NAN
22	Dec_28_2009	39.74	39.37	39.04	39.12	39.15	39.46	39.6(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	60	18	2	0.04	38%	0.2	-45.6	1.69%	0	0.4	43	NAN
23	Dec_24_2009	39.66	39.36	38.98	38.88	38.95	39.23	39.32(0.56%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	12	60	22	-19	0.02	38%	0.08	-65.2	1.68%	0	-0.1	38	NAN
24	Dec_23_2009	39.63	39.44	38.96	38.72	38.68	38.83	39.1(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	20	5	-43	0.02	38%	0.08	-65.6	1.69%	0	-0.5	35	NAN
25	Dec_22_2009	39.6	39.5	38.95	38.78	38.57	38.68	38.7(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	0	-1	-56	0.02	38%		-67.4	1.68%	0	-1.1	29	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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